This is The VSiN Daily newsletter for Monday, December 2. Sign up for this free email and get picks and insights delivered to your in-box every morning.
VSiN.com senior editor Zach Cohen previews tonight’s Browns-Broncos matchup (8:15 ET, ESPN):
The Browns have had 10 full days of rest to prepare for the Broncos. However, that’s about the only reason to like Cleveland. This Browns team is just 19th in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.025), while the Broncos are second in the NFL in that statistic (-0.118). Also, while Cleveland has been better offensively since Jameis Winston took over at quarterback, the team is just 22nd in the NFL in EPA per play (-0.039) in the four-game span.
Meanwhile, since Week 5, Denver has performed as a top-15 team in the league in EPA per play (0.039), which is plenty good enough with an elite defense. And over the last two weeks, the Broncos have an EPA per play of 0.167, so the team is starting to look very dangerous.
>>Zach offers his Best Bet, which happens to be a player prop.
Plenty of VSiN opinions on this one:
>Steve Makinen has three betting systems/trends that favor one team.
>Matt Youmans on Denver’s defense.
>Adam Burke on the absence of a key player on the Browns defense.
>Dave Tuley on how the cold weather forecast is influencing his pick.
More MNF resources
>Look for Josh Appelbaum‘s Sharp Report later this morning.
>DraftKings/Circa Betting Splits: At the top of this email, the chart shows a comparison of the betting splits from DraftKings and Circa Sports. Keep an eye on them for late action.
Tuley’s ATS report: Favorites were 7-3 straight up with one pick’em on Sunday, but underdogs led 6-3-1 ATS. The Eagles (+3) were among the winning underdogs, beating the Ravens 24-19.
Contest Corner: There are 52 live entries in Circa Survivor with 11 pending on the Broncos. The Bucs certainly gave 11 entries a sweat, tying the Panthers on a last-second field goal and winning in overtime, 26-23, on another field goal. Two entries were eliminated with the Bengals’ loss to the Steelers.
Turning the page: Adam looks at the adjustments in the Week 14 lines based on the Week 13 results.
Among the big injuries to keep an eye on: 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey (possible season-ending injury to posterior cruciate ligament), Jags QB Trevor Lawrence (concussion from brutal cheap shot) and Saints handyman Taysom Hill (possible season-ending knee injury).
Finally, congrats if you had Josh Allen on your fantasy team with a TD pass and reception on the same play.
CFB Chaos
Adam Burke and Jonathan Von Tobel do a tremendous job covering what you need to know after the crazy final weekend of the regular season and heading into the conference title games.
>Adam previews the CFP committee’s rankings.
>JVT looks at the early lines for the title games.
Early DK Betting Splits for conference title games.
Today in college basketball
Greg Peterson has posted his Best Bets for today’s menu.
>Adam Burke‘s top plays will be up later today.
Quick Hits
NBA: Zach Cohen will post his Best Bets later today on our NBA page.
NHL: Look for Jonathan Davis‘ picks by mid-morning on our NHL page.
Poker: Congrats to Brittany Cammack for winning the VSiN Poker Tournament, powered by Poker Now. She will get a free seat in the WPT $5M Freeroll in Las Vegas later this month. I believe Dave Tuley was the top finisher in the VSiN-employed category, placing 22nd.
