The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 6. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* USC is 3-16 SU and 2-17 ATS (10.5%) in its last 19 visits to the Eastern or Central time zone
Trend Match (FADE): USC (+1.5 at Penn State)

* In CFB games featuring two ranked teams with the home team being a double-digit favorite, Under the total boasts an impressive 44-22 (66.7%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season (including 25-10 to the UNDER with totals > 56).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): UCLA-OREGON (o/u at 58.5)

* Ranked teams coming off of double-digit losses have responded nicely of late, going 66-27 SU and 55-37-1 ATS (59.8%) in the next game since November of 2021.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): IOWA (+3 at Washington), OLE MISS (-10 at Vanderbilt), FLORIDA (-12.5 vs South Carolina)

* Favorites of >= 4 points on Mountain West Friday Nights have gone 57-4 SU (~+40.05 units) in conference play since 2016
System Match (PLAY): SAN JOSE STATE ML (-238 vs Wyoming)

* CHARLOTTE is 18-6 ATS (75%) as a ROAD UNDERDOG since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY): CHARLOTTE (+28.5 at North Texas)

* Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 87-119 ATS (42.2%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE ALL): VIRGINIA TECH (-9.5 at California), SOUTH CAROLINA (+12.5 at Florida), RICE (+10 at East Carolina), TULSA (+2.5 at Navy)

* ARKANSAS is 5-4 SU and 8-1 ATS versus Tennessee since 2001 (including a 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS surge in Fayetteville)
Trend Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS (+13.5 vs Tennessee)

* Underdogs are on a 7-4 SU and 9-0-2 ATS surge in the Duke-Georgia Tech ACC rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA TECH (+7 vs Duke)

#1 UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the MAKINEN POWER RATINGS: AIR FORCE -7.5 at Northern Illinois (simulations have line at AF -13.8)

College Football Systems Based On AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll

CFB Ranked Team System #1: In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are 229-120 SU and 199-141-9 ATS (58.5%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OREGON (-11.5 vs UCLA), ALABAMA (-1.5 vs Georgia)

Digging deeper into that data, you will find that when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 129-33 SU and 96-62-4 ATS (60.8%).
System Match (PLAY): OREGON (-11.5 vs UCLA)

CFB Ranked Team System #4: In college football games featuring two ranked teams with the home team being a double-digit favorite, Under the total boasts an impressive 44-22 (66.7%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season. When adding a qualifier of totals higher than 56 to that system, the Under record jumps to 25-10 (71.4%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): UCLA-OREGON (o/u at 58.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #5: Unranked teams that favored over ranked teams in Power 4 conference games boast a record of 63-30 SU and 52-37-4 ATS (58.4%) dating back to November 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON (-3 vs Iowa), KANSAS STATE (-2.5 vs Houston), PENN STATE (-1.5 vs USC)

CFB Ranked Team System #6: Ranked home favorites of more than 14 points are 360-28 SU but just 168-216-4 ATS (43.8%) versus unranked conference opponents since October 2015.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OHIO STATE (-34.5 vs Maryland), UTAH (-15.5 vs Kansas)

CFB Ranked Team System #7: Unranked teams on the road versus a ranked team and playing as favorites or underdogs of seven or fewer points have gone 92-59 Under the total (60.9%) dating to October 2016.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER): TEXAS A&M-MISSOURI (o/u at 48.5), NORTH CAROLINA-PITTSBURGH (o/u at 47.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #8: Teams coming off an upset win over a top-15 ranked team are 126-90 SU but just 95-120-1 ATS (44.2%) in the follow-up contest dating back to November 2016.
System Match (FADE): MISSOURI (-3.5 vs Texas A&M)

CFB Ranked Team System #9: Teams coming off a loss at home to a top 10 ranked team are just 140-147 SU and 128-157-2 ATS (44.9%) in the next game since October of 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): IOWA (+3 at Washington), NORTH CAROLINA (+3.5 at Pitt)

CFB Ranked Team System #11: Ranked teams coming off a close win of seven points or fewer where they didn’t cover the point spread are on a 230-54 SU and 162-119-3 ATS (57.7%) surge when favored in the next game since October of 2015.
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS (-8.5 vs Oklahoma)

CFB Ranked Team System #12: Ranked teams coming off of double-digit losses have responded nicely of late, going 66-27 SU and 55-37-1 ATS (59.8%) in the next game since November of 2021.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): IOWA (+3 at Washington), OLE MISS (-10 at Vanderbilt), FLORIDA (-12.5 vs South Carolina)

CFB Ranked Team System #15: Teams coming off a win over a ranked team and playing another ranked team are just 74-100 SU and 76-95-3 ATS (44.4%) since September 2019. These teams are also 84-47 Under the total (64.1%) in these next contests dating back to September of 2021.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OREGON (-11.5 vs UCLA), ALABAMA (-1.5 vs Georgia)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): UCLA-OREGON (o/u at 58.5), GEORGIA-ALABAMA (o/u at 54.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #16: Teams playing in the middle game(s) of what winds up being 3+ straight games versus ranked opponents have been quite successful, going 100-79 SU and 109-68-2 ATS (61.6%) dating back to November 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): UCF (+8.5 at Oklahoma State), SOUTH CAROLINA (+12.5 at Florida), ALABAMA (-1.5 vs Georgia)

These detail top trends and systems for college football conference play.

* Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 87-119 ATS (42.2%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE ALL): VIRGINIA TECH (-9.5 at California), SOUTH CAROLINA (+12.5 at Florida), RICE (+10 at East Carolina), TULSA (+2.5 at Navy)

* Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played in 14 days are on a 150-125 ATS (54.5%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SACRAMENTO STATE (+7.5 at Bowling Green), UCLA (+11.5 at Oregon)

* Teams playing at home in conference games and coming off a blowout loss of more than 45 points are just 51-77 ATS (39.8%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): UTEP (+9.5 vs Nevada)

* Big Ten road favorites of -4 or less have gone 27-11 SU and 25-13 ATS (65.8%) in conference play since 2021
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ILLINOIS (-2.5 at Michigan State), MINNESOTA (-2.5 at Purdue)

* Over the total is 21-7 (75%) in SEC non-neutral expected-tight matchups (within a field goal -3 to +3) with totals <= 51.5 since 2021
System Match (PLAY OVER): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR MISSOURI-TEXAS A&M (spread MIZ -3.5, o/u at 48.5) and GEORGIA-ALABAMA (spread ALA -1.5, o/u at 52.5)

* Under the total is 73-51-1 (58.9%) in ACC expected-tight matchups (within -3.5 to +3.5 line range) with totals <= 55.5 since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NORTH CAROLINA-PITTSBURGH (spread Pitt -3.5, o/u at 47.5)

* AAC favorites in the -7 to -12 line range have gone 117-19 SU and 76-54-6 ATS (58.5%) in conference play since 2015
System Matches (PLAY ALL): UTSA (-7 vs S Florida), EAST CAROLINA (-10 vs Rice)

* Favorites of >= 4 points on Mountain West Friday Nights have gone 57-4 SU (~+40.05 units) in conference play since 2016
System Match (PLAY): SAN JOSE STATE ML (-238 vs Wyoming)

* Sun Belt non-Saturday games have gone Under the total at a 55-29-1 (65.5%) rate since 2015
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): SOUTHERN MISS-TROY (o/u at 52.5), SOUTH ALABAMA-ARKANSAS STATE (o/u at 58.5)

* Sun Belt small home favorites/pick-’ems in the PK to -5.5 line range and totals within the 52.5-65 range have had these totals go Under at a 43-20 (68.3%) rate in conference play since 2015
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): SOUTH ALABAMA-ARKANSAS STATE (spread ARKANSAS STATE-1.5, o/u at 58.5), COASTAL CAROLINA-MARSHALL (spread MARSHALL -3, o/u at 58.5)

* Sun Belt road favorites in the -3.5 to -10 line range are 70-30 SU and 60-40 ATS (60%) in conference play since 2015
System Match (PLAY): JAMES MADISON (-7.5 at Georgia Southern)

* MAC home/neutral underdogs in the +2.5 to +5.5 line range have seen their totals go Under at a 43-23 rate (65.2%) in conference play since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIAMI OH-UMASS (spread Mass +2.5, o/u at 47.5)

Negative FADE trends:

• USC has lost 18 of its last 24 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
Trend Match (FADE): NOT YET, BUT WATCH FOR USC AT PENN STATE (+1.5 CURRENTLY)

• MEMPHIS is on a 10-21 ATS skid in conference games when coming off an outright win
Trend Match (FADE): MEMPHIS (-14 vs UAB)

• AKRON is on an 8-15 ATS skid in MAC play when coming off a road loss
Trend Match (FADE): AKRON (+7 vs E Michigan)

Positive FOLLOW trends:

• FRESNO STATE is on a 9-1 ATS streak as a home underdog in conference play
Trend Match (PLAY): FRESNO STATE (+6.5 vs Boise State)

• OLD DOMINION has won 10 of its last 15 games ATS as a conference underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): OLD DOMINION (+9.5 at Appalachian State)

• LOUISVILLE is on an impressive 13-8 ATS surge as an ACC home favorite
Trend Match (PLAY): LOUISVILLE (-4 vs Florida State)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams
Both college football teams coming off a game that was decided by a margin of 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next game, going just 154-198-1 ATS (43.8%) over the last decade-plus.
System Matches (FADE ALL): WAKE FOREST (-4 at NC State), UCLA (+11.5 at Oregon), STANFORD (+38.5 at Notre Dame), ARIZONA STATE (-20.5 vs Hawaii)

Ride teams off of uber-dominant performances
In the last 13 years, teams that scored 58 or more points in a game while allowing fewer than 10 have carried the momentum well in the next outing, going 165-124 ATS (57.1%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MEMPHIS (-14 vs UAB), DUKE (-7 at Georgia Tech)

Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum-builders
In the last 13 years, teams that won a conference game despite gaining fewer than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 86-64 ATS (57.3%) in the follow-up game.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SAN DIEGO STATE (+14.5 at Oregon State), BYU (-10.5 vs Iowa State)

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best & worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined by having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best and Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

Best

* CALIFORNIA is 21-20 SU and 26-15 ATS (63.4%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): CALIFORNIA (+9.5 vs Virginia Tech)

* TULSA is 12-26 SU but 22-15 ATS (59.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): TULSA (+2.5 at Navy)

Worst

* MARSHALL is 14-11 SU but 10-15 ATS (40%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (FADE): MARSHALL (-2.5 vs Coastal Carolina)

* UTAH STATE is 8-23 SU and 10-21 ATS (32.3%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (FADE): UTAH STATE (-5.5 vs Washington State)

Neutral-field underdogs are great in revenge
Since the start of the 2016 season, neutral field underdogs playing in revenge mode have gone 57-37 ATS (60.6%).
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA (+8.5 vs Texas)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 118-134 ATS (46.8%) since 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MEMPHIS (-14 vs UAB), BOISE STATE (-6.5 at Fresno State)

Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been successful, going 234-183 ATS (56.1%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): MISSOURI STATE (+2.5 at Western Kentucky)

Comparing Effective Yards-Per-Play Ratings to This Week’s Matchups

The following are taken from an article posted on Monday, September 21, 2026, looking at how Steve Makinen comes up with his ratings and any edges in games each weekend. As far as actionable items, here are the top 15 games for this weekend, as far as the differential of EYPP ratings versus actual point spreads, with home-field advantage built into the differences. Track these games to see how they fare, or back them already if you agree with the logic.

1. (411) SAN DIEGO STATE at (412) OREGON STATE
Actual Line: OREGON STATE -14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OREGON STATE -36.4
Difference: 21.9, FAVORS – OREGON STATE

2. (391) UCLA at (392) OREGON
Actual Line: OREGON -11.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OREGON +9.5
Difference: 21, FAVORS – UCLA

3. (335) BUFFALO at (336) TOLEDO
Actual Line: TOLEDO -20.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TOLEDO -41.1
Difference: 20.6, FAVORS – TOLEDO

4. (381) TEXAS A&M at (382) MISSOURI
Actual Line: MISSOURI -3.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MISSOURI -20.9
Difference: 17.4, FAVORS – MISSOURI

5. (355) WAKE FOREST at (356) NC STATE
Actual Line: NC STATE +4
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NC STATE +17
Difference: 13, FAVORS – WAKE FOREST

6. (317) FLORIDA STATE at (318) LOUISVILLE
Actual Line: LOUISVILLE -3.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: LOUISVILLE -15.9
Difference: 12.4, FAVORS – LOUISVILLE

7. (313) SOUTH ALABAMA at (314) ARKANSAS STATE
Actual Line: ARKANSAS STATE -1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ARKANSAS STATE -13.5
Difference: 12, FAVORS – ARKANSAS STATE

8. (415) AIR FORCE at (416) NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Actual Line: NORTHERN ILLINOIS +7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NORTHERN ILLINOIS -4.5
Difference: 12, FAVORS – NORTHERN ILLINOIS

9. (333) ILLINOIS at (334) MICHIGAN STATE
Actual Line: MICHIGAN STATE +2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MICHIGAN STATE +14.1
Difference: 11.6, FAVORS – ILLINOIS

10. (311) MISSOURI STATE at (312) WESTERN KENTUCKY
Actual Line: WESTERN KENTUCKY -2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WESTERN KENTUCKY +8.6
Difference: 11.1, FAVORS – MISSOURI STATE

11. (337) TULANE at (338) ARMY
Actual Line: ARMY -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ARMY +7.3
Difference: 10.3, FAVORS – TULANE

12. (323) WASHINGTON STATE at (324) UTAH STATE
Actual Line: UTAH STATE -5.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UTAH STATE -15.4
Difference: 9.9, FAVORS – UTAH STATE

13. (309) SAM HOUSTON STATE at (310) LIBERTY
Actual Line: LIBERTY -13.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: LIBERTY -4.1
Difference: 9.4, FAVORS – SAM HOUSTON STATE

14. (351) ARIZONA at (352) WEST VIRGINIA
Actual Line: WEST VIRGINIA +3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WEST VIRGINIA +11.8
Difference: 8.8, FAVORS – ARIZONA

15. (361) OLD DOMINION at (362) APPALACHIAN STATE
Actual Line: APPALACHIAN STATE -9.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: APPALACHIAN STATE -18.3
Difference: 8.8, FAVORS – APPALACHIAN STATE

16. (379) BALL STATE at (380) NORTHWESTERN
Actual Line: NORTHWESTERN -36.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NORTHWESTERN -45.1
Difference: 8.6, FAVORS – NORTHWESTERN

17. (383) UAB at (384) MEMPHIS
Actual Line: MEMPHIS -14
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MEMPHIS -22.5
Difference: 8.5, FAVORS – MEMPHIS

18. (353) EASTERN MICHIGAN at (354) AKRON
Actual Line: AKRON +7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: AKRON -1.2
Difference: 8.2, FAVORS – AKRON

19. (319) IOWA at (320) WASHINGTON
Actual Line: WASHINGTON -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WASHINGTON +5.1
Difference: 8.1, FAVORS – IOWA

20. (357) SYRACUSE at (358) VIRGINIA
Actual Line: VIRGINIA -9.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: VIRGINIA -2.3
Difference: 7.2, FAVORS – SYRACUSE

21. (389) HAWAII at (390) ARIZONA STATE
Actual Line: ARIZONA STATE -20.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ARIZONA STATE -27.7
Difference: 7.2, FAVORS – ARIZONA STATE

22. (417) BOISE STATE at (418) FRESNO STATE
Actual Line: FRESNO STATE +6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: FRESNO STATE -0.7
Difference: 7.2, FAVORS – FRESNO STATE

23. (349) LSU at (350) KENTUCKY
Actual Line: KENTUCKY +8.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: KENTUCKY +1.6
Difference: 6.9, FAVORS – KENTUCKY

24. (401) TULSA at (402) NAVY
Actual Line: NAVY -2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NAVY -9.2
Difference: 6.7, FAVORS – NAVY

25. (341) NORTH CAROLINA at (342) PITTSBURGH
Actual Line: PITTSBURGH -3.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: PITTSBURGH +2.9
Difference: 6.4, FAVORS – NORTH CAROLINA

26. (321) WYOMING at (322) SAN JOSE STATE
Actual Line: SAN JOSE STATE -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SAN JOSE STATE -11.6
Difference: 5.6, FAVORS – SAN JOSE STATE

27. (371) MIAMI OHIO at (372) MASSACHUSETTS
Actual Line: MASSACHUSETTS +2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MASSACHUSETTS -3.1
Difference: 5.6, FAVORS – MASSACHUSETTS

28. (347) COASTAL CAROLINA at (348) MARSHALL
Actual Line: MARSHALL -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MARSHALL +2.5
Difference: 5.5, FAVORS – COASTAL CAROLINA

29. (315) SOUTH FLORIDA at (316) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
Actual Line: TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO -7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO -11.9
Difference: 4.9, FAVORS – TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO

30. (393) VIRGINIA TECH at (394) CALIFORNIA
Actual Line: CALIFORNIA +9.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: CALIFORNIA +4.6
Difference: 4.9, FAVORS – CALIFORNIA

31. (413) NORTH DAKOTA STATE at (414) UNLV
Actual Line: UNLV +3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UNLV -1.9
Difference: 4.9, FAVORS – UNLV

32. (301) SOUTHERN MISS at (302) TROY
Actual Line: TROY -10
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TROY -5.2
Difference: 4.8, FAVORS – SOUTHERN MISS

33. (395) TEXAS at (396) OKLAHOMA
Actual Line: OKLAHOMA +8.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OKLAHOMA +4.1
Difference: 4.4, FAVORS – OKLAHOMA

34. (409) STANFORD at (410) NOTRE DAME
Actual Line: NOTRE DAME -38.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NOTRE DAME -34.2
Difference: 4.3, FAVORS – STANFORD

35. (303) JACKSONVILLE STATE at (304) KENNESAW STATE
Actual Line: KENNESAW STATE +3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: KENNESAW STATE +7.1
Difference: 4.1, FAVORS – JACKSONVILLE STATE

36. (329) SOUTH CAROLINA at (330) FLORIDA
Actual Line: FLORIDA -12.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: FLORIDA -8.5
Difference: 4, FAVORS – SOUTH CAROLINA

37. (367) MINNESOTA at (368) PURDUE
Actual Line: PURDUE +2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: PURDUE -1.4
Difference: 3.9, FAVORS – PURDUE

38. (405) CHARLOTTE at (406) NORTH TEXAS
Actual Line: NORTH TEXAS -28.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NORTH TEXAS -25
Difference: 3.5, FAVORS – CHARLOTTE

39. (373) JAMES MADISON at (374) GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Actual Line: GEORGIA SOUTHERN +7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: GEORGIA SOUTHERN +4.4
Difference: 3.1, FAVORS – GEORGIA SOUTHERN

40. (327) INDIANA at (328) NEBRASKA
Actual Line: NEBRASKA +7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NEBRASKA +10.4
Difference: 2.9, FAVORS – INDIANA

41. (377) LOUISIANA at (378) LOUISIANA TECH
Actual Line: LOUISIANA TECH -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: LOUISIANA TECH -5.7
Difference: 2.7, FAVORS – LOUISIANA TECH

42. (343) USC at (344) PENN STATE
Actual Line: PENN STATE -1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: PENN STATE -4
Difference: 2.5, FAVORS – PENN STATE

43. (399) TENNESSEE at (400) ARKANSAS
Actual Line: ARKANSAS +13.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ARKANSAS +11.1
Difference: 2.4, FAVORS – ARKANSAS

44. (305) NEW MEXICO STATE at (306) FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Actual Line: FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -8.8
Difference: 2.3, FAVORS – FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

45. (359) CONNECTICUT at (360) TEMPLE
Actual Line: TEMPLE -3.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TEMPLE -5.7
Difference: 2.2, FAVORS – TEMPLE

46. (365) DUKE at (366) GEORGIA TECH
Actual Line: GEORGIA TECH +7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: GEORGIA TECH +9.1
Difference: 2.1, FAVORS – DUKE

47. (325) IOWA STATE at (326) BYU
Actual Line: BYU -10.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BYU -12.4
Difference: 1.9, FAVORS – BYU

48. (331) SACRAMENTO STATE at (332) BOWLING GREEN
Actual Line: BOWLING GREEN -7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BOWLING GREEN -5.8
Difference: 1.7, FAVORS – SACRAMENTO STATE

49. (407) HOUSTON at (408) KANSAS STATE
Actual Line: KANSAS STATE -2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: KANSAS STATE -0.9
Difference: 1.6, FAVORS – HOUSTON

50. (363) KENT STATE at (364) WESTERN MICHIGAN
Actual Line: WESTERN MICHIGAN -13.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WESTERN MICHIGAN -14.9
Difference: 1.4, FAVORS – WESTERN MICHIGAN

51. (385) NEVADA at (386) UTEP
Actual Line: UTEP +9.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UTEP +10.8
Difference: 1.3, FAVORS – NEVADA

52. (387) KANSAS at (388) UTAH
Actual Line: UTAH -15.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UTAH -16.7
Difference: 1.2, FAVORS – UTAH

53. (375) UCF at (376) OKLAHOMA STATE
Actual Line: OKLAHOMA STATE -8.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OKLAHOMA STATE -7.5
Difference: 1, FAVORS – UCF

54. (339) MARYLAND at (340) OHIO STATE
Actual Line: OHIO STATE -34.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OHIO STATE -33.7
Difference: 0.8, FAVORS – MARYLAND

55. (397) OLE MISS at (398) VANDERBILT
Actual Line: VANDERBILT +10
Effective Play-by-Play Line: VANDERBILT +10.8
Difference: 0.8, FAVORS – OLE MISS

56. (345) CENTRAL MICHIGAN at (346) OHIO U
Actual Line: OHIO U -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OHIO U -2.3
Difference: 0.7, FAVORS – CENTRAL MICHIGAN

57. (369) RICE at (370) EAST CAROLINA
Actual Line: EAST CAROLINA -10
Effective Play-by-Play Line: EAST CAROLINA -10.7
Difference: 0.7, FAVORS – EAST CAROLINA

58. (403) GEORGIA at (404) ALABAMA
Actual Line: ALABAMA -1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ALABAMA -1.8
Difference: 0.3, FAVORS – ALABAMA

These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:

* TROY is 15-5 ATS (75%) as a conference favorite since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY): TROY (-10 vs Southern Miss)

* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL is 19-31 (38%) in conference games over the last seven seasons
Trend Match (FADE): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (-6.5 vs New Mexico State)

* SOUTH ALABAMA is 20-41 (32.8%) ATS coming off a SU win since 2014
Trend Match (FADE): SOUTH ALABAMA (+1.5 at Arkansas State)

* FLORIDA STATE is 12-26 (31.6%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2019
* FLORIDA STATE is 14-27-1 (34.1%) ATS in conference games since 2021
* FLORIDA STATE is 18-6 (75%) to the UNDER in last four games as an UNDERDOG
Trends Match: FADE FLORIDA STATE (+3.5 at Louisville), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 59.5)

* IOWA STATE is 20-9 (69%) ATS as an underdog since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA STATE (+10.5 at BYU)

* EASTERN MICHIGAN is 43-23 (65.2%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2016
* AKRON is 19-33-1 (36.5%) ATS at home since 2016
Trends Match (PLAY): EASTERN MICHIGAN (-7 at Akron)

* GEORGIA is 27-18 (60%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2020
* GEORGIA is 14-24 (36.8%) ATS in the last 38 games following a SU win
* ALABAMA is on a 33-11 ATS (75%) surge at home
Trend Match (SLIGHT PLAY): ALABAMA (-1.5 vs Georgia)

* APPALACHIAN STATE is 10-27 ATS (27%) in the last 37 games as a favorite
Trend Match (FADE): APPALACHIAN STATE (-9.5 vs Old Dominion)

* ARIZONA is 21-35 (37.5%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2016
* WEST VIRGINIA has gone 23-15 ATS (60.5%) at home in the last six seasons
Trends Match (PLAY): WEST VIRGINIA (+3 vs Arizona)

* ARIZONA STATE is 11-3 (78.6%) ATS in the last 14 games as a favorite
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA STATE (-20.5 vs Hawaii)

* BALL STATE is 42-31-1 (57.5%) UNDER the total over the last six seasons
* NORTHWESTERN is 33-15 (68.8%) to the UNDER as a home favorite since 2013
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): BALL STATE-NORTHWESTERN (o/u at 52.5)

* CALIFORNIA is 32-22 (59.3%) ATS as an underdog since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): CALIFORNIA (+9.5 vs Virginia Tech)

* CHARLOTTE is 18-6 ATS (75%) as a road underdog since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY): CHARLOTTE (+28.5 at North Texas)

* FRESNO STATE is 43-26-1 (62.3%) UNDER the total since 2021
* FRESNO STATE is 28-15 (65.1%) ATS coming off a SU win since 2021
Trends Match: PLAY FRESNO STATE (+6.5 vs Boise State), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 48.5)

* ILLINOIS is 20-9 (69%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): ILLINOIS (-2.5 at Michigan State)

* JAMES MADISON is 34-18 (65.4%) ATS as a favorite since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): JAMES MADISON (-7.5 at Georgia Southern)

* KANSAS is 44-30-1 (59.5%) OVER the total since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): KANSAS-UTAH (o/u at 51.5)

* KANSAS STATE is 13-8 ATS (61.9%) following a SU loss in the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): KANSAS STATE (-2.5 vs Houston)

* KENT STATE is 16-30 (34.8%) ATS in last 46 games as an underdog
Trend Match (FADE): KENT STATE (+13.5 at W Michigan)

* LOUISIANA TECH is 45-31-1 (59.2%) OVER the total since 2019
* LOUISIANA TECH is 16-23 (41%) ATS in conference games over the last five seasons
Trends Match: FADE LOUISIANA TECH (-3 vs Louisiana), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 47.5)

* LSU is 25-19 (56.8%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY): LSU (-8.5 at Kentucky)

* MIAMI OHIO is on a 43-32-1 (57.3%) UNDER the total run over the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIAMI OH-UMASS (o/u at 46.5)

* MARSHALL is 9-22 ATS (29%) as a home favorite in conference games since 2016
Trend Match (FADE): MARSHALL (-3 vs Coastal Carolina)

* INDIANA is 21-10 (67.7%) to the OVER on the road since 2020
* NEBRASKA is 11-18-3 (37.9%) ATS at home in last 32
Trends Match: FADE NEBRASKA (+7.5 vs Indiana), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 51.5)

* NC STATE is 10-2 ATS (83.3%) as a home underdog since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): NC STATE (+4 vs Wake Forest)

* NORTHERN ILLINOIS is 6-26-2 (18.8%) ATS in the last 34 home games
Trend Match (FADE): NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+7.5 vs Air Force)

* OHIO U is 26-16 ATS (61.9%) in conference games over the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): OHIO (-3 vs Central Michigan)

* OLE MISS is 16-24-2 (40%) ATS in conference games since 2021
* OLE MISS is 18-4 (81.8%) to the UNDER in their last 22 post-bye-week games
Trends Match: FADE OLE MISS (-10 at Vanderbilt), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 59.5)

* SAN DIEGO STATE is 55-33 (62.5%) UNDER the total since 2019
* OREGON STATE is 29-15 (65.9%) ATS coming off a SU win since 2016
* OREGON STATE is 32-14 (69.6%) ATS in home games over the last seven seasons
Trends Match: PLAY OREGON STATE (-14.5 vs San Diego State), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 53.5)

* USC is 3-16 SU and 2-17 ATS in their last 19 visits to the Eastern or Central time zone
* PENN STATE is 13-24 (35.1%) ATS coming off a SU loss since 2015
Trends Match: 1 FADE USC, 1 FADE PENN STATE

* PITTSBURGH is 49-31 (61.3%) OVER the total since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): UNC-PITT (o/u at 47.5)

* PURDUE is 8-21 ATS (27.6%) at home over the last four seasons
Trend Match (FADE): PURDUE (+2.5 vs Minnesota)

* STANFORD is 15-32 ATS (31.9%) following an outright loss since 2019
* STANFORD is 0-10 ATS (0%) in the last 10 road games versus ranked opponents
Trends Match (FADE): STANFORD (+37.5 at Notre Dame)

* TULSA is 27-17-1 (61.4%) ATS in road/neutral games over last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): TULSA (+2.5 at Navy)

* UAB is 2-15-1 ATS (11.8%) following an outright win and 8-18-1 (30.8%) in road/neutral games over the last four seasons
Trends Match (FADE): UAB (+14 at Memphis)

* UNLV is on a 25-13 (65.8%) ATS run following a SU win
Trend Match (PLAY): UNLV (+3 vs NDSU)

* UTEP is 10-26 (27.8%) ATS at home since 2020
Trend Match (FADE): UTEP (+9.5 vs Nevada)

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:

(301) SOUTHERN MISS at (302) TROY
* TROY has won and covered five straight games with Southern Miss
Trend Match (PLAY): TROY (-10 vs Southern Miss)

(313) SOUTH ALABAMA at (314) ARKANSAS STATE
* Under the total is 8-2 in the last 10 of this Sun Belt series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SOUTH ALABAMA-ARKANSAS STATE (o/u at 58.5)

(317) FLORIDA STATE at (318) LOUISVILLE
* Over the total has converted in five straight matchups between these teams at Louisville
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): FLORIDA STATE-LOUISVILLE (o/u at 59.5)

(329) SOUTH CAROLINA at (302) FLORIDA
* Over the total is 6-1 in Gamecocks-Gators set since 2017
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): SOUTH CAROLINA-FLORIDA (o/u at 61.5)

(335) BUFFALO at (336) TOLEDO
* Home teams are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in the last eight of this MAC series
Trend Match (PLAY): TOLEDO (-20.5 vs Buffalo)

(339) MARYLAND at (340) OHIO STATE
* Home teams are 6-0 ATS in last six of the Terrapins-Buckeyes series
Trend Match (PLAY): OHIO STATE (-34.5 vs Maryland)

* Over the total is also 8-1 in the last nine of the series, although it went Under last meeting by two points
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MARYLAND-OHIO STATE (o/u at 56.5)

(345) CENTRAL MICHIGAN at (346) OHIO
* Home teams are 4-3 SU and 6-1 ATS in last seven of this MAC rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): OHIO (-3 vs Central Michigan)

(349) LSU at (350) KENTUCKY
* Home teams are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in the last eight of the LSU-UK series
Trend Match (PLAY): KENTUCKY (+8.5 vs LSU)

(359) CONNECTICUT at (360) TEMPLE
* TEMPLE is 9-6 SU and 13-2 ATS versus Connecticut since 2001
Trend Match (PLAY): TEMPLE (-3.5 vs UConn)

(361) OLD DOMINION at (362) APPALACHIAN STATE
* Under the total is 6-0 in the last six Monarchs-Mountaineers matchups
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): OLD DOMINION-APPALACHIAN STATE (o/u at 50.5)

(363) KENT STATE at (364) WESTERN MICHIGAN
* FAVORITES are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in the last 10 of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): WESTERN MICHIGAN (-13.5 vs Kent State)

(365) DUKE at (366) GEORGIA TECH
* Underdogs are on a 7-4 SU and 9-0-2 ATS surge in the Blue Devils-Yellow Jackets ACC rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA TECH (+7 vs Duke)

(367) MINNESOTA at (368) PURDUE
* Underdogs are 7-5 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 of the Golden Gophers-Boilermakers series
Trend Match (PLAY): PURDUE (+2.5 vs Minnesota)

(373) JAMES MADISON at (374) GEORGIA SOUTHERN
* Home teams have won and covered all four meetings between JMU and Georgia Southern since 2022 (including two outright wins by Georgia Southern as double-digit underdogs)
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA SOUTHERN (+7.5 vs James Madison)

(395) TEXAS vs (396) OKLAHOMA
* Favorites are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in the last eight of the Red River Rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): TEXAS (-8.5 vs Oklahoma)

(397) OLE MISS at (398) VANDERBILT
* Favorites are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in last seven of this SEC series
Trend Match (PLAY): OLE MISS (-10 at Vanderbilt)

(399) TENNESSEE at (400) ARKANSAS
* ARKANSAS is 5-4 SU and 8-1 ATS versus Tennessee since 2001 (including a 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS surge in Fayetteville)
Trend Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS (+13.5 vs Tennessee)

(401) TULSA at (402) NAVY
* NAVY is 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven meetings with Tulsa
Trend Match (PLAY): NAVY (-2.5 vs Tulsa)

(409) STANFORD at (410) NOTRE DAME
* Over the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the Stanford-Notre Dame series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): STANFORD-NOTRE DAME (o/u at 54.5)

(417) BOISE STATE at (418) FRESNO STATE
* Underdogs are on 6-6 SU and 10-2 ATS run in this series
Trend Match (PLAY): FRESNO STATE (+6.5 vs Boise State)

Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. Note that these systems only include games matching TWO FBS OPPONENTS against one another.

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of 4:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when more than 75% of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 634-698 ATS (47.6%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): JACKSONVILLE STATE, MISSOURI STATE, LIBERTY, S ALABAMA, UTSA, FLORIDA STATE, SAN JOSE STATE, WASHINGTON STATE, IOWA, IOWA STATE, ARMY, BOWLING GREEN, MISSOURI, WAKE FOREST, NORTH CAROLINA, WEST VIRGINIA, FLORIDA, EASTERN MICHIGAN, CALIFORNIA, MICHIGAN STATE, NAVY, OKLAHOMA, UCLA, BUFFALO, UCONN, TENNESSEE, OREGON STATE, KENTUCKY, NEVADA, NORTH DAKOTA STATE, GEORGIA, LOUISIANA, AIR FORCE, PENN STATE, GEORGIA SOUTHERN, PURDUE, KANSAS, BOISE STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 76%+ of the number of bets were on the home side of an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 279-297 ATS (48.4%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, in 2024 it was 46.6%. Last year it was six games over .500.

System Matches (FADE ALL): TROY, LIBERTY, SAN JOSE STATE, ARMY, BOWLING GREEN, MISSOURI, WEST VIRGINIA, FLORIDA, CALIFORNIA, NORTH TEXAS, NOTRE DAME, OREGON STATE, KENTUCKY

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 397-442 ATS (47.3%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): JACKSONVILLE STATE, WAKE FOREST, INDIANA, EASTERN MICHIGAN, OLE MISS, TENNESSEE, NEVADA, NORTH DAKOTA STATE, AIR FORCE, BOISE STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When a 68%+ majority of the handle was on small home favorites of seven points or fewer for an ATS wager since the start of the 2023 season, this majority group is 90-73 ATS (55.2%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, UTSA, SAN JOSE STATE, ARMY, MISSOURI, NAVY, PENN STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When a 58% or greater majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 168-150-2 ATS (52.8%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): SOUTHERN MISS, MISSOURI STATE, SOUTH ALABAMA, FLORIDA STATE, WASHINGTON STATE, IOWA, IOWA STATE, UCF, NORTH CAROLINA, HOUSTON, UCLA, BUFFALO, UCONN, GEORGIA, LOUISIANA, KANSAS

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When a majority of 55% or more of number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past four seasons, this majority group has gone 161-142-1 ATS (53.1%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): SOUTH ALABAMA, FLORIDA STATE, WASHINGTON STATE, IOWA, IOWA STATE, NORTH CAROLINA, OLD DOMINION, HOUSTON, BUFFALO, UCONN, MARYLAND, GEORGIA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their record since the start of 2022 is 300-246 (54.9%). This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with less games to choose from.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TROY, KENNESAW STATE, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, LIBERTY, SOUTH ALABAMA, UTSA, FLORIDA STATE, SAN JOSE STATE, WASHINGTON STATE, IOWA, IOWA STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: Contrary to popular belief, majority handle bettors have been very good when getting behind huge home favorites, specifically those favored by 27.5 points or more. In most cases, I would fear this as a prototypical public bet, but these groups are 99-81 ATS (55%) over the last four seasons.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NORTHWESTERN, NORTH TEXAS, OHIO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: The average college football total has steadied at about 53. In games since the start of the 2022 season where the totals reached 59 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under , they have been relatively sharp, going 68-51 (57.1%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): OLE MISS-VANDERBILT

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 49 or lower, 72%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 75-59 (56%).
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): IOWA-WASHINGTON, IOWA STATE-BYU, NORTH CAROLINA-PITTSBURGH, AIR FORCE-NORTHERN ILLINOIS

CFB DK Betting Splits system #11: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 46.5 or lower, 72%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 219-186 (54.1%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): WYOMING-SAN JOSE STATE, WASHINGTON ST-UTAH STATE, IOWA STATE-BYU, SACRAMENTO STATE-BOWLING GREEN, MIAMI OH-UMASS, CENTRAL MICHIGAN-OHIO, KENT STATE-WESTERN MICHIGAN

CFB DK Betting Splits system #12: Since the start of the 2022 season, majority handle bettors have been quite sharp in two contrarian ways for betting totals in non-conference games. When greater than 80% majorities have gotten behind Overs for totals of less than 55, they’ve gone 67-37 (64.4%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): BALL STATE-NORTHWESTERN, STANFORD-NOTRE DAME, UCONN-TEMPLE

This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NCAAF tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. CHARLOTTE +28.5 (+6.0)
2. SOUTH CAROLINA +12.5 (+4.8)
3. UNLV +3 (+4.7)
4. KENNESAW STATE +3 (+3.8)
5 (tie). SYRACUSE +9.5 (+3.4)
NC STATE +4 (+3.4)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. AIR FORCE -7.5 (+6.3)
2. WESTERN MICHIGAN -13.5 (+4.8)
3. ARKANSAS STATE -1.5 (+4.6)
4. BYU -10.5 (+4.4)
5. OHIO -3 (+3.6)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NEBRASKA +7.5 (+6.7)
2. UCLA +11.5 (+6.4)
3. SAM HOUSTON STATE +13.5 (+5.7)
4. BUFFALO +20.5 (+5.6)
5. OKLAHOMA +8.5 (+4.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NORTHWESTERN -36.5 (+10.4)
2. NOTRE DAME -38.5 (+9.0)
3. TENNESSEE -13.5 (+6.4)
4. SAN JOSE STATE -6 (+5.3)
5. NORTH TEXAS -28.5 (+4.7)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. HAWAII-ARIZONA STATE OVER 49.5 (+7.0)
2. SAN DIEGO STATE-OREGON STATE OVER 53.5 (+4.8)
3. IOWA-WASHINGTON OVER 41.5 (+3.3)
4. VIRGINIA TECH-CALIFORNIA OVER 53.5 (+3.2)
5 (tie). SOUTHERN MISS-TROY OVER 51.5 (+3.1)
SACRAMENTO STATE-BOWLING GREEN OVER 44.5 (+3.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. UCF-OKLAHOMA STATE UNDER 53.5 (-3.2)
2. FLORIDA STATE-LOUISVILLE UNDER 59.5 (-3.1)
3. UCLA-OREGON UNDER 58.5 (-1.9)
4. NEW MEXICO STATE-FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNDER 46.5 (-1.8)
5. ILLINOIS-MICHIGAN STATE UNDER 47.5 (-1.1)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. GEORGIA TECH +7 (+13.6)
2. SAN DIEGO STATE +14.5 (+11.1)
3. CHARLOTTE +28.5 (+11.0)
4. BALL STATE +36.5 (+9.4)
5. OLD DOMINION +9.5 (+9.3)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MARSHALL -3 (+7.1)
2. WESTERN MICHIGAN -13.5 (+6.6)
3. WESTERN KENTUCKY -2.5 (+6.5)
4. LOUISVILLE -3.5 (+6.2)
5. INDIANA -7.5 (+6.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DUKE-GEORGIA TECH OVER 48.5 (+6.3)
2. SOUTH FLORIDA-UTSA OVER 49.5 (+6.1)
3. NEW MEXICO STATE-FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL OVER 46.5 (+4.6)
4. TEXAS-OKLAHOMA OVER 39.5 (+4.5)
5. LSU-KENTUCKY OVER 52.5 (+4.3)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. UCLA-OREGON UNDER 58.5 (-5.7)
2. OLE MISS-VANDERBILT UNDER 59.5 (-5.5)
3. UCONN-TEMPLE UNDER 54.5 (-4.1)
4. NORTH CAROLINA-PITTSBURGH UNDER 47.5 (-3.2)
5. SAN DIEGO STATE-OREGON STATE UNDER 53.5 (-3.1)

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Steve Makinen
Steve Makinen
As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.

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