An action-filled Sunday ended with a doink.
The Chiefs (-4.5) beat the Chargers 19-17 when Matthew Wright’s 31-yard field goal carromed off the left upright and snuck over the cross bar on the last play of the game.
KC is now 12-1 straight up, but is draining backers with a 4-8-1 ATS record. Overall on Sunday, favorites went 8-3 SU, but underdogs led 7-4 ATS. >>Dave Tuley‘s ATS Report.
Among those dogs: The Panthers (+14) put a scare into the Eagles and the Circa Sports bettor who put $3.1 million on the Philly moneyline to win $440,000. But Carolina WR Xavier Legette dropped a potentially game-winning TD with under a minute left and Philly prevailed 22-16.
Hold your nose?
This MNF matchup probably seemed like a pretty good idea to NFL schedule-makers back in May.
Instead, Zach Cohen previews the 4-8 Bengals vs. the 5-7 Cowboys (8:15, ESPN):
For as bad as Cincinnati’s defense has been this season, one would think the unit is good enough to slow down a Cooper Rush-led offense. Meanwhile, Joe Burrow and the league’s seventh-best EPA per play offense (0.099) will be working against a Dallas defense that is 28th in the league in EPA per play allowed (0.065).
Dave “Dog or Pass Tuley: I would think that all the people burned by the Bengals this year, both ATS and in Survivor pools, would have stopped betting them by now, so I’ll take the home dog here, though we have to plug our nose with this one.
More MNF resources
>Look for Josh Appelbaum‘s Sharp Report later this morning.
>Steve Makinen‘s pick based on his trends.
>Mike Somich has a prop recommendation.
>DraftKings/Circa Betting Splits: At the top of this email, the chart shows a comparison of the betting splits from DraftKings and Circa Sports. Keep an eye on them for late action.
>Injury Report: Among the injuries to keep an eye on this week — Raiders QB Aiden O’Connell (knee, status TBD) and Derek Carr (left hand, status TBD).
Contest Corner: 51 out of 52 Circa Survivor entries are still alive as the Titans’ loss eliminated one and three are pending on the Bengals.
First impressions of CFP first round
With the 12-team CFP bracket set, Adam Burke updates his power ratings and looks for value.
I would expect my numbers to be pretty close on marquee games like this and that is exactly what we have. Clemson +11 is my favorite bet of the first round as of now. I may end up on Tennessee north of a TD as well, as the Volunteers should win the battle in the trenches in that game. But, we’re not talking about any grand power ratings value as justification for a bet.
Adam and Jonathan Von Tobel, along with Grace Remington, reacted to the bracket on the CFP Betting Show right after the selection committee’s announcement. >>Watch the show.
Coming Thursday: The VSiN College Football Playoff Guide.
Today in college basketball
Greg Peterson has posted his Best Bets for today’s menu.
>Adam Burke’s top plays will be up later today.
Quick Hits
MLB: Juan Soto has agreed to terms with the Mets on a 15-year, $765M deal. The Mets, 14-1 to win the World Series before the news, are now +800 at DraftKings Sportsbook, behind only the Dodgers (+380) and Braves (+750).
NBA: Zach Cohen will post his Best Bets later today on our NBA page.
NHL: Look for Jonathan Davis‘ picks by mid-morning on our NHL page.
This is The VSiN Daily newsletter for Monday, December 9. Sign up for this free email and get picks and insights delivered to your in-box every morning.
