Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for July 19. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Sunday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Sunday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-104) vs. Twins
Twins at Cubs – 2:20 pm ET
Busch heads into Sunday having recorded at least two HRR in four consecutive games. He’s also averaging 1.8 HRR per game against righty starters this season. With that in mind, even in a pitcher-friendly ball park, I’ll take my chances with Busch against Zebby Matthews. The Minnesota righty carries a 6.17 road ERA into this game at Wrigley Field.
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) vs. Rockies
Reds at Rockies – 3:10 pm ET
I have lost playing Bleday to go Over 1.5 total bases twice in this series, as I have been expecting he’d have some success against righties at Coors Field. Well, I’m willing to go 0 for 3 backing the lefty slugger against righties in the most hitter-friendly park in the world. Bleday is averaging 1.7 total bases per game against right-handed starters this year, so he should bounce back.
Foster Griffin Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120) vs. Athletics
Nationals at Athletics – 4:05 pm ET
There’s definitely a chance Griffin will get beat up a bit against a dangerous Athletics offense — especially with this game being played at Sutter Health Park. However, I like the lefty to rack up some strikeouts before he’s ultimately pulled. He has had at least six Ks in three of his last four starts, so he should be able to take advantage of an A’s lineup that has a strikeout rate of 24.6% against lefties this year.
Additional Picks
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-132) vs. Phillies
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140) vs. Brewers
Casey Mize Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-120) vs. Angels
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Billy Cook Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-104) vs. Guardians
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.37 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -292 — a +23.5% edge to the Over.
Dalton Rushing Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-136) vs. Yankees
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.63 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -410 — a +22.8% edge to the Over.
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-113) vs. Dodgers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.41 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -310 — a +22.7% edge to the Over.
