Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for September 19. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Saturday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Saturday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Noah Cameron Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+116) vs. Pirates
Royals at Pirates – 6:40 pm ET
The Pirates are 30th in MLB in whiff percentage against lefties this season, and Cameron comes into this one having racked up at least seven strikeouts in his last three games against bottom-10 teams in whiff rate against southpaws. At plus-money odds, I’ll look for him to have six this evening.
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+110) vs. Rockies
Mariners at Rockies – 8:10 pm ET
I can’t quit Arozarena now. We were on him last night, when he had four hits, runs, and RBIs to go Over his total of 2.5. He has now gone Over that number in six of his last seven games. With another game at Coors Field — and facing a lefty — I imagine he’ll come through again.
Brandon Pfaadt Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+105) vs. Yankees
Yankees at Diamondbacks – 8:10 pm ET
Pfaadt has had at least seven strikeouts in three of his last five starts, and I can see him putting a good number in the K column tonight. The Yankees are obviously very dangerous offensively, but they also rank 27th in the league in whiff rate and 28th in strikeout rate. That said, Pfaadt does have a chance to miss some bats here.
Additional Picks
Sean Burke Over 5.5 Strikeout (+105) vs. Tigers
Robert Gasser Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-102) vs. Orioles
Joe Ryan Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+123) vs. Angels
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Jose Quintana Over 2.5 Strikeouts (+140) vs. Mariners
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 3.87 strikeouts, suggesting these odds should be -287 — a +32.5% edge to the Over.
Sean Murphy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-122) vs. Astros
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.72 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -460 — a +27.2% edge to the Over.
David Fry Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-146) vs. Athletics
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.92 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -584 — a +26.0% edge to the Over.
