2023 Wimbledon futures bets
The grass-court portion of the tennis season is probably the hardest part of the year to bet, but I’m confident we can make some money at Wimbledon. With that in mind, I’ll have daily best bets for you over the next two weeks. But I’m also shining some light on my favorite bets on the futures market here. So, make sure you keep reading for those. And continue coming back to VSiN throughout the course of the tournament, and make sure you’re checking our Pro Picks page for more plays. This is the most prestigious of the four majors, as no venue comes close to matching the beauty of the All England Club in London, England. You’re going to want to soak in as much of the action as possible and having some skin in the game will only make it more exciting.
Wimbledon Men’s Futures
Holger Rune (+800 – 0.5 units) & Frances Tiafoe (+900 – 0.5 units) To Win Quarter 1: I think Carlos Alcaraz will ultimately end up meeting Novak Djokovic in the final, but the Spaniard is still largely unproven on grass. Sure, he did win a title at Queen’s Club this grass season, but I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of him tripping up somewhere in this tough draw. And I think Rune and Tiafoe are two very good players, and both of them are available at great prices here. It’s especially wild to see Rune at +800 to win his quarter. He’s another guy that has done nothing on grass, but he’s easily a top-10 player in the world. And if Alcaraz is going to figure it out on the fly, why can’t Rune?
Tallon Griekspoor (+2200 – 0.25 units) To Win Quarter 2: One of my favorite dart throws of this tournament is on Griekspoor to emerge from a wide-open section of the bracket. Griekspoor isn’t the biggest player in the world, but he packs a lot of punch. Griekspoor has a lot of power with his serve and he also plays a powerful game from the baseline. That’s a great skill set to have on the grass. And Griekspoor has already had a lot of success this grass season. He won a title at ‘s-Hertogenbosch and made a nice little run in Halle, where he beat Hubert Hurkacz on the way. I just think there’s a good chance he makes a deeper run than expected here, and that would set up for a nice hedge later on.
Casper Ruud (+850) To Win Quarter 3: I understand that Ruud is just 3-6 in ATP-level grass-court matches in his career, and he didn’t play any tune-up events before arriving in London. But Ruud is still a top-five player in the world, and he has now been to the finals of three Grand Slams over the last two years. With that said, he knows what it takes to win big matches. And even if this surface is a brutal one for him, it’s still hard to beat elite players in best-of-five settings. So, I have a hard time believing Ruud will get tripped up in the early rounds. His path is incredibly easy, as the best players he is slated to face before the fourth quarterfinals are some combination of Denis Shapovalov, Roberto Bautista Agut and Borna Coric. And if Ruud does end up getting to the quarterfinals, you’d be able to get a great price on a hedge.
Wimbledon Women’s Futures
Petra Kvitova (+1300 – 0.5 units) & Jelena Ostapenko (+3500 – 0.25 units) To Win Wimbledon: Kvitova and Ostapenko were two of the players that stood out the most in the brief lead-up to Wimbledon. Kvitova won a big tournament in Berlin and didn’t drop a single set on the way. Meanwhile, Ostapenko won the Birmingham Classic and earned some impressive wins at that event. With that in mind, I like both as picks to win this tournament. Unfortunately, both are in a loaded part of the draw, which is why I’m not risking as much as I normally would. But Kvitova is potentially worthy of a bigger play. She’s a two-time Wimbledon champion and has the game to beat anyone here.
Iga Swiatek To Win Quarter 1 (-110 – 3 units): Swiatek is the best player in the world, and it isn’t necessarily close. However, Swiatek hasn’t yet made her mark on grass. And people are down on her ability to win this tournament because of that. But Swiatek also happens to have an insanely easy path to the semifinals. The best players she’ll face before then would presumably be Belinda Bencic and Coco Gauff. I’m not concerned at all about her losing to either one of those players. That’s why I’m going a lot bigger on Swiatek to win her quarter than any other pick. She might not win this tournament, but I think she’s making a deep run.
Donna Vekic To Win Quarter 2 (+350): Vekic is one of the most underrated players coming into this tournament. She’s a natural fit on the grass and is coming off a great run in Berlin. Vekic beat defending Wimbledon champion Elena Rybakina in that event, and she also earned a win over Maria Sakkari. Vekic then pushed Kvitova in a loss in the final, which says a lot about her current form. It’s just hard to look at this quarter and not see it as Vekic’s to lose. The top-seeded player here is Jessica Pegula, and she’s in miserable form at the moment. The player I’m most concerned about beating Vekic is Veronika Kudermetova. But I’d like Vekic in that potential matchup.
Madison Keys To Win Quarter 4 (+700 – 0.5 units): Another smaller play I like on the women’s side is for Keys to emerge from her quarter. Keys hasn’t had a ton of success at Wimbledon in the past, but she has a booming serve and a big forehand. That makes her a threat to do real damage on these courts, as she can quickly wrap up her service games and also put points away early in rallies. I also think Keys happens to be in something of a favorable portion of the draw. I like her chances in a potential matchup with Maria Sakkari or Barbora Krejcikova, and I’m somewhat down on Aryna Sabalenka’s chances here. She has the perfect game to win a Wimbledon title, but I’m not sure how she’ll respond mentally after the way she collapsed at the French Open.