The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Sunday, January 25, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Road teams are 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS in the last 12 of the SAC-DET  non-conference set, but did lose last time by the hook
Trend Match (PLAY): SACRAMENTO (+14.5 at DET) 

* NBA teams coming off back-to-back losses in which they scored 115+ points offensively have bounced back extremely well in the next outing when installed as underdogs, going 108-68-1 ATS (61.4%) since the start of the 2018-2019 season.
System Match (PLAY): GOLDEN STATE (+7.5 at MIN) 

* In WC Southwest divisional games, favorites of 3.5 points or more are on a 45-13 SU and 35-23 ATS (60.3%) run since mid-February 2024.
System Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-8.5 vs NOP) 

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based on their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based on the schedule pressures. 

* NBA teams playing on the road in One Day Rest scenario are 210-265 SU but 268-199-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four seasons
System Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+11.5 at SAS)  

* MILWAUKEE is 22-8 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since January 2025
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DAL-MIL (o/u at 220.5) 

* MIAMI is 14-7 Under the total playing in the back-to-back away scenario since February 2023
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-PHX (o/u at 225.5) 

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-7 SU and 35-13-1 ATS playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since March 2024
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-11.5 vs TOR) 

* NBA teams playing at home in One Day Rest scenario were 98-67 Over the total vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games since the start of last season
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): TOR-OKC (o/u at 224.5), MIA-PHX (o/u at 225.5) 

* NBA teams playing on the road in 2 Days Rest scenario are 22-42 SU and 21-40-3 ATS vs. teams in 3rd in 8+ Days games over the last four seasons
System Match (FADE): GOLDEN STATE (+7.5 at MIN) 

* NBA teams playing in 2 Days Rest scenario were 43-25 Over the total vs. teams in 3rd in 8+ Days games since start of last season
System Match (PLAY OVER): GSW-MIN (o/u at 235.5) 

* BROOKLYN is 11-21 SU but 20-11-1 ATS playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario since November 2024
* LA CLIPPERS is 24-18 SU and 11-31 ATS playing at home in the 2 Days Rest scenario since May 2021
* NBA teams playing on the road in One Day Rest scenario are 210-265 SU but 268-199-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four seasons
System/Trends Match (PLAY): BROOKLYN (+8.5 at LAC) 

* DENVER is 86-56 Over the total playing in 4th in 6 Days games since March 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DEN-MEM (o/u at 221.5) 

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games: 

(501) SACRAMENTO at (502) DETROIT
* Road teams are 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS in the last 12 of the SAC-DET  non-conference set, but did lose last time by the hook
Trend Match (PLAY): SACRAMENTO (+14.5 at DET) 

(503) DENVER at (504) MEMPHIS
* Favorites are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 of the DEN-MEM series
Trend Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS (-5.5 vs DEN) 

(505) NEW ORLEANS at (506) SAN ANTONIO
* NEW ORLEANS is on a 2-5 SU but 5-2 ATS surge versus divisional rival San Antonio
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+11.5 at SAS) 

(507) DALLAS at (508) MILWAUKEE
* Over the total is 5-1 in the last six of the Mavs-Bucks non-conference series at Fiserv Forum
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DAL-MIL (o/u at 220.5)

(509) TORONTO at (510) OKLAHOMA CITY
* Over the total is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between Toronto and Oklahoma City at the Paycom Center
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): TOR-OKC (o/u at 224.5) 

(511) MIAMI at (512) PHOENIX
* MIAMI is 6-2 ATS in the last eight trips to Phoenix
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+3.5 at PHX) 

(513) BROOKLYN at (514) LA CLIPPERS
* LA CLIPPERS have won all four meetings with Brooklyn, both SU and ATS, since January 2024
Trend Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (-8.5 vs BKN) 

(577) GOLDEN STATE at (578) MINNESOTA
* MINNESOTA is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS versus Golden State since playoffs second round Game 2 last year
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-7.5 vs GSW)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #7:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 131-105 (55.5%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 243-203 (54.5%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 328-260 (55.8%).

System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – SAC-DET (spread -14.5, total 225.5), TOR-OKC (spread -11.5, total 224.5)
UNDER – NOP-SAS (spread -11.5, total 239.5) 

The following handicapping information details betting systems for divisional games. 

Western Southwest Division Betting System #1:
In Western Southwest divisional games, favorites of 3.5 points or more are on a 45-13 SU and 35-23 ATS (60.3%) run since mid-February 2024.
System Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-8.5 vs NOP)

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Teams losing despite scoring well are dangerous
NBA teams coming off back-to-back losses in which they scored 115+ points offensively have bounced back extremely well in the next outing when installed as underdogs, going 108-68-1 ATS (61.4%) since the start of the 2018-2019 season.
System Match (PLAY): GOLDEN STATE (+7.5 at MIN)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams off a game in which they were granted 35 or more free throw attempts trended Under the total the next game, 378-330 (53.4%) since 2021.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-PHX (o/u at 225.5)

Massive rebounding differentials
NBA road underdogs that had a -20 or worse rebounding differential in their previous game have gone 24-76 SU and 45-55 ATS (45%) in their last 100 tries.
System Match (FADE): GOLDEN STATE (+7.5 at MIN) 

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NBA Streak Betting System #7:
Teams who have lost at least their last four games and are facing an opponent on 2+ Days Rest have had their games go Over the total at a 133-94-2 (58.6%) rate since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): GSW-MIN (o/u at 235.5), BKN-LAC (o/u at 211.5) 

NBA Streak Betting System #10:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been a solid wager when they are a capable offensive team, as those scoring 114 PPG or more are on a 105-111 SU but 125-89-3 ATS (58.4%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-7.5 vs GSW) 

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the first half data of the 2025-26 season, the sample contained 633 games, and for the most part, majority bettors have lost on all six point spread, money line, and total categories. In fact, this has been the worst half-season they have endured since I started studying this subject a few years ago. Here are the results: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 291-335 ATS (46.5%), -77.5 units – ROI: -12.4%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 287-323 ATS (47%), -68.3 units – ROI: -11.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 379-247 (60.5%). -123.2 units – ROI: -20.2%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 404-227 (64%). -113.7 units – ROI: -18%
– Majority handle on totals: 306-310 (49.7%). -35 units – ROI: -5.7%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 307-318 (49.1%), -42.8 units – ROI: -6.8% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle was on the side of a home team playing as a 4-point favorite or less (or as an underdog) on ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 211-174 ATS (54.8%) over the last 3+ seasons, good for +19.6 units of profit and an ROI of 5.1%. This is a fairly profitable system that the public seems to get right consistently.  If you see nearly 2/3 of the handle backing a host in an expected competitive NBA game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Match (PLAY): PHOENIX 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 868-785 ATS (52.5%) over the last 3+ seasons. This has produced a profit of +4.5 units and an ROI of 0.3%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. However, it is down over 20 units so far in 2025-26, so perhaps tread lightly. Even still, remember that handle is the total amount of money on a game and is generally considered sharper. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): DALLAS, BROOKLYN 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 3+ seasons, that group produced a 456-412 ATS record (52.5%), good for +2.8 units of profit and an ROI of 0.3%. This is another system that has dropped a bit this season but has still outperformed the normal levels by a decent amount. We’ll see if it can stay positive in the second half of the season.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): SACRAMENTO, MEMPHIS, BROOKLYN 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-Conference games (East versus West) of the last 3+ seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been mildly successful, as they are 461-417 ATS (52.5%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed just over a 50% success rate, they were about 2.5% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +2.3 units of profit and an ROI of 0.3%.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): DALLAS, OKLAHOMA CITY, PHOENIX 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 3+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 579-508 ATS record, good for 54.2%. This is over a 4% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +20.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.9%.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Naturally, with super majority handles doing well on non-conference and non-divisional conference games as compared to the overall, the area where these groups would figure to struggle would be in divisional games. The super-majority number is a little higher, however, 67% in fact. When this super-majority number has backed a team in divisional games over the last three seasons, they are just 166-189 ATS, good for 46.8%. This is a 3%+ drop compared to the overall majority figures and has resulted in -41.9 units of loss and an ROI of -11.8%.
System Match (FADE): SAN ANTONIO 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last 3+ seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 484-393, good for 55.2%, +51.7 units, and an ROI of +5.9% since January 2023.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DEN-MEM, GSW-MIN, MIA-PHX 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 409-367 (52.7%) for +5.3 units and an ROI of +0.7% since January ’23.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – GSW-MIN
UNDER – NOP-SAS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: The average NBA game total since January of 2023 has been a bit more than 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 408-345 (54.2%), while majority number of bets groups are a bit less at 398-359 (52.6%). Both groups have proven profitable regardless of which side of the total they have chosen.
System Match (PLAY): OVER – BKN-LAC

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MIAMI +3.5 (+2.2)
2. TORONTO +11.5 (+1.6)
3. GOLDEN STATE +7.5 (+1.5) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DETROIT -14.5 (+4.4)
2. SAN ANTONIO -11.5 (+3.8)
3. LA CLIPPERS -8.5 (+0.3) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SACRAMENTO +14.5 (+2.6)
2. MIAMI +3.5 (+2.4)
3. NEW ORLEANS +11.5 (+2.0) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MEMPHIS -5.5 (+0.3)
2. OKLAHOMA CITY -11.5 (+0.1) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MIA-PHX OVER 225.5 (+2.5)
2. BKN-LAC OVER 211.5 (+1.5)
3. DAL-MIL OVER 219.5 (+0.8)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAC-DET UNDER 224.5 (-1.9)
2. NOP-SAS UNDER 239.5 (-0.3) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. GOLDEN STATE +7.5 (+2.7)
2. MIAMI +3.5 (+2.5)
3. DALLAS +1.5 (+1.3) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DETROIT -14.5 (+4.7)
2. SAN ANTONIO -11.5 (+4.2)
3. LA CLIPPERS -8.5 (+2.5) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MIA-PHX OVER 225.5 (+4.1)
2. GSW-MIN OVER 235.5 (+2.7)
3. NOP-SAS OVER 239.5 (+1.8) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAC-DET UNDER 224.5 (-1.8)
2. TOR-OKC UNDER 224.5 (-0.6)

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR