The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Saturday, October 24, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* Since the start of 2014, teams that scored two or fewer runs in the prior World Series game are on an incredible 25-13 surge (+12.63 Units, 33.2% ROI).
System Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (+100 at MIL)

Notable Postseason Team Trends (since 2015)
* TAMPA BAY: 23-18-1 to the Under for +3.10 units
* MILWAUKEE: 26-12-1 to the Under for +12.70 units
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): TB-MIL (o/u at 6.5)

Line angles
Home favorites of -112 to -180 in the MLB playoffs dating back to 2018 have been very vulnerable. They are just 99-93 SU (-33.63 units, ROI: -17.5%)
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE

Series wins status
For teams leading in a series, HOME FIELD advantage has meant quite a lot, as these hosts are 81-59 SU (+11.15 units, ROI: 8%) and 72-68 on run lines (+13.29 units, ROI: 9.5%) since ’13.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE

Trends based upon regular season records
In the last six playoff seasons following a full regular season (excluding 2020), MLB teams that won 100 games or more are on a slide of 27-34 SU (-19.37 units, ROI: -31.8%) and 21-40 on run lines (-20.72 units, ROI: -34%) in playoff games.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE

Totals angles
The last four MLB postseasons have been very good for Over bettors, as that side of the total has gone 118-113-3, and Overs have produced a return of +19.22 units, an ROI of 8.3%. Total odds are usually heavily shaded towards Unders in recent postseasons.
System Match (PLAY OVER): TB-MIL (o/u at 6.5)

Nine Top MLB World Series Betting Systems

Over the last 20+ years of World Series action, several nice betting systems have emerged. You know you’re going to bet the games; why not arm yourself with key data that has won recently.

WORLD SERIES system #1:
Home field advantage hasn’t meant a lot in recent World Series action, with hosts on a 22-34 slide in the last 56 opportunities dating back to 2016 (-22.54 Units, -40.3% ROI).
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (-120 vs TB)

WORLD SERIES system #3:
Strangely, the most profitable home teams in the World Series recently have been those in the -110 to -125 range, or the very short favorites, as those teams are on a 19-12 run since 2000 (+4.79 Units, 15.5% ROI)
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-120 vs TB)

WORLD SERIES system #5:
World Series teams have struggled putting back-to-back wins together recently, going 11-26 in the game following up a WS win (-20.91 Units, -56.5% ROI).
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (-120 vs TB)

WORLD SERIES system #8:
Incredibly, since the start of the 2014 World Series, teams that scored two or fewer runs in the prior game are on an incredible 25-13 surge (+12.63 Units, 33.2% ROI).
System Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (+100 at MIL)

MLB Bullpen Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.

Better bullpen small favorite teams in -111 to -126 range are thriving in ‘26
In the 2026 regular season, small favorite teams in the -111 to -126 line range with a SM Bullpen Rating edge fared quite well. Last season this was about a -6% ROI angle. However, there is some foundation to the system in that with teams this closely matched together by the oddsmakers, it can often be good bullpen performance that separates the teams. For 2026, these teams finished 266-187 for +45.33 units, an ROI of +10% (3-0, +3.00 units in the playoffs).
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-120 vs TB)

MLB Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based upon some various team strength indicator or line scenarios.

MLB Team Strength Betting System #5:
In MLB games occurring in August or later between two teams who have >= 0.580 win pct, smaller favorites in the -111 to -175 line range have gone 59-29 SU for +18.97 units (ROI: 21.6%) in the last five seasons.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-120 vs TB)

MLB Streak Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays detail different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks.

Winning Streak Betting System #10:
Oddly, teams that score the most runs per game are the best to fade to see their four-game winning streak reach five. Teams scoring 5.0 or more runs per game and riding a four-game winning streak are just 174-177 (-76.98 units, ROI: -21.9%) in the next contest since the start of the 2021 season.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (-120 vs TB)

Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots

The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots.

(953) TAMPA BAY (105-67) at (954) MILWAUKEE (111-60)
Trend: TB is the most profitable team in the MLB on the run line in night games this season (64-44, +27.71 units)
Trend Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (+1.5 at MIL)
Trend: Current MIL batters have a .250 BA and .752 OPS in 48 AB versus starter Drew Rasmussen in his career
Trend: MIL is 60-25 (+19.71 units) in home games this season
Trends Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-120 vs TB)

Trend: Home teams are 11-4 (73.3%, +5.43 units) run in the last 15 of Rays-Brewers interleague series
– The ROI on this trend is 36.2%
Trend Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-120 vs TB)

Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s game as of 10:15 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.

DK MLB Betting Splits system #9: Majority handle bettors have endured three consecutive poor playoff seasons in 2023-2025, with a combined record of 64-64 (50%) for -19.84 units and an ROI of -15.5% (21-14, +1.61 units in 2026).
System Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+100 at MIL)

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Steve Makinen
Steve Makinen
As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.

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