Tennis Best Bets: Monte Carlo Masters picks and predictions for Wednesday, April 10

Zachary Cohen dives into his favorite Monte Carlo Masters tennis best bets for Wednesday, April 10th.

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Holger Rune reacts to losing a big point against Marcos Giron in Toronto.
Aug 9, 2023; Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Holger Rune (DEN) reacts after a missed point against Marcos Giron (not pictured) at Sobeys Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Monte Carlo Masters tennis best bets for Wednesday, April 10

There’s nothing quite like the heart of clay-court season, which truly begins with the Monte Carlo Masters in France. This is a tournament that ranks just below the four Grand Slams in terms of importance. And while the field for this event is smaller, it’s absolutely loaded with talent. Novak Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will all be out there for this event, but it’s Andrey Rublev who is the defending champion here. Those four, along with several other remarkable players, will be gunning for the first Masters 1000 title of 2024 on the dirt. And we’ll be providing you with tennis best bets on a daily basis for this one. Make sure you keep reading for my tennis best bets for Wednesday, April 10th. Also, make sure you come back throughout the day, as I constantly add picks to my card. So, if you’re interested in a match and want to see what I have on it, come back before first ball and see if I added something on it!

MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!

 

2024 Results: 196-222 (+0.80 units)

Alexei Popyrin vs. Andrey Rublev
Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

I missed out on getting Popyrin and Etcheverry at +4.5 at reasonable prices. So, I’m going to parlay them together with some alternate spreads. I can get Popyrin at +5.5 with Etcheverry at +4.5 at a very palatable number and I like the play quite a bit.

While Rublev is the defending champion and a top-10 player in the world, the Russian’s form hasn’t been there lately. Rublev lost his second match in Indian Wells, getting hammered by Jiri Lehecka. Then, Rublev didn’t win a single match in Miami, as he lost in straight sets to Tomas Machac. Well, Rublev now gets another very powerful player, and Popyrin has the benefit of having played a match here already. The Australian earned an impressive three-set win over Corentin Moutet, a solid clay-court player. Now, he looks quite dangerous against Rublev. Popyrin is holding at a career high 88.3% this year, and that has helped him to an impressive 8-5 record in 2024. And Popyrin’s serve should give Rublev some issues on the dirt. And the slow courts will also help Popyrin return Rublev’s serve, which isn’t great to begin with. So, I think this will be a pretty close match.

With the other match, it’s just hard to ignore how good Etcheverry is on clay. The Argentinean is coming off a dominant straight-set win over Nicolas Jarry, who is very good on the dirt himself. Etcheverry is now 3-1 on clay over the last week. He also has 16 wins on clay in the last 52 weeks. Etcheverry should also be aided by the fact that he played Jarry last match. While Tsitsipas is a better mover than Jarry, both of them are big servers with booming forehands. So, Etcheverry should be able to approach this match in a similar fashion. Also, Tsitsipas’ form has been miserable lately. And if it wasn’t for an injury to Laslo Djere’s arm, I think he was going to be pushed in a big way last round.

Parlay: Popyrin +5.5 Games & Etcheverry +4.5 Games (-117 – 1.5 units)

Sumit Nagal vs. Holger Rune

Rune can be an incredible clay-court player when he’s at his best. However, he hasn’t played a singles match on clay since last summer. Meanwhile, Nagal is 4-1 on the dirt since the start of April. And he has scored wins over Moutet, Facundo Diaz Acosta and Matteo Arnaldi in that span. All of those players are difficult to beat. So, Nagal comes into this match with quite a bit of momentum, and that should help the top-ranked Indian keep things tight against Rune.

These two played a competitive match at last year’s Davis Cup, where Rune won 7-5, 6-3 on hard courts. But these conditions, along with Rune’s lack of match play on clay, should help Nagal keep things even closer. Nagal is a tough baseliner that plays with real urgency and aggression. So, he can move Rune from side to side and then take his chances for some winners. Nagal is also capable of coming up and winning points at the net. That said, if Rune isn’t precise with his passing shots, he’ll have his work cut out for him here.

Bet: Nagal +4.5 Games (-135 – 2 units)

Added Plays

Juan Pablo Ficovich +4.5 Games (-168 – 1.5 units) vs. Maxime Cressy [Morelos Challenger]

Juan Pablo Ficovich ML (+275 – 0.5 units) vs. Maxime Cressy [Morelos Challenger]

PARLAY: Alexis Galarneau ML vs. Facundo Mena & Vasek Pospisil +1.5 Sets vs. Tristan Schoolkate (-144 – 2 units) [Morelos Challenger]

Qiang Wang ML (+110 – 2 units) vs. Lanlana Tararudee [ITF Shenzhen]

Mikhail Kukushkin +3.5 Games (-115 – 1.5 units) vs. Rudolf Molleker [Madrid Challenger]

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