Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Monday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
You can always track the latest odds and betting percentages using our VSiN Betting Splits.
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- NCAAB Expert Picks
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Monday’s College Basketball slate.
8 p.m. ET: Southeast Louisiana (-3.5, 142) at Houston Christian
Southeast Louisiana (7-13) has lost five of their last six games and just fell to Lamar 74-64. Meanwhile, Houston Christian (5-13) has won three of their last five games but just suffered a close loss to Incarnate Word 79-75 on the road. This line opened with Southeast Louisiana listed as a 4-point road favorite.
We’ve seen Southeast Louisiana fall from -4 to -3.5. This movement is notable because this matchup is one of the smallest and lowest bet games on the board, which means the public has no interest in participating but pros have gotten down on home dog Houston Christian plus the points, causing an “sharp obscure line move” in their favor. Houston Christian is only receiving 48% of spread bets but 58% of spread dollars, signaling smart money in their favor.
Ken Pom has Southeast Louisiana winning by two points (71-69), which provides actionable value to Houston Christian +3.5. Houston Christian has the better offense (72 PPG vs 67 PPG) as well as a big rebounding advantage (40 RPG vs 34 RPG). Houston Christian is 4-3 at home while Southeast Louisiana is just 2-9 on the road.
9 p.m. ET: Alcorn State at Bethune Cookman (-2.5, 152.5)
Alcorn State (4-15) is riding a two-game winning streak and just beat Florida A&M 76-67. Similarly, Bethune Cookman (9-10) has won three of their last four games and just took down Jackson State 82-71. This line opened with Bethune Cookman listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.
Sharps have pounced on Bethune Cookman laying short chalk at home, steaming Bethune Cookman up from -1.5 to -2.5. This would once again qualify as a “sharp obscure line move” seeing as though this is a low bet added game/extra game devoid of public participation. Bethune Cookman enjoys several statistical advantages, including the better offense (75 PPG vs 70 PPG), better defense (allowing 75 PPG vs 83 PPG), better free throw shooting (73% vs 68%) and better defensive rating (284th vs 360th).
Ken Pom has Bethune Cookman winning by two points (79-77). Those looking to follow the sharp move but wary of laying the points in what could be a tight game could instead target Bethune Cookman on the moneyline at -140. Bethune Cookman is receiving 78% of moneyline bets but 96% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of pros betting the home team to win the game straight up. Bethune Cookman is 7-1 at home while Alcorn State is just 2-14 on the road.
