Preseason Week 3 NFL Betting Trends:
The following NFL betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NFL preseason games of Week 3. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s NFLPS board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* Teams that won their first two preseason games and are playing at home with a total of 37.5 or higher have seen the total go Under at a 26-11-2 rate (70.3%) since 2010
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NO-DAL (o/u at 38.5)
* NFL teams coming off preseason wins of 11+ points and are home underdogs in the next game are on a 4-17 SU and 4-15-2 ATS (21.1%) skid since 2010.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY JETS (+3 vs NYG), CAROLINA (+1.5 vs HOU), GREEN BAY (+1.5 vs ARI)
* SAN FRANCISCO is on 12-1-1 ATS surge as preseason underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (+3.5 at LVR)
* MIAMI is 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven preseason matchups with Atlanta
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+3.5 vs ATL)
* INDIANAPOLIS is 12-2 to the Over in the last 14 as preseason favorite
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DET-IND (o/u at 35.5)
NFL Preseason Systematic Betting Concepts
The following systems were from the article NFL Top Ten Preseason Betting Concepts to Consider for 2026 posted on Monday, August 10th, 2026
Line ranges have proven very telling
Oddsmakers have essentially led bettors to water in the preseason, although it is easy to see how these prices can seem tricky to bettors. Since 2010, favorites in the “sweet spot” range of -3.5 to -7 have been solid, going 162-144-4 ATS for 52.9%. Most games, however, tend to land in the -1 to -3 range, and those contests are where the underdogs thrive. Since 2015, underdogs in the +1 to +3 range own a highly profitable record of 205-135-1 ATS, good for 60.3%!
System Matches (PLAY ALL): FAVORITES -3.5 to -7: LAS VEGAS (-3.5 vs SF), LA CHARGERS (-3.5 vs LAR), ATLANTA (-3.5 at MIA), DENVER (-6.5 vs MIN), INDIANAPOLIS (-3.5 vs DET)
UNDERDOGS +1 to +3: PITTSBURGH (+3 at BUF), CLEVELAND (+2.5 vs NE), WASHINGTON (+2.5 at BAL), CAROLINA (+1.5 vs HOU), NY JETS (+3 vs NYG), JACKSONVILLE (+3 vs TB), KANSAS CITY (+2.5 vs SEA), NEW ORLEANS (+1.5 at DAL), CINCINNATI (+3 at PHI), GREEN BAY (+1.5 vs ARI), CHICAGO (+2.5 at TEN)
Home field advantage usually means very little in tight-lined games
In looking at the home/road results of the last 14 NFL preseasons, there’s been only four years where home teams finished with a record of better than .500 ATS. Last year was one of those, though hosts were just 25-23 ATS. In fact, since 2011, road teams own a 438-389 ATS edge, good for 53%, and essentially enough to make a profit without any other handicapping considered. However, the absolute best time to back road teams is in spots where they are underdogs of 2.5 points or less, as they have gone 92-45 ATS as such since 2015, good for 67.2%!
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON (+2.5 at BAL), NEW ORLEANS (+1.5 at DAL), CHICAGO (+2.5 at TEN)
Big wins have a carryover effect
NFL teams coming off preseason wins of 20+ points and favored are on a 31-10 SU and 24-14-2 ATS (63.2%) surge since 2013. Most bettors favor a yin-yang strategy in the preseason, assuming the scales balance out, but in truth, big wins have provided big momentum for the next game as well.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BUFFALO (-3 vs PIT), ATLANTA (-3.5 at MIA), NY GIANTS (-3 at NYJ), DALLAS (-1.5 vs NO)
Big wins do not have a carryover effect if they are home underdogs
NFL teams coming off preseason wins of 11+ points and are home underdogs in the next game are on a 4-17 SU and 4-15-2 ATS (21.1%) skid since 2010.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY JETS (+3 vs NYG), CAROLINA (+1.5 vs HOU), GREEN BAY (+1.5 vs ARI)
Teams off double-digit losses are bad bets at home, good on the road
Double-digit games are noteworthy as indicators of the potential performance of the losing team in the follow-up game. When these teams have played at home the following week, they have gone just 42-61 ATS (40.8%) since 2013. When they faced their next contest on the road, they have performed well, 65-44-1 ATS (59.6%) in that same time span. This 18%+ variance is something you are going to want to give consideration to in the final two weeks of this year’s preseason.
System Matches: ROAD (PLAY) – PITTSBURGH (+3 at BUF), NEW ORLEANS (+1.5 at DAL), ARIZONA (-1.5 at GB), MINNESOTA (+6.5 at DEN), CHICAGO (+2.5 at TEN)
HOME (FADE) – LA CHARGERS (-3.5 vs LAR), CLEVELAND (+2.5 vs NE), MIAMI (+3.5 vs ATL), JACKSONVILLE (+3 vs TB), DENVER (-6.5 vs MIN), INDIANAPOLIS (-3.5 vs DET)
Teams that scored very well last game tend to come back down to earth
Offensive outbursts one week don’t tend to carry over to the next game in the preseason, as teams that scored 34 points or more in their previous exhibition game have gone just 17-19 SU and 15-20-1 ATS (42.9%) since 2015. Only two of these 36 teams reached 30 again as well.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SAN FRANCISCO (+3.5 at LVR), LA RAMS (+3.5 at LAC), ATLANTA (-3.5 at MIA), DALLAS (-1.5 vs NO), CAROLINA (+1.5 vs HOU)
Fade home teams that had huge defensive efforts last time out
Teams playing at home after allowing 7 points or fewer in their previous preseason game are just 23-32-1 SU and 21-33-2 ATS (38.9%) since 2010. Their average points allowed in the follow-up contest balloons to 20.2 PPG, a total that exceeds usual preseason standards by about 1.1 PPG.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO (-3 vs PIT), BALTIMORE (-2.5 vs WAS), NY JETS (+3 vs NYG)
“37” is a magic number for totals
Since 2010 in the NFL preseason, the number 37 has proven to be quite the benchmark in terms of totals. Totals less than 37 have gone Over at a rate of 57.1% (321-241), and have gone 18-12 Over since the start of the 2025 preseason. Those closing totals of 37 or higher have gone Under at a 56.7% clip (581-444), including 16-8 to the Under this year.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER (o/u <37) – PIT-BUF, NE-CLE, WAS-BAL, ATL-MIA, HOU-CAR, NYG-NYJ, TB-JAX, SEA-KC, CIN-PHI, ARI-GB, DET-IND, CHI-TEN
UNDER (o/u >= 37) – SF-LVR, LAR-LAC, NO-DAL, MIN-DEN
Teams that didn’t score well at all are good Over bets the next game
Struggling offenses tend to bounce back well in the next outing of the preseason, as teams that were held to fewer than 10 points in their previous preseason contest have gone 94-67-1 Over the total (58.4%) in the next game since 2010. These teams average 20 PPG in the next contest, while giving up 20.2.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): PIT-BUF (o/u at 35.5), NE-CLE (o/u at 35.5), ATL-MIA (o/u at 36.5), NO-DAL (o/u at 38.5), MIN-DEN (o/u at 39.5), DET-IND (o/u at 35.5), CHI-TEN (o/u at 36.5)
*If you’re looking for a short-term ATS edge on these teams, they are also on a current 23-11-1 ATS (67.6%) surge heading into 2025.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH (+3 at BUF), CLEVELAND (+2.5 vs NE), MIAMI (+3.5 vs ATL), NEW ORLEANS (+1.5 at DAL), MINNESOTA (+6.5 at DEN), INDIANAPOLIS (-3.5 vs DET), CHICAGO (+2.5 at TEN)
Preseason games between conference opponents lean heavily Under
Interestingly, dating back to September 2015, preseason games between opponents from the same conference have trended heavily Under the total, going 74-47 Under (61.2%). Furthermore, if you add the qualifiers from #8 above to that time span, preseason games between conference opponents with totals of 37 or higher have gone Under at a 60-27 rate (69%) since September 2015!
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): PIT-BUF (o/u at 35.5), NE-CLE (o/u at 35.5), NO-DAL (o/u at 38.5), ARI-GB (o/u at 35.5)
Teams that lost their first two games but are playing on the road in a competitive line range (-4.5 to +2.5) against non-conference opponents have gone 17-2 SU and 15-4 ATS (78.9%) since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): HOUSTON (-1.5 at CAR), SEATTLE (-2.5 at KC)
Teams that lost their first two games but are playing in the short favorite/pick ’em line range (-3.5 to PK) against non-conference opponents have seen their totals go Under at an 18-7-2 rate (72%) since 2010
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): SEA-KC (SEA -2.5, o/u at 35.5), CIN-PHI (PHI -3, o/u at 36.5), HOU-CAR (HOU -1.5, o/u at 36.5)
Teams that won their first two games and are playing at home with a total of 37.5 or higher have seen the total go Under at a 26-11-2 rate (70.3%) since 2010
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NO-DAL (o/u at 38.5)
*WATCH FOR CHI-TEN (o/u at 36.5 CURRENTLY)*
Top NFLPS Team Situational Trends
These are some of the top situational NFL betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of preseason action:
Thursday, August 27, 2026
LA RAMS (2-0) at LA CHARGERS (1-1)
– LA RAMS have won eight straight preseason games ATS
– LA RAMS are on a 14-6 ATS run following up a preseason win
– LA RAMS have covered eight straight preseason games as underdogs
– LA CHARGERS are on a 2-13 SU and 3-11-1 ATS skid in preseason home games
– LA CHARGERS are on a 1-6 ATS skid as preseason favorites
Trends Match (PLAY): LA RAMS (+3.5 at LAC)
– LA CHARGERS are 6-1 to the Over in the last seven preseason games, scoring 25.1 PPG
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): LAR-LAC (o/u at 38.5)
NEW ENGLAND (1-0-1) at CLEVELAND (0-2)
– NEW ENGLAND is 14-6 Under the total in its last 20 preseason road affairs
– NEW ENGLAND is on a current 16-7 Under the total surge in the preseason
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): NE-CLE (o/u at 35.5)
– CLEVELAND is 16-3-1 ATS in the last 20 as a preseason underdog
– CLEVELAND is 0-8-1 ATS in the last nine preseason games at home
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE OF CLEVELAND (+2.5 vs NE)
PITTSBURGH (1-1) at BUFFALO (2-0)
– PITTSBURGH has gone 21-9 SU and 19-11 ATS in their last 30 preseason games
– PITTSBURGH is 11-4 SU and ATS in the last 15 as preseason underdog
Trends Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH (+3 at BUF)
– BUFFALO is on a 16-5-1 Over the total run in the preseason
– BUFFALO is on a 14-3 Over the total surge in preseason home games
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): PIT-BUF (o/u at 35.5)
SAN FRANCISCO (1-1) at LAS VEGAS (1-1)
– SAN FRANCISCO is on a 12-1-1 ATS surge as a preseason underdog
– LAS VEGAS going 1-7-1 SU and 2-7 ATS in its last nine preseason games
– LAS VEGAS has lost seven of their last eight ATS as a preseason favorite
Trends Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (+3.5 at LVR)
Friday, August 28, 2026
ARIZONA (1-2) at GREEN BAY (1-1)
– ARIZONA is on a 3-7 SU and 2-7-1 ATS in preseason games away from home
Trend Match (FADE): ARIZONA (-2.5 at GB)
– GREEN BAY is on a 15-5 SU and ATS run in preseason games at Lambeau Field
– GREEN BAY has lost eight of the last 11 games SU as a preseason dog (2-8-1 ATS)
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of GREEN BAY (+2.5 vs ARI)
ATLANTA (1-1) at MIAMI (0-2)
– ATLANTA is on a 6-25-1 SU and 6-26 ATS skid in the preseason
– ATLANTA is on a 1-9 ATS skid as a preseason favorite
– ATLANTA hasn’t won much in the preseason, but when it has, it is just 1-9-1 SU and 1-10 ATS in the follow-up game
– MIAMI has gone 13-8-1 SU and 14-8 ATS in its last 22 preseason games
– MIAMI is on a 7-3 SU and ATS run at home in the preseason
– MIAMI has rebounded from its last seven preseason losses or ties with a 6-1 SU and ATS record, average margin of victory in those six wins is 22.0 PPG!
Trends Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+3.5 vs ATL)
– ATLANTA is 8-2 to the Under the total in the last 10 as a preseason favorite
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): ATL-MIA (o/u at 36.5)
CINCINNATI (2-0) at PHILADELPHIA (0-2)
– CINCINNATI has struggled to a 6-15-1 SU and 9-13 ATS record in its last 22 preseason contests
– CINCINNATI has gone 10-3 ATS in its last 13 road preseason tilts
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of CINCINNATI (+3 at PHI)
– PHILADELPHIA is on a 1-7-1 SU and 1-8 ATS skid at home in the preseason
– PHILADELPHIA is on a 2-8-1 SU and 1-9-1 ATS skid when laying points in the preseason
Trends Match (FADE): PHILADELPHIA (-3 vs CIN)
HOUSTON (0-2) at CAROLINA (2-1)
– HOUSTON is 11-2 SU and ATS in the last 13 games rebounding from a preseason loss
– HOUSTON is on a 7-1 SU and ATS road preseason run, holding opponents to 12.8 PPG
– CAROLINA is on a 3-9 SU and ATS skid in the preseason
– CAROLINA has lost its last five home preseason games SU and ATS
– CAROLINA is on a 2-10 ATS skid in the last 12 preseason games following a win
Trends Match (PLAY): CAROLINA (+1.5 vs HOU)
– HOUSTON is on a 16-4 Under the total run in preseason games, total point production 32.8 PPG
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): HOU-CAR (o/u at 36.5)
MINNESOTA (1-1) at DENVER (1-1)
– MINNESOTA has followed up its last seven preseason same-season losses with another loss, going 2-5 ATS
– DENVER is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine preseason home contests
– DENVER is 17-5 SU and 15-6-1 ATS in the last 22 as a preseason favorite
Trends Match (PLAY): DENVER (-6.5 vs MIN)
– Outright winners are on an incredible 41-1-1 ATS run in DENVER preseason games. The Broncos are 8-1 SU and ATS in their last nine as well.
NEW ORLEANS (0-2) at DALLAS (2-0)
– NEW ORLEANS is 2-11-1 SU and 4-10 ATS in its last 14 as a preseason underdog
– NEW ORLEANS is on a 1-7 ATS skid on the road in the preseason
Trends Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (+1.5 at DAL)
– DALLAS is on a 3-10-2 ATS skid as a preseason favorite
– Dating back to 2013, DALLAS is just 15-31 SU and 14-29-3 ATS in the preseason
Trend Match (FADE): DALLAS (-1.5 vs NO)
– DALLAS has gone Over the total in its last seven preseason games at home
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): NO-DAL (o/u at 38.5)
NY GIANTS (1-1) at NY JETS (1-1)
– NY JETS have converted 10 of the last 12 ATS as preseason underdogs
– The NY JETS are on a 14-6-1 SU and 14-7 ATS run in the preseason, definitively beating their regular-season performance levels
Trends Match (PLAY): NY JETS (+3 vs NYG)
– The NY GIANTS are 14-7 Over the total in preseason games since 2018
– The last nine NY GIANTS preseason games following an outright win have gone 8-1 Over the total, producing 49.7 PPG
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): NYG-NYJ (o/u at 36.5)
SEATTLE (0-2) at KANSAS CITY (0-2)
– SEATTLE is on a 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS skid in road preseason games
Trend Match (FADE): SEATTLE (-2.5 at KC)
– KANSAS CITY has lost eight straight preseason games while going 2-6 ATS
Trend Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (+2.5 vs SEA)
TAMPA BAY (2-0) at JACKSONVILLE (1-1)
– TAMPA BAY has gone Under the total in six of the last seven on the road in the preseason
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): TB-JAX (o/u at 34.5)
WASHINGTON (1-1) at BALTIMORE (2-0)
– WASHINGTON has struggled in recent preseason games, going 7-16 SU and 6-17 ATS since 2018
– BALTIMORE is 18-3-1 ATS in the last 22 preseason games when coming off a win
Trends Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-2.5 vs WAS)
– WASHINGTON has gone 11-2 Under the total in the last 13 games following up a preseason loss
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): WAS-BAL (o/u at 34.5)
Saturday, August 29, 2026
CHICAGO (1-1) at TENNESSEE (2-0)
– CHICAGO is 10-3-1 SU and 11-3 ATS in the last four preseasons
– CHICAGO is on an impressive streak of 7-0 ATS in home preseason games
– CHICAGO is 18-4 ATS since 2015 as a preseason underdog
Trends Match (PLAY): CHICAGO (+2.5 at TEN)
– CHICAGO is 19-6-1 Over the total in its last 26 preseason games
– CHICAGO has gone 7-0 Over the total in the last seven games following up a preseason loss
– TENNESSEE has gone Under the total in nine of the last 11 at home in the preseason
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in CHI-TEN (o/u at 36.5)
DETROIT (1-1) at INDIANAPOLIS (0-1-1)
– DETROIT is on an 18-10 Over the total surge in preseason games, allowing 23.1 PPG
– INDIANAPOLIS is on a 16-6 Over the total run in preseason action, total point production 41.1 PPG
– INDIANAPOLIS are 12-2 to the Over in the last 14 as preseason favorite
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): DET-IND (o/u at 35.5)
Strategies Using NFL DraftKings Betting Splits Data
The following systems are from the article NFL Preseason Top Betting Splits Trends for 2026 posted on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of 3:45 p.m. ET on Wednesday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage.
NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #1: Since the start of the 2023 NFL preseason, majority handle bettors on sides have gone just 76-93 ATS (45%). Until proven otherwise, any August majority handle in the NFL should be faded.
System Match: FADE ALL MAJORITY HANDLES ON SIDES
NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #4: Since the start of 2023, when the majority handle backed either team in a preseason game that had a point spread with one team favored by 3.5 points or higher, that majority group has gone just 33-44 ATS (42.9%). This is a drop off from the 44.6% overall win rate in system #1, so worth further consideration.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SAN FRANCISCO, LA RAMS, ATLANTA, DENVER, INDIANAPOLIS
NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #5: Since the start of the 2023 preseason, when the majority of number of bets backed a team in a PS game with a point spread of 2.5 points or lower, that group has gone just 27-39 ATS (40.9%). Look to fade the majority number of bettors in expected tight games this month.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NEW ENGLAND, BALTIMORE, CAROLINA, SEATTLE, DALLAS, GREEN BAY, CHICAGO
NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #6: Since the start of the 2023 preseason, when the majority number of bets was 59% or greater on any home team, that group has gone 28-35 ATS (44.4%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO, BALTIMORE, CAROLINA, DALLAS, GREEN BAY
Were there any systems in the NFL preseason in which majorities actually won? Yes! Here are those few spots:
NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #8: Since the start of the 2023 preseason, majority bets groups of over 60% on road teams have gone 27-16 ATS (62.8%), including a 7-0 ATS streak in 2026.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW ENGLAND, SAN FRANCISCO, LA RAMS, SEATTLE, MINNESOTA, DETROIT, CHICAGO
NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2024 preseason, majority bets groups on totals have gone 74-55 ATS (57.4%) when favoring either side of the total.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ALL GAMES HAVE MAJORITY BETS ON OVER (except MIN-DEN)
NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2023 preseason, majority handle groups of 63% or higher on totals have gone 65-37 ATS (63.7%), another very nice win by normal standards and something we will continue to track.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – PIT-BUF, NE-CLE, LAR-LAC, WAS-BAL, ATL-MIA, HOU-CAR, SEA-KC, NO-DAL, ARI-GB, DET-IND, CHI-TEN
UNDER – CIN-PHI, MIN-DEN
This week’s NFLPS Strength Ratings
The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. KANSAS CITY +2.5 (+4.6)
2. MIAMI +3.5 (+3.4)
3. DETROIT +3.5 (+3.2)
4. GREEN BAY +1.5 (+3.0)
5. JACKSONVILLE +3 (+2.8)
This week’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BALTIMORE -2.5 (+1.1)
2. TENNESSEE -2.5 (+1.0)
3. DALLAS -1.5 (+0.9)
4. HOUSTON -1.5 (+0.8)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. KANSAS CITY +2.5 (+4.7)
2. DETROIT +3.5 (+3.4)
3. MIAMI +3.5 (+3.3)
4. GREEN BAY +1.5 (+2.9)
5. JACKSONVILLE +3 (+2.7)
This week’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BALTIMORE -2.5 (+1.3)
2. TENNESSEE -2.5 (+0.9)
3. DALLAS -1.5 (+0.8)
4. HOUSTON -1.5 (+0.7)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ARI-GB OVER 35.5 (+2.7)
2. LAR-LAC OVER 38.5 (+2.6)
3. CHI-TEN OVER 36.5 (+1.4)
4. PIT-BUF OVER 35.5 (+1.2)
5. ATL-MIA OVER 36.5 (+1.0)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NO-DAL UNDER 38.5 (-2.3)
2. SEA-KC UNDER 35.5 (-2.0)
3. TB-JAX UNDER 34.5 (-1.8)
4. NYG-NYJ UNDER 36.5 (-1.5)
5. SF-LVR UNDER 37.5 (-0.9)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. KANSAS CITY +2.5 (+4.3)
2. GREEN BAY +1.5 (+4.2)
3. DETROIT +3.5 (+3.7)
4. SAN FRANCISCO +3.5 (+3.3)
5. MIAMI +3.5 (+2.8)
This week’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. HOUSTON -1.5 (+2.4)
2. BALTIMORE -2.5 (+1.3)
3. DALLAS -1.5 (+0.7)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ARI-GB OVER 35.5 (+4.2)
2. CIN-PHI OVER 36.5 (+2.6)
3. NE-CLE OVER 35.5 (+2.5)
4. NO-DAL OVER 38.5 (+1.9)
5. TB-JAX OVER 34.5 (+1.7)
This week’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. PIT-BUF UNDER 35.5 (-1.5)
2. NYG-NYJ UNDER 36.5 (-1.4)
3. MIN-DEN UNDER 39.5 (-1.2)
4. ATL-MIA UNDER 36.5 (-1.1)
Top NFLPS Head-to-Head Series Trends
These are the top head-to-head series NFL betting trends between teams from recent years’ preseason action:
Thursday, August 27
SAN FRANCISCO at LAS VEGAS
* Home teams are 3-1 ATS in the SF-LVR preseason series since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): LAS VEGAS (-3.5 vs SF)
* Over the total is 4-0 in this h2h preseason series as well
Trend Match (PLAY): SF-LVR (o/u at 37.5)
LA RAMS at LA CHARGERS
* Underdogs are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four of the Los Angeles preseason battle
Trend Match (PLAY): LA RAMS (+3.5 at LAC)
Friday, August 28
MINNESOTA at DENVER
* Favorites are 3-0 SU and ATS in the MIN-DEN preseason non-conference series since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): DENVER (-6.5 vs MIN)
WASHINGTON at BALTIMORE
* Road teams are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last five of the Commanders-Ravens preseason rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (+2.5 at BAL)
NY GIANTS at NY JETS
* Favorites are on 4-1 SU and ATS surge in the New York preseason set
Trend Match (PLAY): NY GIANTS (-3 at NYJ)
ATLANTA at MIAMI
* MIAMI is 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven preseason matchups with Atlanta
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+3.5 vs ATL)
SEATTLE at KANSAS CITY
* SEATTLE is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last four preseason meetings with Kansas City
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-2.5 at KC)
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