Tennis best bets for Rolex Paris Masters & WTA Finals – Monday, October 30
There isn’t much time left in the 2023 tennis season, but this is a week full of high-level action. The men are in Paris for the Rolex Paris Masters, which is the final 1000-level event of the season. This is as big of a tournament as there is outside of the four Grand Slams, and the stakes are high with some of these players hoping to book a spot in the ATP Finals. Meanwhile, the women are already into the WTA Finals. The top eight players on the women’s side are already in Cancun to compete for the final big trophy of the year. With that in mind, I’m here to give you some daily tennis best bets. Keep reading for my picks for Monday, October 30. Also, I included some futures for the tournaments at the bottom.
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Max Purcell vs. Karen Khachanov
Khachanov has found his game after dealing with injuries over the summer, but I think it’s tough to ask him to win by more than 3.5 games against Purcell. The Australian has an extremely big serve, so i think going to a tiebreaker and losing another set 6-4 is a very realistic outcome here. I also think Purcell has a shot at winning a set in this match. Khachanov will have a big edge from the baseline, but I don’t think the Russian will regularly threaten to break Purcell’s serve. So, this spread just seems a little too large for me. And I love that you can get the games at plus-money odds.
Bet: Purcell +3.5 Games (+110)
Dominic Thiem vs. Stan Wawrinka
Wawrinka comes into this match after having lost six of his last eight. He’s really not playing well at this point in the year, and it feels like the veteran can badly use a couple of weeks off. Meanwhile, Thiem has won two matches in a row. And before that, he put up a good effort in a loss to Stefanos Tsitsipas in Vienna. Thiem is really starting to find some form right now, and he definitely wants to put in some good work in Paris. The former world No. 3 knows the importance of heading into the 2024 season with some momentum. And overall, I find it hard to believe he’ll struggle to get by Wawrinka here. Thiem should have the edge from the baseline, and I trust the Austrian to handle his business on his serve here.
Bet: Thiem ML (-130)
Ons Jabeur vs. Coco Gauff
It really felt like Jabeur was going through it after losing in the Wimbledon final, and I do think some physical ailments were dragging her down towards the end of the summer. However, the way the schedule is laid out has given these players plenty of rest over the last month or two. So, I think the Tunisian will be in a good place in Cancun this week. With that in mind, I like her to give Gauff a run for her money in their opening WTA Finals match. The scattered schedule also means that Gauff is no longer running hot from her wins in D.C., Cincinnati and the US Open. She’ll need to reestablish momentum and that won’t be easy against Jabeur, who is going to keep her off balance with her remarkable ability to change up the pace on her shots. Jabeur also happens to be 2-1 in the last three meetings between these players. That said, I’m taking her to win a set here. There should be more juice on a play like this. For as good as Gauff is, the numbers on this match feel disrespectful to Jabeur.
Bet: Jabeur +1.5 Sets (-150)
2023 Overall Record: 299-272 (+56.51 units)
Rolex Paris Masters & WTA Finals Futures Bets
Iga Swiatek To WIn WTA Finals (+240): Swiatek played the best tennis she has played in quite some time on her way to winning a title in Beijing a few weeks ago. Now, Swiatek has a chance to take back her No. 1 ranking before the end of the year. However, she absolutely must win this tournament and she will need Aryna Sabalenka to struggle a bit — or lose in the semifinals. Either way, I think the motivation is there for Swiatek and I think that will result in one last title for the top player in the world.
Carlos Alcaraz To Win Rolex Paris Masters (+330): These are the most favorable odds on Alcaraz to win a title in quite some time. Of course, the Spaniard hasn’t played convincing tennis in a while, and he has also missed the last few weeks with injuries. But he does have an extremely favorable draw, making it hard to envision a loss before the semifinals. With that in mind, I like these odds on Alcaraz, who should be hungry for a big title at this point. He has allowed Novak Djokovic to steal all of the spotlight in the men’s game over the last few months, and he even had to watch as Jannik Sinner won a 1000-level event during the Asian Swing.
