Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for August 23. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Sunday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Sunday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Steven Kwan Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+118) vs. Rockies
Guardians at Rockies – 3:10 pm ET
Over the last 20 games, Kwan has a .325 batting average and also happens to be averaging 2.5 HRR per game. He’s really looking awesome up at the plate, and I like him to keep things rolling against a weak right-handed starter, at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Kwan didn’t do anything on Saturday, but that makes me feel even better about him bouncing back.
Walker Buehler Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (+109) vs. Twins
Twins at Padres – 4:10 pm ET
Buehler has recorded at least 18 outs in back-to-back games. He has really had a rock-solid season for San Diego, and he gets a home start against a struggling offense here. Over the last 20 games, the Twins have a wRC+ of 90 against righties. Buehler should flirt with a quality start.
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100) vs. Brewers
Braves at Brewers – 7:10 pm ET
Shane Drohan will be on the mound for the Brewers in tonight’s national TV game. Well, Albies ended up being the guy I zeroed in on because of that. This season, the switch hitter is averaging 2.4 HRR per game against southpaws. Hitting near the top of the order, he should be able to do something with his chances tonight.
Additional Picks
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-112) vs. Blue Jays
Kyle Leahy Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-137 – 1.5 units) & Alt Strikeouts 5+ (+173 – 0.5 units) vs. Phillies
Nolan McLean Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-150 – 1.5 units) vs. White Sox
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Total Bases (+188) vs. Cubs
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 2.11 total bases, suggesting these odds should be -164 — a +27.5% edge to the Over.
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-144) vs. Rays
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.87 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -548 — a +25.6% edge to the Over.
Sean Murphy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-126) vs. Brewers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.61 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -400 — a +24.3% edge to the Over.
