Best Bets on Today’s MLB Player Props Market
The 2023 MLB season is underway and VSiN has you covered with every way you can possibly bet on a baseball game. As always, Adam Burke will have daily best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, run lines and totals. However, I’m tackling player props here, and I’m targeting Shane Bieber, Alex Verdugo and Patrick Corbin on Tuesday, May 9th. Keep reading to find out how I’m betting on each of them.
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MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on May 9
Here are our favorite MLB prop bets for Tuesday, May 9th:
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians (-195, 7.5)
Shane Bieber has been dealing for Cleveland this season, as the righty is 2-1 with a 2.96 ERA. Bieber is also coming off a start in which he pitched 8.0 innings of two-run ball against the New York Yankees, and he pitched 7.0 innings in the start before that. In fact, Bieber has now pitched at least 7.0 innings in three of his last four outings. And we’re counting on the righty to do so again against the Tigers on Tuesday. However, we can live with 6.2 innings.
Only five teams in baseball have scored fewer runs than the Tigers have against righties this season. So, it’s hard not to like this matchup for Bieber. He also pitched at least 7.0 innings in three of his four starts against the Tigers in 2022, and Detroit’s offense really hasn’t changed much since last year. With that said, it’s hard to envision Bieber not going somewhat deep in this game.
Bet: Bieber Over 19.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves (-180, 10)
Alex Verdugo is batting .307 with five homers, 10 doubles and 18 RBIs for the Red Sox in 2023. He has been a hitting machine for Boston, and he continues to bat in the leadoff spot. That means that Verdugo is always a threat to get more plate appearances in a game, and that’s important when looking to hitter props on Tuesday. This game has the highest total on the board, so we wanted to back somebody here. And Verdugo hits righties very hard and should get a lot of opportunities to cash his total bases prop.
Verdugo is 3 for 7 with two doubles against Charlie Morton in his career. That’s a small sample size but it also happens to be an important one when you factor in that Morton is only getting worse with age. We love Verdugo’s chances of coming through with multiple base hits tonight, or simply getting an extra base hit to cash in one swing. Morton is coming off a rocky outing against the New York Mets, and he’s just not a guy you can count on to shut opponents down anymore.
Bet: Verdugo Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants (-245, 8.5)
Patrick Corbin is normally a pitcher that we like to fade, but he has been surprisingly competent recently. The lefty has turned in quality starts in three of his last four outings, and he has lowered his ERA from 8.00 on April 5th to 5.17 heading into this game. Now, Corbin gets a crack at a Giants lineup that strikes out rather often. So, we’re playing the over on his strikeout prop.
Corbin’s strikeout total sits at just 4.5 in this game, but he has had at least five strikeouts in two of his last three starts. San Francisco also happens to have the second-highest strikeout rate in the league against southpaws this season, so this matchup couldn’t possibly be better. Can Corbin get shelled in this game? Sure. But he should miss some bats in the process.
Bet: Corbin Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-105)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +738 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
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