MLB Best Bets & Props: Expert picks for Sunday, July 23rd

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Best Bets on Today’s 15-Game MLB Schedule

The 2023 MLB season is fully in swing and VSiN has you covered with every way you can possibly bet on a baseball game. Normally, Adam Burke will have daily best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, run lines and totals, while I focus on feeding you all player props. However, Adam is off on Sundays, so I’m tackling everything before we get back to our regularly scheduled programming tomorrow. Keep reading to find out how I’m betting three of the games on the MLB schedule for Sunday, July 23rd. 

 

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MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on July 23

Here are our favorite MLB prop bets for Sunday, July 23rd: 

Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees (-195, 9)

This isn’t necessarily a matchup between two elite offenses, but these lineups should find a way to take advantage of the starting pitchers that will be out there this afternoon. Jordan Lyles has allowed just one earned run over his last 11.0 innings on the mound, but he’s still just 1-11 with a 6.05 ERA this season. He’s also a miserable 1-5 with a 7.36 ERA on the road, and he has a 1-6 record and an 8.69 ERA in afternoon games. With that said, he is at risk of getting beat up a bit at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.

Severino is in a similar spot, as he’s 1-4 with a 6.66 ERA and has looked like one of the worst pitchers in baseball this year. Injuries have just completely derailed his career, and he comes into this start after having given up at least five hits in eight consecutive starts. When you combine that with the fact that he has issued at least two walks in six of those contests, it’s clear Severino is getting himself into trouble quite a bit. Considering all of the pitcher facts, how can you not take the Over?

Bet: Over 9 (-110)

St. Louis Cardinals (-145, 9.5) at Chicago Cubs

Jordan Montgomery has been very good for the Cardinals this year, as the lefty is 6-7 with a 3.14 ERA and 101 strikeouts. However, Montgomery did get shelled in a start against the Cubs earlier this season. On May 10th, Montgomery gave up six earned runs on three walks and seven hits in 5.0 innings of work in a loss at Wrigley Field. Now, Montgomery heads back to the scene of the crime, and it’s hard not to like Chicago to get the best of him again — especially at plus-money odds.

The Cubs are a team that are a lot more effective when matched up against southpaws, so they’ll be eager to get out there for this one. Jameson Taillon also happens to be in a nice little groove for Chicago right now. The righty has allowed just three earned runs over his last 13.2 innings of work, and I think he’ll be able to do just enough to allow his lineup to go out and win this for him.

Bet: Cubs ML (+125)

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners (-140, 8.5)

Like Patrick Corbin, Alek Manoah is a pitcher that people like to blindly fade. But this matchup is one in which he might be able to help us cash in. The Mariners could ultimately win this game, but I don’t think they’ll do it without striking out quite a bit. This season, Seattle has the second-highest strikeout rate in the league against right-handed pitching. And the Mariners already had some trouble with Manoah earlier in the year. Back on April 28th, the righty struck out seven batters in a 3-2 win over Seattle. And for as bad as Manoah has been this year, his swing-and-miss stuff isn’t completely lost. He has still had at least five strikeouts in seven of his starts this season. I think he’ll hit that mark again, even if it might look ugly along the way.

Bet: Manoah Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-145)

Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +625 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!

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