Tennis best bets for the US Open – Monday, September 4th
The US Open is the final major of the year and it’s arguably the most exciting of the four Grand Slams. There’s just something special about this tournament being played in Flushing Meadows, New York, where the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center serves as one of the greatest venues in the sport. The drama of the night matches at Arthur Ashe Stadium can’t be replicated anywhere else. With that out of the way, I’m hoping to continue dishing out winners over the next week, so make sure you keep reading for my tennis best bets for Monday, September 4th.
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Alex De Minaur vs. Daniil Medvedev
De Minaur earned a 7-6 (7), 7-5 win over Medvedev in Toronto, but that was a pretty fluky result. Medvedev had a 5-2 lead in the opening set, but he was unable to close it out. Medvedev then had a 5-2 lead in the first-set tiebreaker, but he blew that too. But that was a weird tournament, as it was very windy throughout the week. Medvedev had some trouble dealing with that, and it ultimately got in his head. That gave De Minaur, one of the sport’s best battlers, a chance to steal it. But the conditions at the US Open are nothing like that, and Medvedev should be able to roll De Minaur here.
I’m just not sure De Minaur will be able to serve well enough to make this a competitive match — at least for long. Medvedev is one of the best returners in the sport, and he’s going to ask a lot of questions of the Australian here. Meanwhile, Medvedev also has a great serve when he is locked in. And his recent loss to De Minaur should make him realize that he can’t afford to lose focus at any point in this match. That’s why I’m trusting Medvedev to win in four sets or less.
Bet: Medvedev -1.5 Sets (-155)
Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner
Zverev is coming off a hard-fought win over Grigor Dimitrov, and I believe the German is now up for the task of going toe to toe with Sinner. I’m well aware that Sinner is going to win majors one day, and it could happen in the near future. He has the talent to do it right now, but I feel as though I have to fade him until I get it wrong. I just think that Sinner has some trouble dealing with some of the mental aspects of the game as he gets later in tournaments. And I think Zverev also happens to be a very tough matchup for him.
One of Sinner’s biggest weaknesses is that he doesn’t possess an elite serve, so he occasionally throws away service games. That would be detrimental against a player like Zverev, as the 26-year-old is one of the best servers on tour. I also think Zverev’s ability to use his length to defend the baseline is going to be big here. Sinner has the power to hit through most players, and he’ll undoubtedly do it plenty against Zverev. But Zverev will get more of his shots back than most players, which could cause the Italian to make a few extra unforced errors.
Overall, I just don’t think there’s much that separates these two when Zverev is at the top of his game. And he has been playing top-notch tennis over the last few weeks.
Bet: Zverev ML (+125)
ADDED PLAYS:
Madison Keys ML (+145) vs. Jessica Pegula
Ons Jabeur ML (-145) vs. Qinwen Zheng
2023 Overall Record: 276-249 (+45.93 units)
