Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for July 29. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Wednesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Wednesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Cam Schlittler Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+110) vs. White Sox
Yankees at White Sox – 7:40 pm ET
Gerrit Cole didn’t breeze Over his strikeout total last night, but he did end up getting there. Well, I’m thinking Schlittler will do the same tonight. The righty comes into this one having recorded at least eight strikeouts in five of his last seven outings, and he’s now averaging 7.6 strikeouts per game on the road this season. He has also had at least eight Ks in three of his last four away starts. Tonight, Schlittler gets a crack at a White Sox team that can run into trouble when it comes to making contact. That said, he should be on point with his stuff this evening.
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100) vs. Angels
Astros at Angels – 9:38 pm ET
Pena is batting .314 with 11 homers and 30 RBIs for Houston, and he has been on a tear recently. With that in mind, he’s the first player I thought of when seeing that a struggling Grayson Rodriguez was toeing the rubber for Los Angeles. While Pena hasn’t hit lefties hard this season, he has in the past. So, he should be able to get himself back on track in a meeting with a southpaw tonight, and that’s especially true with Rodriguez having allowed five or more earned runs in back-to-back starts.
Patrick Sandoval Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-112) vs. Athletics
Red Sox at Athletics – 9:40 pm ET
There’s a decent chance the Athletics get to Sandoval tonight, as Sutter Health Park is a very hitter-friendly environment. However, I do see the lefty doing some damage with his swing-and-miss stuff. The Athletics have a strikeout rate of 24.4% when facing lefties this season, and Sandoval has had five strikeouts in two of his three starts since returning to action. This is a good matchup for him to miss bats.
Additional Picks
Ryan Gusto Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-126) vs. Phillies
AJ Smith-Shawver Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-108) vs. Mets
Tarik Skubal Over 8.5 Strikeouts (+103) vs. Orioles
Christian Yelich Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-121) vs. Giants
Gabriel Hughes Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+126) vs. Padres
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-119) vs. Dodgers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.89 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -563 — a +30.6% edge to the Over.
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-138) vs. Red Sox
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.70 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -446 — a +23.7% edge to the Over.
Jahmai Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-112) vs. Athletics
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 2.75 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -316 — a +23.1% edge to the Over.
