The 2025-26 NBA Playoffs should deliver some memorable moments, and we’re going to work hard to make them as profitable as possible for all of our VSiN subscribers. So, make sure you head over to the VSiN NBA Playoffs Betting Hub for all of our postseason content. I’ll continue giving out NBA best bets and player props here throughout the playoffs, and I’ll also occasionally write up features on anything big that shakes up the league. So, make sure you check out my work over the next couple of weeks. With that out of the way, let’s get into some NBA best bets and NBA player props for Sunday, May 10. Also, make sure you check out the picks page (linked right below) before games tip off. I occasionally add picks throughout the day. That’s also where you’ll get picks from my talented VSiN colleagues.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have!
Game 4: New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers – 3:30 pm ET
Knicks lead series 3-0
Tyrese Maxey’s usage rate in Game 3 was inexplicably low. By the time the final buzzer sounded, Maxey finished with a number of 14.7% in that category. For reference, he has a usage rate of 26.0% over the course of the postseason, and his usage rate during the regular season was 26.3%. It was just shocking to see Maxey as such a small part of the team’s offense in what was essentially an elimination game. Mikal Bridges does deserve credit for the job he has done on the guard, but Philadelphia needs to at least attempt to give Maxey more opportunities. With that in mind, I’m firing up Maxey props for Game 4.
I’m not sure how much fight the Sixers have left, but I’m going with Maxey to finish with Over 34.5 PRA. He has only hit the 35 mark once in the three games in this series, but there’s no reason he can’t do it again. Maxey still has the burst to beat most of New York’s defenders off the dribble, he’s still an elite shot-maker, and he contributes when it comes to both assists and rebounds.
It’s just hard to envision Maxey being a non-factor with the Sixers looking to keep their season alive. That said, I’m going with Maxey to go down swinging — especially with Joel Embiid moving at a snail’s pace and Paul George once again shrinking in big moments.
Bet: Maxey Over 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120 – 1.5 units)
Game 4: San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves – 7:30 pm ET
Spurs lead series 2-1
The Spurs have won two games in a row in this series, with Game 2 being a wildly lopsided affair. However, Game 3 was a back-and-forth war, and it might have ended differently if the Timberwolves got off to a slightly better start in the first quarter. They dug themselves a massive hole early on, meaning they had to use a lot of energy just to get back into it. Minnesota also happened to miss a lot of quality looks in the game, and it’s hard not to think that things might go a little better in Round 2 at home.
The Timberwolves also happened to catch Victor Wembanyama on a legendary night. He had 39 points, 15 rebounds, and five blocks in the game. He also shot 13-18 from the floor and 3-5 from three. Wembanyama is a special player, so he’s going to occasionally do special things. But can that type of efficiency be expected in Game 4?
It’s also clear that Anthony Edwards is getting stronger and stronger as this series progresses, and I believe he’s going to turn in a strong outing here. There’s really nobody on the San Antonio roster that can stay in front of him, plus Edwards can create space to get his jumper off whenever he wants. In a do-or-die game, I just can’t see him failing to show up.
Under Chris Finch, the Wolves also happen to be 54-40 straight-up and 52-42 against the spread when coming off two or more consecutive losses. Another amazing Finch stat is that Minnesota is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in Game 4s under him.
I just love the Wolves to keep this game close, and I also think they have a shot at winning. I’m just not taking the latter because I already have Minnesota +2.5 games in the series. But I do feel good enough about the spread to take it, even if I am grabbing +5.5 instead of +4.5 at one of the well-known prediction markets. I’d advise doing the same if that’s a possibility.
Bet: Timberwolves +5.5 (-122 – 2 units)
Additional Plays
Nothing yet.
