Xpressbet writer Jeff Siegel offers his top plays for Saturday.
Parx Race No. 11 (5:20 p.m. ET/2:20 p.m. PT)
#2 Adare Manor (7-2)
Though she was beaten as the favorite in her last two starts, this talented sophomore filly deserves one more chance to regain her winning form now that she has rejoined the Bob Baffert stable. Second in the Black Eyed Susan Stakes in her most recent start in May, she was given the summer off and returns following a series of spectacular workouts in Southern California before being shipped to the East Coast for this year’s renewal of the $1 million Cotillion Stakes. Drawn comfortably inside, switching to Mike Smith, and catching a field that should allow her to secure her coveted pace pressing trip, the daughter of Uncle Mo offers excellent value at or near her morning line of 7-2.
Churchill Downs Race No. 10 (10:42 p.m. ET/7:42 p.m. PT)
#2 Home Brew (5-2)
Won the Pegasus Stakes at Monmouth Park two races back like a future star but failed to act on the sloppy going after a poor start and was far below his best form when unplaced in the West Virginia Derby last time out. The son of Street Sense adds blinkers and, assuming he breaks well, should find himself on or near the lead throughout in this year’s edition of the Bourbon Trail Stakes. On pure numbers he’s fast enough to beat this field and at 5-2 on the morning line we’re expecting him to do just that as a strong Win play and rolling exotic single.
