Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for June 22. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Monday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Monday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Gerrit Cole Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-114 – 1.5 units) vs. Tigers
Yankees at Tigers – 6:10 pm ET
Cole is coming off a six-strikeout outing against the White Sox on June 16, and that was a game in which he really started to look like his old self. That said, getting Cole’s strikeout total at 5.5 against the Tigers is really hard to pass up tonight, and it’s something I’m going to go a little bigger on than usual. This Detroit offense has a 23.0% strikeout rate, meaning this is a bottom-10 team in the league when it comes to avoiding Ks. Cole should be able to take advantage.
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-137) vs. Mets
Cubs at Mets – 7:10 pm ET
Crow-Armstrong has been posting some insane number lately. He has gone Over 1.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs (HRR) in 17 of his last 22 games, averaging 3.4 HRR per game in that span. He’s also batting .415 since this recent stretch started. Well, Kodai Senga will be on the mound for the Mets tonight, bringing a 9.00 ERA into the game. He’s not pitching very well this season, plus he’s a right-handed pitcher. Crow-Armstrong does his best work against righties.
Max Muncy Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125) vs. Twins
Dodgers at Twins – 7:40 pm ET
Muncy is in a bit of a slump entering this meeting with the Twins, but I like him to bust out of it tonight. This season, the lefty slugger is averaging 1.8 total bases per game when facing right-handed pitching. That’s a good sign heading into a meeting with Zebby Matthews, a righty that has a 5.93 ERA on the season. Matthews throws a lot of strikes, and he throws them hard. That might seem like a good thing, but he has had some homer troubles. Muncy might be able to pounce on that, but I’ll just take the plus-money odds for him to finish with two total bases.
Additional Picks
Drew Rasmussen Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-128) vs. Royals
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-122) vs. Rangers
Brandon Woodruff Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120) vs. Reds
Ezequiel Tovar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-130) vs. Red Sox
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100) vs. Padres
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Rodolfo Durant Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-109) vs. Braves
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.45 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -327 — a +24.4% edge to the Over.
Zack Short Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+101) vs. Cubs
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.35 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -286 — a +24.3% edge to the Over.
Eli White Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-118) vs. Padres
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him projected for 1.50 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -347 — a +23.5% edge to the Over.
