Today’s MLB Betting Trends:
The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Wednesday, October 28, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* Dating back to 2007, World Series home underdogs of +120 or more have gone just 2-8 (-5.22 units, ROI: -52.2%)
System Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+130 vs MIL)
Trend: MIL has won Jacob Misiorowski’s last twelve starts (+12.00 units)
Trend Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-157 at TB)
Trends and Systems for the MLB Postseason
Notable Postseason Team Trends (since 2015)
* TAMPA BAY: 24-20-1 to the Under for +1.90 units
* MILWAUKEE: 27-14-1 to the Under for +11.50 units
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): MIL-TB (o/u at 6.5)
Line angles
Road favorites of -140 or higher are on a 37-31 SU run since 2001 (+4.65 units, ROI: +6.8%)
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-157 at TB)
Stats from last game trends
Teams playing as underdogs (or pick ’em) in an MLB postseason series game after their bullpen was used for 5+ innings in the same series prior game are just 47-74 SU (-15.68 units, ROI: -13%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+130 vs MIL)
Trends based upon regular season records
In the last six playoff seasons following a full regular season (excluding 2020), MLB teams that won 100 games or more are on a slide of 29-35 SU (-18.53 units, ROI: -29%) and 23-41 on run lines (-19.00 units, ROI: -29.7%) in playoff games.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE
Totals angles
The last four MLB postseasons have been very good for Over bettors, as that side of the total has gone 120-114-3, and Overs have produced a return of +20.22 units, an ROI of 8.6%. Total odds are usually heavily shaded towards UNDER’s in recent postseasons.
System Match (PLAY OVER): MIL-TB (o/u at 6.5)
Nine Top MLB World Series Betting Systems
Over the last 20+ years of World Series action, several nice betting systems have emerged. You know you’re going to bet the games; why not arm yourself with key data that has won recently.
WORLD SERIES system #1:
Home field advantage hasn’t meant a lot in recent World Series action, with hosts on a 24-35 slide in the last 59 opportunities dating back to 2016 (-21.61 Units, -36.6% ROI).
System Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+130 vs MIL)
WORLD SERIES system #2:
Dating back to 2007, World Series Home Underdogs of +120 or more have gone just 2-8 (-5.22 Units, -52.2%)
System Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+130 vs MIL)
WORLD SERIES system #5:
World Series teams have struggled putting back-to-back wins together recently, going 13-27 in the game following up a WS win (-20.07 Units, -50.2% ROI)
System Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+130 vs MIL)
MLB Bullpen Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.
STARTER/BULLPEN CORRELATION SYSTEMS
Teams with strong bullpens (SM rating of 10 or higher) and an elite starting pitcher with a SM rating of +20 or more went 352-210 for +30.55 units, when not matched against the same in the 2025 season. This represents an ROI of +5.4%. For 2026, these teams got off to a slow start but roared back in the season’s final month, ending the campaign with a record of 318-216 for +8.23 units and an ROI of +1.5% (10-9, -3.62 units in the playoffs).
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-157 at TB)
MLB Team Strength Systems
The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios.
MLB Team Strength Betting System #5:
In MLB games occurring in August or later between two teams who have >= 0.580 win pct, smaller favorites in the -111 to -175 line range have gone 60-31 SU for +17.69 units (ROI: 19.4%) in the last five seasons.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-157 at TB)
Today’s MLB Strength Ratings
The following MLB betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com.
Theoretically, green star “edges” come up when a team has an odds edge of 15 cents over the actual price. That is a legacy thing. However, this year I have recorded that a 10-cent edge is actually better, as teams with an edge of 10 cents against the actual odds have gone 692-691 for +12.62 units, good for +0.9% ROI.
Ratings Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE -157 (+20 diff)
Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots
The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots.
(959) MILWAUKEE (113-61) at (960) TAMPA BAY (106-69)
Trend: MIL has won Jacob Misiorowski’s last twelve starts (+12.00 units)
Trend: MIL is the most profitable MLB team in night games this season (76-37 record, +28.24 units)
Trends Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-157 at TB)
Top Head-to-Head Series MLB Betting Trends
Trend: Home teams are 13-5 (72.2%, +6.36 units) in the last 18 of the Rays-Brewers interleague series
– The ROI on this trend is 35.3%
Trend Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (+130 vs MIL)
Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data
Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.
DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: Majority handle bettors have been at their worst overall in interleague games since the start of 2023, going 1,074-957 (52.9%) but for -215.64 units and an ROI of -10.6%. This is over two full percentage points worse for return on a huge sample of games and an indication that bettors have trouble gauging the strengths/motivations of the teams when playing unfamiliar opponents.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (-157 at TB)
DK MLB Betting Splits system #9: Majority handle bettors have endured three consecutive poor playoff seasons in 2023-2025, with a combined record of 64-64 (50%) for -19.84 units and an ROI of -15.5% (21-17, -1.67 units in 2026).
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (-157 at TB)
