Player props have become one of the NBA’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value beyond the standard spread or total. Each night, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from points and rebounds to assists and combo lines — using matchup data, recent performance, and betting trends to find edges. Keep reading for the top NBA player prop picks for November 7. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the NBA, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges for Friday
Below you’ll find some of the projections that stood out when looking at our OptaAI NBA Player Prop projections. Subscribers have access to hundreds of others on a daily basis!
Donovan Mitchell Over 26.5 Points (-105) vs. Wizards
Cavaliers at Wizards – 7:00 pm ET
Mitchell comes into this game having scored at least 35 points in three of the last four games. He’s on an absolute tear for Cleveland, and our OptaAI projections have him scoring 32.36 tonight. That’s the biggest edge (+5.86) to a point total on the board tonight. Washington is 29th in the NBA in defensive rating (121.4), so this is a good matchup. If you take this, you’ll just have to hope it isn’t too good. A blowout win for the Cavaliers could jeopardize the play.
Amen Thompson Under 7.5 Rebounds (-130) vs. Spurs
Rockets at Spurs – 7:30 pm ET
Our projections have Thompson finishing with 5.33 rebounds tonight, giving him the biggest margin (-2.17) on a rebound total this evening. Thompson is averaging 6.4 rebounds per game this year, so it isn’t crazy to expect fewer than eight tonight. However, he has had at least nine boards in three of the last four games, and he had 10 against the Grizzlies on Wednesday.
LaMelo Ball Over 7.5 Assists (-140) vs. Heat
Hornets at Heat – 8:00 pm ET
Ball is still dealing with some ankle issues, leaving him questionable for tonight’s game. However, if he’s out there this evening, our projections have him finishing with 8.77 assists. Ball is averaging 9.8 dimes per game on the year, and he also had nine against this same Miami team on Tuesday. Also, given how good the Heat have looked offensively this season, there’s a chance this turns into a track meet. That would play into an Over. This is one I’m actually going to add myself. If he doesn’t play, it’ll just be voided.
Friday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Friday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.
Keyonte George Over 26.5 Points + Assists (-110) vs. Timberwolves
Jazz at Timberwolves – 8:00 pm ET
George is averaging 22.6 points and 7.9 assists per game this season, putting him at 30.5 combined points and assists per game on a nightly basis. George is quietly looking like a legitimate Most Improved Player candidate, and he’s shooting only 26.1% from 3. That number is bound to go up soon, as George is a much better shooter than that.
Don’t be surprised if the 21-year-old knocks down some shots and puts up big numbers here. Oddly enough, the Timberwolves are just 27th in the NBA in defensive rating (119.4) this season. They’re not looking as tough as they have in previous years, and it’s clear that they’re missing Nickeil Alexander-Walker’s on-ball defense a little.
Our projections also happen to have George finishing with 30.04 points and assists tonight.
AJ Green Over 2.5 Made 3s (+132) vs. Bulls
Bulls at Bucks – 8:00 pm ET
Green has hit at least three 3s in all eight games he has played this season, so it’s a little surprising to see he’s listed at +132 to do it again. Chicago has been good about defending the 3-point line this year, but this is still a team that plays at a very fast pace. That said, this is a game in which both teams should see more possessions than usual, and you just shouldn’t be surprised if the Bulls lose Green a couple of times in an up-and-down showdown.
Green just needs to do a better job of avoiding fouls. He has picked up at least four in five of the last six games, and we’re going to need him to play his usual 27.0 minutes per game in order to hit this play. But I’ll also add that Green shot 41.7% on 5.9 attempts per game at home last year. He loves shooting at Fiserv Forum. He also made 2.5 triples per game in four meetings with Chicago last season.
2025-26 Player Props: 24-24 (-2.05 units)
