The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Monday, June 2, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.

 

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AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

Trend: SF is 15-3 (+10.20 units) at home as a favorite vs Divisional opponents with starter Logan Webb in the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-180 vs. SD) 

Trend: Favorites are on a 16-2 (88.9%, +11.95 units) surge in the Athletics-Minnesota head-to-head series.
– The ROI on this trend is 66.4%
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-162 at ATH) 

* Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more are on a 32-93 skid (-40.66 units, ROI -32.5%) in the next game when playing as road underdogs
System Match (FADE): COLORADO (+164 at MIA)

MLB Bullpen Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings. 

The quickest way to play the bullpen system
For the 2025 season, better rated bullpen teams that were not favorites of -190 or higher, or were -190 or higher and had a winning percentage 19% or higher and a starting pitcher edge of at least 20 have gone 415-342 for +5.73 units and an ROI of 0.8% so far in the regular season. This is still a solid early return compared to what the average bettor playing every MLB game this season theoretically would be down, over -46.25 units.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BOSTON, MILWAUKEE, DETROIT, SAN FRANCISCO, MINNESOTA, NY METS 

Back teams with both a better SM bullpen rating and starting pitcher rating if that team has an even or worse record
In the 2025 season so far, I have found that teams with an even or worse record on the season but showing a better Steve Makinen Bullpen Rating and starting pitcher rating have gone 79-47 for +20.11 units, and an ROI of 16%! To ensure this isn’t a fluke run, I went back and tabulated the results from the 2024 full regular teams, and teams in that same scenario were 189-127 for +35 units and an ROI of 11.1%. This seems to be a good foundational angle to follow since the prices aren’t that high typically.
System Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-180 vs. SD) 

Back big favorites (-190 or more) with better bullpen ratings and winning percentage >=19% higher than opponent
A 2023 mid-season bullpen ratings discovery found that some big favorites do prove worthy of backing consistently, regardless of the high prices, because the games are absolute mismatches. The last two regular seasons for this system finished at a record of 252-103, for +8.01 units. The ROI on this angle was at +2.3% ROI. For 2025, these teams are off to a very strong start, 71-22 for +14.33 units, a ROI of 15.4%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MIAMI (-198 vs COL), DETROIT (-205 at CWS)

Overpriced better bullpen without a big starting pitcher edge angle was the 2023 regular season’s most lucrative system
In combining starting pitcher differences in looking at games with -190 favorites or higher, there was a huge opportunity to be selective in fading overpriced favorites. Specifically, when the starting pitcher difference between the better Steve Makinen rated bullpen team was less than 20, those big favorites have gone 160-122, but for -115.88 units in the 2023 and 2024 regular seasons. That represents an ROI of -41.1%, very solid results. So far in ’25, these teams are unusually positive, 52-18 for +10.09 units. However, this system also remains just a few games away from going negative.
System Match (FADE): MIAMI (-198 vs. COL) 

Better bullpen underdog teams were solid wagers all season long
A frequent and profitable system in the 2023 season, and prior to that as well, arose when the team with the better SM Bullpen Ratings played as an underdog (or pick ’em). Money line underdog teams with better bullpen ratings for the last two seasons were 701-790, but for +46.27 units. The 2024 season was below standards historically (lost -26.45 units), and we will be looking for a bounce back in 2025. For the season, the record is now 141-160 for +3.01 units.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MILWAUKEE (-102 at CIN), NY METS (+142 at LAD) 

Better bullpen underdog teams in -110 to +144 range have won nicely
Digging deeper into the better bullpen underdog system above, when limiting the plays to those better bullpen underdogs (or pick ’ems) in the -110 to +144 range, those teams produced a 328-350 record, for +9.84 units (ROI 1.1%) in the full 2024 season. I believe this angle has a bit more merit than the overall bullpen underdog system in that the better bullpens figure to be the difference in games that are expected to be highly competitive. For ’25, these teams struggled out of the gate, but are now 124-138 for -3.68 units after five straight winning weeks.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MILWAUKEE (-102 at CIN), NY METS (+142 at LAD) 

Better bullpen teams are capable of building lengthy winning streaks
In conducting a study of teams with better bullpens on winning streaks in 2023, when looking at teams with better Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings looking to extend 3-game winning streaks, I tracked that those teams that went 241-168 for +11.33 units, a respectable ROI of 2.7%. For 2024, better bullpen teams on a three-game winning streak went 200-187 for -64.18 units (-16.6% ROI). This was a massive one-year swing for this system, and it was removed from the Analytics Report. However, I am giving it a chance in 2025. So far, it is 88-64 for +1.44 units, having recovered from a slow start.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): MILWAUKEE (-102 at CIN), NY METS (+142 at LAD) 

Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website prior to opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 10 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that was developed in the 2023/2024 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 10:45 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.

Below is a summary of the 2024 season findings, with the 2023 results also noted. As you can see, bettors were somewhat improved over the 2023 season in all of the six measured categories. These were the 2024 full-season results, along with some notes about the early 2025 returns:

– 2024 Majority handle on sides: 1366-1064 (56.2%), -129.73 units – ROI -5.3% (2023 full season ROI was -10.7%)
– 2024 Majority number of bets on sides: 1399-1044 (57.3%), -129.28 units – ROI -5.3% (2023 full season ROI was -8.9%)
– 2024 Majority handle on run lines: 1181-1260 (48.4%). -108.79 units, ROI -4.5% (2023 full season ROI was -7.9%)
– 2024 Majority number of bets on run lines: 1165-1280 (47.6%). -97.78 units – ROI -4.0% (2023 full season ROI was -7.9%)
– Majority handle on totals: 1200-1139 (51.3%). -52.9 units – ROI -2.3% (2023 full season ROI was -2.6%)
– Majority number of bets on totals: 1186-1121 (51.4%), -47.1 units, ROI -2.0% (2023 full season ROI was -8.3%) 

If you’re wondering why all of the results don’t add up to the same amount of games, it’s because 50/50 handle or bets splits are counted as null, plus there were several pushes on totals throughout the season. 

As a general rule, acknowledging the approximate -7% returns on all side majorities, and -4% on total majorities, if adopting the use of the betting splits this season, opt to fade majorities unless shown otherwise in one of the systems below to be a profitable follow angle.

DK MLB Betting Splits system #1: When 90% or more of the handle was on the home side of an MLB money line wager since the beginning of the 2023 season, this “super” majority group has fared quite well, going 200-83 (70.7%) for +35.78 units and a ROI of +12.6%. This obviously beats the overall majority handle ROI return by over 20%. If you see 90% or more of the handle backing a host in an MLB game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Match (PLAY): MIAMI 

DK MLB Betting Splits system #2: Majority bets groups have proven to be reasonably successful when not too many of them hop on a side since the beginning of the 2023 season, and in fact, the benchmark was 60%+. When the majority percentage figure of bets landed in the 51%-59% range, these groups have gone 431-381 (53.1%) for -4.6 units and an ROI of -0.6%. This is no longer positive after two full seasons, but it is an improvement of about 6.5% on the overall numbers, and a return that would easily keep bettors afloat, considering this angle has included 812 total games. Following smaller majorities can be a sound strategy.
System Match (CONSIDER PLAYING): MILWAUKEE 

DK MLB Betting Splits system #4: For as good as majority handle bettors have been on huge home favorites since the beginning of last season, they are equally as bad on heavy road favorites of -200 or higher. This group is 107-61 (61.1%) for -37.26 units and an ROI of -22.2%. This has proven to be a brutal way to drain a bankroll quickly.
System Match (FADE): DETROIT 

DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: There has been a unique system that has developed since the start of last season when majority handle betting groups backed home favorites with fewer wins on the season. This is a terrible scenario for bettors, as they are just 226-228 (48.3%) for -105.41 units and an atrocious ROI of -23.2%. There’s a lot of common sense to this not doing well, since the lesser team is being favored just because it is at home or has a better starting pitcher working.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CINCINNATI, LA DODGERS 

DK MLB Betting Splits system #9: Over the last season-and-a-half, the average posted total in MLB games has been a touch over 8.5. In games with posted totals higher than that (9 or higher), majority bettors have done quite well when they’ve had the discipline to opt for Under the total. This group has gone 190-169 (73.4%) since the start of the ‘23 season for +26.1 units and an ROI of +7.3%!
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIL-CIN 

MLB Series Systems

The following systems are from an article posted on April 3, 2025 regarding MLB game-by-game betting, particularly the first and last games of a series.

MLB Series Betting System #1: Teams starting a new series and riding at least a 3-game winning streak are 365-279 for +48.71 units and an ROI of 7.6% over the last three seasons
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MILWAUKEE (-102 at CIN), NY METS (+142 at LAD) 

MLB Series Betting System #7: Small home favorites of -111 to -180 have been terrible in the first game of any homestand, going 290-254 but for -68.67 units and an ROI of -12.6% over the last three seasons
System Matches (FADE ALL): BOSTON (-155 vs. LAA), CINCINNATI (-118 vs MIL), SAN FRANCISCO (-180 vs. SD) 

MLB Series Betting System #10: Teams playing in the first game of a new series on the road and coming off a win in which they scored six or more runs in a win boast a solid 332-272 record for +57.49 units and an ROI of 9.5% over the last three seasons, so long as they are not priced at +175 or worse
System Match (PLAY): SAN DIEGO (+150 at SF)

MLB Extreme Stats Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the article titled MLB Extreme Stats Systems, detailing eight MLB betting systems for betting teams based upon noteworthy stats they accumulated in their previous game 

Road teams that didn’t score well last game are a bad bet in the next outing
You’re going to want to consider fading teams playing on the road that scored two runs or fewer in their last contest. They have proven to be bankroll-busting options over their last 4+ seasons. These road teams are just 1757-2246 (43.9%) for -202.27 units and a ROI of -5.1% since the start of the 2019 season.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LA ANGELS (+130 at BOS), DETROIT (-205 at CWS), MINNESOTA (-162 at ATH) 

Home team hitting slumps don’t last long
MLB home teams coming off a game in which they had four hits or fewer have rebounded quickly with a 1027-887 (53.7%) record in the follow-up contest since the start of the 2018 season. This has resulted in a profit of +15.20 units for backers and an ROI of 0.8%.
System Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-118 vs. MIL)

MLB Streak Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the 2023 midseason article titled Handicapping MLB Streaks, detailing 14 different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks. 

Losing Streak Betting System #1:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more are on a 32-93 skid (-40.66 units, ROI -32.5%) in the next game when playing as road underdogs
System Match (FADE): COLORADO (+164 at MIA) 

Losing Streak Betting System #2:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more and winning fewer than 43% of their games on the season are on a 62-130 skid (-35.94 units, ROI: -18.7%).
System Match (FADE): COLORADO (+164 at MIA) 

Losing Streak Betting System #3:
Strangely, teams on losing streaks of seven games or more tend to fare best against their best opponents. Against teams winning 61.5% of their games or more, these teams on losing skids have gone 18-19 (+12.01 units, ROI: 32.5%) while against all other opponents with lesser records than 61.5% winning percentage, they are just 75-158 (-61.05 units, ROI: -26.2%) since the start of the 2021 season.
System Match (FADE): COLORADO (+164 at MIA) 

Losing Streak Betting System #6:
Teams that have lost their last four games but are getting reasonably good pitching during the skid have been solid wagers in game #5, as those that allowed 6.0 RPG or fewer during the streak are on a 216-214 run (+34.17 units, ROI: 7.9%).
System Match (PLAY): COLORADO (+164 at MIA) 

Today’s MLB Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com. 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
System Match: NY METS +142 (+17 diff) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
System Matches: DETROIT -205 (+23 diff), MINNESOTA -162 (+18) 

Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
System Match: DET-CWS OVER 8 (+0.7) 

Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
System Matches: MIL-CIN UNDER 9.5 (-0.5), NYM-LAD UNDER 9.5 (-0.5)

Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots

The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots. 

(953) MILWAUKEE (32-28) at (954) CINCINNATI (29-31)
Trend: Under the total is 21-10-2 (+10.00 units) in Brewers night games this season
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIL-CIN (o/u at 9.5) 

(955) SAN DIEGO (33-24) at (956) SAN FRANCISCO (33-26)
Trend: SF is 15-3 (+10.20 units) at home as a favorite vs Divisional opponents with starter Logan Webb in the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-180 vs. SD) 

(957) NEW YORK-NL (37-22) at (958) LOS ANGELES-NL (36-23)
Trend: Over the total is 20-10 (+9.00 units) in Dodgers home games this season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): NYM-LAD (o/u at 9.5) 

(961) DETROIT (39-21) at (962) CHICAGO-AL (18-41)
Trend: Jack Flaherty has taken care of business against lesser opponents, going 28-10 (+8.28 units) against teams with a 45% or lower win pct in the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-205 at CWS) 

(963) MINNESOTA (31-27) at (964) ATHLETICS (23-37)
Trend: MIN is 19-4 (+12.53 units) vs. teams with a winning pct of <42% with starter Joe Ryan since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-162 at ATH)

Trend: Luis Severino is 11-28 (-14.89 units) as an underdog in the last three seasons
Trend Match (FADE): ATHLETICS (+136 vs. MIN)

Series #18: Milwaukee at Cincinnati, Mon 6/2-Wed 6/4
Trend: MILWAUKEE is on an extended 27-9 (75%, +16.79 units) run versus Cincinnati in head-to-head play.
– The ROI on this trend is 46.6%
Trend Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-102 at CIN) 

Series #19: Minnesota at Athletics, Mon 6/2-Thu 6/5
Trend: Favorites are on a 16-2 (88.9%, +11.95 units) surge in the Athletics-Minnesota head-to-head series.
– The ROI on this trend is 66.4%
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-162 at ATH) 

Team Specific Momentum Building/Letdown Angles

The following MLB betting trends and qualifying plays are from the article entitled MLB post-rivalry series betting opportunities

NO QUALIFYING MOMENTUM ANGLES TODAY (next: Friday, June 6)

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