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Greg Peterson posts his daily handicapped MLB lines for every game every day. Based on his lines vs. the actual lines, here is where Peterson sees value on today’s menu. Peterson also does a daily podcast, The Baseball Betting Show, on which he breaks down every game every day.
Royals vs. White Sox (-1.5, +105). Greg’s Run Line: White Sox -1.5, -117.
The Royals are 0-9 in Jordan Lyles’ starts this season, losing eight by at least two runs. He has a 7.14 ERA with a league-high 14 home runs allowed in 51 2/3 innings this season. White Sox starter Lucas Giolito is issuing a career-low 1.8 walks per nine innings, and he has a 2.45 ERA at home this season compared to a 5.14 road ERA.
Twins vs. Angels (-120). Greg’s Line: Angels -136.
The Twins are last in the league in road batting average at .208. Their home run leader Joey Gallo and Jorge Polanco, who has the team’s best batting average among players with at least 70 at-bats, are both dealing with injuries. The Angels are fifth in the league in home runs per game at home and face Twins starter Louie Varland, who has a 4.30 ERA and a 5.12 FIP while allowing 2.3 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers vs. Rays Total 7.5. Greg’s Total 8.6.
The Rays are second in the league in runs per game and lead the league in batting average and home runs. Brewers starter Eric Lauer has a 4.54 ERA and 5.97 FIP with 2.3 home runs and 4.4 walks allowed per nine innings. He is backed up by a bullpen with a 5.24 ERA in the past 30 days.
Mariners vs. Braves Total 9. Greg’s Total 9.6.
The Braves are using a bullpen game on Saturday with Jesse Chavez being the opener for a team that ranks 25th in bullpen ERA the past 30 days with a mark of 4.91. The Braves also lead the National League with 1.7 home runs per game and are second in runs per game among National League teams with more than 5.3 runs per game. They go against Mariners starter Logan Gilbert who has a 4.26 road ERA this season.
