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The 2025 VSiN NFL Betting Guide is available for download.
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The 94-page PDF includes features and Best Bets from all your favorite VSiN hosts and writers.
Our eighth annual guide also includes some new contributors, John Hansen and Ryan Heath from Fantasy Points.
John, who hosts VSiN’s Prop Points show during the NFL season, offers a list of 10 players who he thinks will outperform their Average Draft Positions and five who will fall short, which should translate into betting season-long props.
Ryan, lead data writer, uses the website’s database to pull a stat for every team that has fantasy or betting implications.
The database has a crazy amount of detail. For example, here is Ryan’s statistical insight on the Bears:
D.J. Moore averaged a league-high 2.4 screen targets per game in 2024. Without them, he’d have averaged just 9.5 FPG (~WR57). This matters because new Bears HC and former Lions play caller Ben Johnson has typically leaned toward designing screens for his RBs. Even Amon-Ra St. Brown — from Johnson’s favorite slot position — has averaged just 1.0 screen target/game since 2022. There’s a chance these stats are more a reflection of poor effort in a lost season than Moore’s actual skill, but he was less efficient than Rome Odunze (whose rookie season I’ve panned repeatedly) on “real” (nonscreen) routes last year.
If Moore is still the most-skilled WR on the Bears (as I believe), I think he’ll crush his WR23 ADP running the St. Brown-esque in-breakers for this offense. But the fact that he can’t bank on screens in 2025 means there’s a wide range of outcomes here, and many worlds exist in which he’s scarcely involved if he’s not so good as to force Johnson to use him over top-40 Draft picks Colston Loveland and Luther Burden. On non-screens, Moore accumulated only 716 receiving yards in 2024. Sportsbooks have set his season-long yardage total higher than our projection (964.6), so I’m taking the opportunity to hedge here with his Under.
Recommended prop: D.J. Moore Under 1000.5 receiving yards.
Much more of that kind of analysis from Ryan in the guide.
Just one more selling point from me: Get the guide while the numbers are fresh. No reason to wait. You extract maximum value by jumping in now.
Who’s winning free agency?
VSiN.com senior editor Zach Cohen weighs in on Day 1 of NBA free agency:
I think the big winners of Day 1 were the Hawks and Rockets. There was chatter that Atlanta would get Nickeil Alexander-Walker, but actually landing him — and also signing Luke Kennard — was huge. The Hawks now have size, shooting and toughness around Trae Young, and Quin Snyder is the right coach to try and piece it all together. I suggested backing Atlanta to win the East at 90-1 on June 23, expecting some singles or doubles from the new Hawks front office. But they knocked it out of the park, and that price is long gone.
As for the Rockets, they could have stopped at Kevin Durant and called it a day. But stealing Dorian Finney-Smith, one of the best 3-and-D wings in basketball, from the Lakers means Houston is ready to go to war with Oklahoma City.
MLB Today
Greg Peterson has five Best Bets for today’s MLB slate.
Adam Burke, Steve Makinen and Josh Appelbaum will file their daily contributions later this morning.
Have you tried VSiN’s new MLB betting tools yet?
Here are the links:
>YRFI
Quick Hits
Wimbledon: I hope we can establish a routine for you during this major. Zach Cohen posts his daily Best Bets on our tennis page. Zach will post more picks throughout the day on our tennis picks page. A Numbers Game host Gill Alexander sends me his picks for the page in the evening for the next day’s action.
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