College Basketball Best Bets Today:
There are only seven games on the college basketball schedule for Thursday night, which is good because it has been an extremely busy morning here at VSiN. We’ve only got one noteworthy game with the Iowa State/Iowa rivalry game. We’ve seen a lot of big favorite roles this week as teams want to stay sharp during the exam week, but not spend a ton of energy playing those games.
That remains the case tonight in three games, along with a few competitively-lined games with small-conference teams.
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Tracking sheet is here. 2023-24 for reference is here.
This article will run Monday-Saturday. Lines will be from DraftKings, as they are widely available to readers. Shop around for the best prices.
Shout-outs to Bart Torvik, Erik Haslam, and Ken Pomeroy, as those are my three primary resources for information when handicapping.
Check the latest college basketball odds for legal U.S. sportsbooks across the country and our Vegas odds if you share a state with us here at VSiN. Also, give the college basketball betting splits a look for these or any other college basketball games today have your interest.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publish.
Chattanooga Mocs (-2, 148) at Evansville Aces
8 p.m. ET
Chattanooga and Evansville square off in a SoCon vs. Missouri Valley matchup here. These two teams are very similar in terms of how they approach offense. Chattanooga is 33rd in the nation with a 47.9% 3P Rate and Evansville is 48th with a 46.8% 3P Rate. So, this is going to be a game of two teams absolutely chucking from deep.
The irony is that both teams stink at it this season. Chattanooga is 328th at 27.6% and Evansville is 318th at 28.4%, all stats per Torvik and based on games against Division I opponents. The problem for Chattanooga has been that Honor Huff and Trey Bonham, their two big returnees from last season, are a combined 26-of-103 from beyond the arc. Huff has been a 38% shooter over the last two seasons from deep and Bonham shot 41% from 3 last season.
The Mocs have played a decent slate of opposing defenses, ranking 157th in that department per KenPom using Defensive Rating. Evansville has played the 66th-ranked slate of opposing defenses per KP, so it seems that they have a bit of a case to make as well.
But, I do believe more in the Chattanooga offense long-term. Earl’s two years with the Mocs have resulted in finishes of 31st and 24th in eFG% offense. This is still a really good free throw shooting team and the 3P% should come around. Chattanooga is a top-35 2P% offense this season, too, something that I find to be important in a game like this.
Pick: Chattanooga -2
