Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded 15-game MLB slate. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits, which come directly from DraftKings and are updated every 10-minutes.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of games today.
Top MLB Resources:
1:40 p.m. ET: Chicago Cubs (-175, 9) at Miami Marlins
The Cubs (65-65) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning the opener 6-3 as -125 road favorites and then rolling again yesterday 14-2 at -200 road favorites. In this afternoon’s series finale, the Cubs send out righty Javier Assad (6-3, 3.11 ERA) and the Marlins (46-83) tap fellow righty Adam Oller (0-1, 9.64 ERA). This line opened with Chicago listed as a -160 road favorite and Miami a +145 home dog. Sharps are banking on the Cubs to complete the sweep, steaming Chicago up from -160 to -175. The Cubs are receiving roughly 85% of moneyline bets and dollars, evidence of heavy support from both wisesguys and the betting public in addition to a 15-cent steam move in their favor. Chicago has the better bats, hitting 139 homers and scoring 557 runs compared to Miami hitting 118 homers and scoring only 476 runs. The Cubs have value as a non-division favorite, with the lack of familiarity benefiting the better team who is expected to win. Assad has a 2.45 ERA in four August starts, allowing only 5 earned runs in 18.1 innings pitched. Chicago is 5-1 in his last six starts. He has a 2.61 ERA in the day compared to 3.39 at night. The Cubs are 6-4 over their last ten games with a 3.13 ERA. The Marlins are 2-8 over their last ten games with a 6.31 ERA. Miami is 24-44 at home, the second worst home record in MLB .
2:10 p.m. ET: St. Louis Cardinals at Minnesota Twins (-145, 8.5)
This is the rubber match of a three-game Interleague series. The Cardinals (64-65) won the opener 6-1, cashing as +125 road dogs. Then the Twins (72-57) bounced back with a 6-0 win yesterday, taking care of business as -135 home favorites. In this afternoon’s series finale, the Cardinals start righty Erick Fedde (8-7, 3.39 ERA) and the Twins turn to fellow righty Zebby Matthews (1-1, 3.60 ERA). This line opened with Minnesota listed as a -125 home favorite and St. Louis a +115 road dog. Wiseguys have laid the short chalk with Minnesota at home, steaming the Twins up from -125 to -145. Minnesota is receiving roughly 65% of moneyline bets and dollars, indicating modest public support but also respected smart money in the form of a 20-cent steam move in their direction. The Twins have the superior offense, hitting .253 with 159 homers and 631 runs scored compared to the Cardinals hitting .246 with 134 homers and 529 runs scored. St. Louis is 30-35 on the road. Minnesota is 37-25 at home. Fedde has a 4.98 ERA in four starts since joining the Cardinals, allowing 12 earned runs in 21.2 innings pitched. St. Louis is 1-3 in his four starts. Minnesota is hitting .266 at home this season, the 4th highest home batting average in MLB. St. Louis is hitting .242 on the road, ranking 14th.
4:07 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (-140, 8) at Oakland Athletics
The Brewers (75-54) have taken the first two games of this three-game Interleague series, winning the opener 11-3 as -115 road favorites and then winning again yesterday 9-5 as -125 road favorites. In this late afternoon series finale, the Brewers hand the ball to righty Frankie Montas (6-8, 4.57 ERA) and the Athletics (55-75) counter with fellow righty Joey Estes (5-6, 4.44 ERA). This line opened with Milwaukee listed as -120 road favorite and Oakland a +110 home dog. Sharps have pounced on the Brewers to complete the sweep laying short road chalk, steaming Milwaukee up from -120 to -140. The Brewers are receiving roughly 80% of moneyline bets and dollars, signaling one-way Pro and Joe support in addition to a 20-cent steam move in their favor. Milwaukee has the edge at the plate, hitting .254 with 623 runs scored compared to Oakland hitting .231 with 518 runs scored. The Brewers have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the better team who is expected to win. Milwaukee is 37-30 on the road. Oakland is 32-25 on the road. Montas has a 2.57 ERA in four starts since joining the Brewers, allowing only 6 earned runs in 21 innings pitched. Milwaukee is 4-0 in his four starts. The Brewers are 8-2 in their last ten games, hitting .235 with a 2.93 ERA. The Athletics are 4-6 over their last ten games, hitting .227 with a 4.10 ERA.
