VSiN Analytics MLB Report for Saturday, August 5

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VSiN Analytics MLB Report for Saturday, August 5

The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games on Saturday, August 5, 2023. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.

 

Top MLB Resources:

 

MLB Bullpen Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.

Better-rated bullpen teams for today’s action that are NOT favorites of -190 or higher: CHICAGO CUBS, LA DODGERS, NY YANKEES, TAMPA BAY, TORONTO, CLEVELAND, SEATTLE, MIAMI, BALTIMORE, SAN FRANCISCO, MINNESOTA

AVOID/FADE all better bullpen overpriced favorites of -190 or higher

Now, in games this season through Sunday 7/30 in which the team with the Steve Makinen better rated bullpen was listed as a favorite of -190 or higher, that team now owns a 184-104 record, but for -55.74 units.

System Matches: FADE CINCINNATI, FADE MILWAUKEE, FADE ST LOUIS, FADE PHILADELPHIA

Overpriced better bullpen without a big starting pitcher angle

When the starting pitcher difference between the better Steve Makinen rated bullpen team is less than 20, these big favorites have gone just 41-47 for -65.86 units! Even though the R.O.I. on this system is shrinking steadily, for the season it remains at -74.8%!

System Match: FADE ST LOUIS, FADE PHILADELPHIA

Better bullpen underdog teams have been strong out of the second-half gate

A frequent and profitable system arises when the team with the better SM Bullpen Ratings is playing as an underdog (or pick ‘em). After a mediocre 12-15 (-1.26 units) performance over the last week, moneyline underdog teams with better bullpen ratings for the season are now 245-251 for +53.21 units. The R.O.I. of this angle remains a healthy 10.7%!

System Matches: CHICAGO CUBS, LA DODGERS, NY YANKEES, TORONTO

Worse bullpen teams continue to struggle in extending winning streaks

After a 6-9 (-1.93 units) week, on 2-game winning streaks, the teams with worse Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings in a matchup are now 170-166 for -33.52 units, an R.O.I. of -10%. After a 3-4 result (-1.14 units), worse bullpen teams on 3+ game winning streaks now have a record of 63-80 for -21.25 units. The R.O.I. on that system continues to produce at -14.9%.

System Matches: 2-game – FADE WASHINGTON

3+-game – FADE KANSAS CITY

Better bullpen teams are capable of building lengthy winning streaks

When looking at teams with better Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings looking to extend 3-game winning streaks, I have tracked that these teams have gone 163-103 for +31.21 units, an impressive R.O.I. of 11.7%.

System Matches: LA DODGERS, SEATTLE, TEXAS, SAN FRANCISCO

Better bullpen teams thwart losing streaks

Updating the results since 7/24 of when on 2-game losing streaks, the teams with better SM bullpen ratings in a matchup have gone 166-127 for +11.2 units. Better bullpen teams on 3+ game losing streaks have gone 80-52 for +22.19 units. The R.O.I. on this system remains 16.8%, but it was over 50% just a few weeks ago. We’ll continue to track this hoping it turns back around soon.

System Matches: 3-game – CINCINNATI, NY METS

 

MLB Extreme Stats Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the article titled MLB Extreme Stats Systems, detailing eight different betting systems for betting teams based upon noteworthy stats they accumulated in their previous game

HOME TEAMS off blowout losses are solid bets to rebound versus that same opponent

Teams playing at home against the same team after a blowout loss of 7 runs or more have been solid wagers over the last 5+ seasons, going 302-268 (53.4%) for +48.11 units of profit. This represents an R.O.I. of 8.4%.

System Matches: CHICAGO CUBS, DETROIT

“9” is a MAGIC RUN NUMBER for fading a team in the next game

Since 2018, doesn’t matter if the team is playing at home or on the road. If they scored nine runs in the previous contest, they are posting a winning record at 1427-1334 (51.7%), but oddsmaker overpricing has resulted in a loss of -169.88 units. This represents an R.O.I. of -6.2%, which is significant in the grand scheme of baseball daily betting.

System Matches: FADE BALTIMORE, FADE COLORADO, FADE SEATTLE, FADE LA DODGERS

ROAD TEAMS that didn’t score well last game are a bad bet in the next outing

You’re going to want to consider fading teams playing on the road that scored two runs or fewer in their last contest. They have proven to be bankroll-busting options over their last 4+ seasons. These road teams are just 1282-1675 (43.4%) for -165.79 units and an R.O.I. of -5.6% since the start of the 2019 season.

System Matches: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX, FADE MIAMI, FADE ARIZONA, FADE SAN FRANCISCO

HOME TEAMS that did score well last game are also actually a bad bet in the next outing

Going back another season to 2018, home teams coming off a game in which they scored five runs or more are winning more often than not at 2898-2517 (53.5%), but they have been a loser for bettors at -357.7 units and a R.O.I. of -6.6%.

System Matches: FADE PHILADELPHIA, FADE BALTIMORE, FADE TEXAS, FADE LA ANGELS, FADE SAN DIEGO

HOME TEAM hitting slumps don’t last long

MLB Home teams coming off a game in which they had four hits or fewer have rebounded quickly with a 783-654 (54.5%) record in the follow-up contest since the start of the 2018 season. This has resulted in a profit of +42.54 units for backers and an R.O.I. of 3.0%.

System Matches: CHICAGO CUBS, DETROIT

Watch for HOME TEAMS that didn’t record an extra-base hit

HOME TEAMS that failed to record an extra-base hit in their previous game bounce back with a 399-324 (55.2%) record in the next contest when at home in that same time span. The profit there is +38.97 units, for a R.O.I. of 5.4%.

System Match: CHICAGO CUBS

 

MLB Streak Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the midseason article titled Handicapping MLB Streaks, detailing 14 different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks.

Losing Streak Betting System #5:

Teams that have lost their last four games but are playing on the road in a competitive line scenario (+130 to -300) have been wildly successful in snapping their skids, 60-44 outright (+11.19 units, ROI: 10.8%).

System Match: CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Losing Streak Betting System #6:

Teams that have lost their last four games but are getting reasonably good pitching during the skid have been solid wagers in game #5, as those that allowed 6.0 RPG or fewer during the streak are on a 118-95 run (+47.84 units, ROI: 22.5%).

System Match: CHICAGO WHITE SOX, ARIZONA

Losing Streak Betting System #7:

The matchup most likely to find a team ending a 4-game losing streak is a non-divisional league matchup, as these teams are 86-81 (+22.38 units, ROI: 13.4%) in such games since the start of the 2021 season.

System Match: CINCINNATI

Winning Streak Betting System #2:

Strangely, teams on winning streaks of 5-games or more and winning fewer than 50% of their games on the season have been the better investment than winning teams as they are 43-36 (+9.4 units, ROI: 11.90%) in their last 79 tries to extend streaks.

System Match: KANSAS CITY

Winning Streak Betting System #3:

The teams with some of the best value in looking to extend winning streaks are actually those that don’t score a lot of runs typically. Teams on winning streaks of five games and scoring less than 4.5 RPG are 112-78 (+18.98 units, ROI: 10.0%) since the start of the 2021 season.

System Match: KANSAS CITY

Winning Streak Betting System #5:

Teams that have won their last four games but are playing on the road as large underdogs (+140 or more) have struggled, going 13-37 (-12.5 units, ROI: -25%) in their L50 tries.

System Match: FADE KANSAS CITY

 

Today’s MLB Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com.

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:

System Matches: PITTSBURGH (42), COLORADO (42), TORONTO (16)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:

System Matches: SAN DIEGO (28), SEATTLE (16)

Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:

System Match: SAN FRANCISCO-OAKLAND OVER 7.5 (0.96)

Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:

System Matches: WASHINGTON-CINCINNATI UNDER 10.5 (-1.08), NY METS-BALTIMORE UNDER 9.5 (0.67)

 

MLB Top Situational Trend Spots

The following situational trends and qualifying plays are from the VSiN MLB Situational Report, updated daily.>>>See situational records for each team.

(951) ATLANTA (70-37) at (952) CHICAGO-NL (56-54)

Trend: Atlanta good for bettors on the ROAD (33-17, +7.75 units)

System Match: ATLANTA

Trend: Atlanta dominant against NL competition (47-17, +20.30 units)

System Match: ATLANTA

Trend: Chicago not as good against RH starters (36-38, -4.55 units)

System Match: FADE CHICAGO CUBS

Trend: Chicago playing well recently (11-3 record, 7.1 RPG in L14)

System Match: CHICAGO CUBS

 

(953) WASHINGTON (47-63) at (954) CINCINNATI (59-53)

Trend: Washington better bet on the ROAD (25-29, +13.55 units)

System Match: WASHINGTON

Trend: Washington better bet during DAY (23-24, +11.24 units)

System Match: WASHINGTON

Trend: Cincinnati good against NL East/West (28-21, +12.45 units)

System Match: CINCINNATI

Trend: Cincinnati good as ML favorite (22-13, +5.55 units)

System Match: CINCINNATI

Trend: Cincinnati trending UNDER during DAY (20-26 O/U)

System Match: UNDER

 

(955) PITTSBURGH (49-60) at (956) MILWAUKEE (59-52)

Trend: Pittsburgh trending OVER in NIGHT games (35-24 O/U)

System Match: OVER

Trend: Milwaukee not as good against LH starters (15-18, -6.90 units)

System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE

Trend: Milwaukee good against NL Central (23-11, +10.35 units)

System Match: MILWAUKEE

 

(957) COLORADO (43-66) at (958) ST LOUIS (48-63)

Trend: Colorado better against LH starters (16-18, +4.45 units)

System Match: COLORADO

Trend: Colorado not good against NL competition (30-48, -7.60 units)

System Match: FADE COLORADO

Trend: St Louis bad at NIGHT (25-44, -30.02 units)

System Match: FADE ST LOUIS

Trend: St Louis OVER in HOME games (31-22 O/U)

System Match: OVER

 

(959) LOS ANGELES-NL (63-45) at (960) SAN DIEGO (54-56)

Trend: LAD better in NIGHT games (49-26, +8.90 units)

System Match: LA DODGERS

Trend: LAD not as good against LH starters (15-17, -13.60 units)

System Match: FADE LA DODGERS

Trend: LAD not often a ML underdog (8-6, +3.60 units)

System Match: LA DODGERS

 

(961) HOUSTON (63-48) at (962) NEW YORK-AL (57-53)

Trend: Houston good on the ROAD (32-23, +6.78 units)

System Match: HOUSTON

Trend: NYY good during the DAY (26-13, +10.80 units)

System Match: NY YANKEES

 

(963) TAMPA BAY (67-45) at (964) DETROIT (48-61)

Trend: Tampa Bay trending UNDER in ROAD games (22-29 O/U)

System Match: UNDER

Trend: Tampa Bay good against Detroit recently (9-1 in L10 games)

System Match: TAMPA BAY

Trend: Detroit trending OVER in NIGHT games (32-22 O/U)

System Match: OVER

 

(965) TORONTO (61-50) at (966) BOSTON (57-52)

Trend: Toronto UNDER in NIGHT games (22-38 O/U)

System Match: UNDER

Trend: Toronto bad in divisional games (9-23, -23.49 units)

System Match: FADE TORONTO

Trend: Boston good in AL East games (16-12, +6.43 units)

System Match: BOSTON

 

(967) CHICAGO-AL (43-68) at (968) CLEVELAND (54-56)

Trend: Cleveland UNDER in division games (8-26 O/U!)

System Match: UNDER

 

(969) SEATTLE (58-52) at (970) LOS ANGELES-AL (56-55)

Trend: Seattle better against AL West (17-11, +3.75 units)

System Match: SEATTLE

Trend: Seattle OVER in NIGHT games (39-31 O/U)

System Match: OVER

Trend: Seattle not as good as ML favorite (44-37, -10.45 units)

System Match: FADE SEATTLE

Trend: LAA good against RH starters (45-37, +5.75 units)

System Match: LA ANGELS

Trend: LAA OVER in divisional games (19-9 O/U)

System Match: OVER

 

(971) MIAMI (58-53) at (972) TEXAS (64-46)

Trend: Miami better against AL competition (23-13, +12.80)

System Match: MIAMI

Trend: Miami not as good as ML underdog (18-30, -5.65 units)

System Match: FADE MIAMI

Trend: Texas OVER in HOME games (32-22 O/U)

System Match: OVER

Trend: Texas OVER in interleague games (19-14 O/U)

System Match: OVER

 

(973) KANSAS CITY (36-75) at (974) PHILADELPHIA (59-51)

Trend: Kansas City bad bet at NIGHT (19-48, -20.95 units)

System Match: FADE KANSAS CITY

Trend: Kansas City playing well lately (7-1, +9.15 units in L8 games)

System Match: KANSAS CITY

Trend: Philadelphia good against AL teams (22-14, +5.35 units)

System Match: PHILADELPHIA

Trend: Philadelphia trending UNDER in AL games (13-22 O/U)

System Match: UNDER

 

(975) NEW YORK-NL (50-59) at (976) BALTIMORE (68-42)

Trend: NYM bad as ML underdog (8-23, -14.60 units)

System Match: FADE NY METS

Trend: Baltimore more UNDER against NL teams (13-13 O/U)

System Match: UNDER

 

(977) SAN FRANCISCO (61-49) at (978) OAKLAND (30-80)

Trend: San Francisco good bet at NIGHT (37-24, +8.80 units)

System Match: SAN FRANCISCO

Trend: San Francisco trending UNDER at NIGHT (22-37 O/U)

System Match: UNDER

Trend: Oakland better in NIGHT games (24-40, +0.40 units)

System Match: OAKLAND

 

(979) ARIZONA (57-54) at (980) MINNESOTA (57-54)

Trend: Arizona better bet at NIGHT (37-30, +9.14 units)

System Match: ARIZONA

Trend: Minnesota not as good vs NL teams (13-14, -6.20 units)

System Match: FADE MINNESOTA

Trend: Minnesota not as good as ML favorite (45-35, -9.70 units)

System Match: FADE MINNESOTA
 

AL EAST

Baltimore Orioles

League 52-28 (+24.14 units) vs Interleague 15-14 (+0.55 units). Over-Under in league games is 42-34 while interleague games are 12-13 (typically scoring a full run less versus interleague competition).

Boston Red Sox

League 39-29 (+11.25 units) vs Interleague 18-22 (-7.30 units).

NY Yankees

Day Games are 26-13 (+10.80 units) vs Night Games 31-39 (-14.05 units). Scoring output is a drastic difference (5.4 RF in Day games, 3.7 RF in night games).

Tampa Bay Rays

Home 37-19 (+6.95 units) vs Away 29-26 (-4.20 units). Over-Under in home games is 33-22 while Away games are 22-28.

Toronto Blue Jays

Home Over-Under is 17-33 while Away Over-Under is 27-27. Furthermore, Day games Over-Under is 22-23 vs. Night games Over-Under is 22-37.

The division has been troubling for Toronto, going just 8-23 (-24.85 units). However, going interleague has been rewarding for them with a 22-10 record (+9.95 units).

 

AL CENTRAL

Chicago White Sox

Division play has been a positive for the White Sox, going 17-16 (-0.40 units) vs the rest of the AL just 15-32 (-18.05 units).

Cleveland Guardians

Record vs RH starters 36-34 (-0.40 units) while record vs LH starters 17-22 (-14.05 units).

Divisional Over-Under is 8-25 vs. the rest of their games Over-Under is 37-36.

Detroit Tigers

Day games Over-Under is at 23-27 while their Night games Over-Under is 32-21.

They are also 18-7 to the Over against LH starters (poor record too, 9-18 (-7.20 units) versus LH starters).

Kansas City Royals

They are a reasonable bet during the day, having a record of 17-27 (-2.60 units). They are atrocious at night, giving up almost another full run per game and sporting a 18-48 record (-22.95 units).

Minnesota Twins

Doing better against divisional opponents, having a 21-15 record (-3.85 units). They aren’t doing as well against interleague competition, having a 12-14 record (-7.20 units).

 

AL WEST

Houston Astros

Similar to the last MLB Situational spots article, Houston is just 31-25 (-7.70 units) at HOME while a better 31-23 (+5.78 units) on the ROAD.

Houston has been dominant in divisional games, having a 24-13 record (+7.45 units).

LA Angels

Over-Under is 18-9 in Divisional Games, while they have an Over-Under of 13-19 against NL opponents.

LAA has a 42-34 record (+4.00 units) against fellow AL members, while they just have a 14-20 record (-11.20 units) against the NL.

They also do well against RH starters, having a 45-36 record (+6.75 units), and they don’t do well against LH starters, having an 11-18 record (-13.95 units).

Oakland Athletics

Continuing from the last MLB Situational spots article, Oakland is terrible in day games, going 6-40 (-30.45 units). They are better in night games, having a 24-40 record (+0.40 units).

Staying in their division gives them an Over-Under of 13-18, while they are 27-13 to the Over against the rest of the American League.

Facing AL competition has them at a record of 19-56 (-23.90 units) while NL competition has been easier, giving them an 11-24 record (-6.15 units).

Seattle Mariners

Although having a 57-52 overall record (-10.40 units), their record against fellow AL West participants is at 16-11 (+2.75 units).

Seattle has trended Under in day games with a record of 16-22, while they have trended Over in night games with a record of 38-31.

Texas Rangers

Texas has been trending Over in HOME games, having an O/U record of 32-21, and they have been trending Under in AWAY games with an O/U record of 23-28.

This scoring output continues when you look at Interleague games, having an Over-Under of 19-13.

Texas has some interesting “Runs For” splits for Day/Night too, scoring 6.5 runs on average during the DAY compared to just 5.2 runs at NIGHT. They also have a 28-16 record (+7.75 units) during the DAY and a 35-30 record at NIGHT (-1.20 units).

 

NL EAST

Atlanta Braves

Atlanta has arguably been better on the ROAD for bettors this season, having a 32-17 record (+6.75 units) in AWAY games versus a 37-20 record at HOME (+2.37 units).

They also have been trending Over in HOME games, having a 34-22 O/U versus having a 22-24 O/U record in AWAY games.

Atlanta has been dominant against NL competition, going 46-17 (+19.30 units). They’ve been less dominant against AL teams, going 23-20 (-10.18 units).

Over-Under during the DAY is 17-17 versus 39-29 at NIGHT.

Miami Marlins

Miami has had a tough time in the NL, boasting a 35-40 record (-10.27 units). Their games against AL competition have been much better, putting together a 23-12 record (+13.80 units).

Divisional games have been trending OVER with an O/U record of 18-13, while ALL OTHER GAMES have been trending Under with an O/U of 32-43.

NY Mets

Just like the previous MLB situational spots article, NYM has fared awful against LH starters, having an 11-26 record (-24.15 units) versus their record against RH starters, 39-32 (-3.82 units).

The NY Mets haven’t been good against NL West or NL Central opponents, going 20-27 (-16.35 units).

There is also a noticeable difference between Home/Away Over-Unders. NYM is 15-31 for O/U in HOME games while 29-27 O/U on the ROAD.

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia has been much better during the DAY versus at NIGHT. Their DAY record is 28-18 (+5.25 units) while their NIGHT record is 31-32 (-9.33 units).

The NL has been tougher for the Phillies, having them at a 37-37 record (-11.88 units) while their record against the AL is at 22-13 (+7.80 units). These games against the AL have also trended UNDER with an O/U at 12-22.

Washington Nationals

The Nats have been a better bet on the ROAD this season, garnering a 24-29 record (+12.05 units) versus having a 22-34 record (-4.81 units) at HOME.

They also have played better during the DAY, having a 23-24 record (+11.24 units) while having just a 23-39 record (-4.00 units) at NIGHT.

 

NL CENTRAL

Chicago Cubs

Continuing with the trend from the last MLB situational spot article, the Chicago Cubs have been better off playing vs LH starters, having a 20-15 record (+4.50 units). This is compared to their record against RH starters, 36-38 (-4.55 units).

Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati has benefitted from the more diverse schedule for the MLB in 2023, playing fewer divisional games than in past years. They are only 14-22 (-6.50 units) in divisional games versus having a 28-20 record (+14.25 units) against the rest of the National League.

They also perform better under the bright lights at NIGHT, sporting a 36-29 record (+14.15 units) and O/U record of 38-26, compared to a DAY record of 23-23 (+2.50 units) with an O/U record of 20-26.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have fared well against RH starters, going 44-33 (+9.00 units). This is much different against LH starters, having just a 15-18 record (-6.90 units).

On the other hand of the altered MLB schedule, Milwaukee has not benefitted from fewer divisional games, having an 18-17 interleague record (-4.00 units). They’ve continued their success in the NL Central, having a record of 23-10 (+12.05 units).

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh has been a solid bet in NL West or NL East matchups, having a 23-21 record (+7.85 units). However, the interleague games have been costly to them with only a 14-23 record (-8.65 units).

DAY games for Pittsburgh have been trending Under with an O/U record of 20-24 while their NIGHT games have been trending Over with an O/U of 34-24.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have had a disappointing season, but if you do bet on them, their DAY/NIGHT splits are noticeable. They have a 23-19 record (-1.60 units) during the DAY and a 25-43 record (-28.10 units) at NIGHT.

Another thing of note is that they have been trending Over in HOME games with an O/U record of 30-22 and trending Under in AWAY games with an O/U of 23-29.

 

NL WEST

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Dbacks have performed better at NIGHT than during the DAY typically. Their NIGHT record of 37-29 (+10.14 units) has been more profitable than their DAY record of 20-24 (-6.00 units).

Colorado Rockies

As mentioned in the previous MLB Situational spot article, Colorado has been better against LH starters, going 16-18 (+4.45 units) versus their subpar record against RH starters, 26-48 (-12.80 units).

They have also fared better against less familiar AL opponents, having a 13-18 record (+0.85 units) versus a 29-48 record (-9.20 units) against fellow NL competitors.

LA Dodgers

Although one of the best teams in the NL, LAD has not played well during the DAY, having a record of 14-19 (-14.50 units) versus a NIGHT record of 48-26 (+7.85 units).

They have also done better against RH starters, garnering a 47-28 record (+6.95 units). This contrasts with their record against LH starters, 15-17 (-13.60 units).

The Dodgers have been trending Over on the year with a 62-39 O/U record, including a 24-7 O/U tally against Interleague competition.

San Diego Padres

The more diverse 2023 MLB schedule, specifically in the NL, has not been good to the Padres. Against NL Central and NL East competition, they are 21-28 (-30.70 units!) while their record against AL competition is up to 19-13 (+0.30 units).

Betting on SD against RH starters has not been profitable since they have a 32-38 record (-22.90 units). However, they do perform better against LH starters, having a 22-17 record (-1.90 units).

San Francisco Giants

There is a stark contrast between DAY/NIGHT games for SF. They have a 24-25 record (-6.75 units) during the DAY compared to a 37-24 record (+8.80 units) at NIGHT. These NIGHT games have been trending UNDER too, with a 22-37 O/U record.

 

Top Head-To-Head Series Trends

The following trends and qualifying plays are from the article entitled 20 MLB second-half series with notable head-to-head trends

Series #3: Houston at NY Yankees, Thu 8/3-Sun 8/6

Trend: NY YANKEES are 1-8 (11.1%, -7.90 units) in their L9 games vs. Houston

The R.O.I. on this trend is -87.8%

System Match: FADE NY YANKEES

Series #4: Toronto at Boston, Fri 8/4-Sun 8/6

Trend #1: TORONTO is 1-7 (12.5%, -9.64 units) in its L8 games vs. Boston

The R.O.I. on this trend is -120.5%

Trend #2: OVER the total is 10-2 (83.3%, +7.95 units) in the L12 games between Boston & Toronto

The R.O.I. on this trend is 66.25%

System Match: FADE TORONTO, PLAY OVER

Series #5: Washington at Cincinnati, Fri 8/4-Sun 8/6

Trend: HOME TEAMS are 1-10 (9.1%, -12.2 units) in the last 11 games between Washington and Cincinnati

The R.O.I. on this trend is -111%

System Match: FADE CINCINNATI

Series #6: Chi White Sox at Cleveland, Fri 8/4-Sun 8/6

Trend: UNDER the total is 12-2 (85.7%, +9.8 units) in the L14 games between the White Sox & Guardians in Cleveland

The R.O.I. on this trend is 70.0%

System Match: UNDER

 

Team-Specific Momentum Building/Letdown Angles

The following trends and qualifying plays are from the article entitled MLB post-rivalry series betting opportunities.

NO QUALIFYING POST-RIVALRY SERIES PLAYS TODAY