Mutua Madrid Open 2023: Tennis best bets for Arnaldi vs. Munar, Bouzkova vs. Pegula – Sunday, April 30th


Tennis best bets for the Mutua Madrid Open – Sunday, April 30th

The Mutua Madrid Open is one of the most exciting clay-court events of the season, as this is a 1000-level tournament for both the men and the women. This is one of the biggest non-majors of the entire year, so most of the stars will be out on the red clay over the next two weeks. We’re going to have you covered with tennis best bets for every big tournament of the season, so keep reading for our tennis predictions for Sunday, April 30th and make sure you keep coming back for more! 


MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on April 30

Matteo Arnaldi vs. Jaume Munar

Arnaldi has been on a tear dating back to the end of last season, when the Italian got to showcase his talents at the Next Gen ATP Finals. Arnaldi brought that positive momentum into the 2023 season, as he is set to crack the top 100 when the new rankings come out. Arnaldi has already won 17 matches on clay to start the season, with a lot of those coming at the Challenger level. However, he showed that the form can translate to the big time, as he earned a straight-set win over 2022 French Open runner-up Casper Ruud last round. Now, we’re backing Arnaldi to go out and beat Munar. These two actually met in Barcelona 11 days ago, when Arnaldi earned a straight-set win over the Spaniard. Munar is a very good clay-court player in his own right, but he has looked out of sorts for the last 12 or so months. And it’s hard to see where he’ll actually give Arnaldi problems. The Italian has an all-court game and can deal with everything that Munar throws his way.

Bet: Arnaldi ML (-125) 

*Three additional Mutua Madrid Open plays have been added to the Pro Picks page

Marie Boukova vs. Jessica Pegula

Bouzkova is off to a really slow start to the season, but it’s hard to shake how successful she has been against Pegula in the past. Bouzkova is 3-1 against Pegula when factoring in both WTA and ITF matches, and she also happened to win their most recent meeting. That was a 5-7, 6-2, 6-0 win for Bouzkova at Indian Wells last year, and the event itself is very significant. While Indian Wells is a hard-court tournament, it plays a bit slower and actually feels more like clay. So, it’s hard to ignore that when these two move over to clay. Now, Pegula is the far superior player and should ultimately win this match. But it seems unfair to ask her to do it in straight sets against somebody that has given her trouble before. And you’re getting plus-money odds to back Bouzkova just to make this close.

Bet: Bouzkova +1.5 Sets (+140)

Make sure you check the Pro Picks page throughout the day. As odds begin to move, I might add more selections there.