Whew! It was quite a night at Circa. I came away with plenty of stories. But it’s almost 3 a.m. here, so they’ll have to wait for another day and newsletter.
⚽ No More Draws
The group stage is over.
No more calculating goal differential. No more rooting for results in another stadium.
No more draws.
Win or go home.
Ironically, the group stage ended Saturday night with one last dramatic draw. Austria scored in stoppage time to tie Algeria 3-3, sending both teams to the Round of 32 while eliminating Iran.
The knockout stage begins today with one match.
Round of 32 (3 p.m. ET)
South Africa (+450) vs. Canada (-144)
Yes, you can still bet the draw in regulation. It’s +267 for this match. But unlike the group stage, they will play 30 minutes of extra time and, if necessary, settle it with penalty kicks.
Nigel Seeley likes Canada, but he’s attacking the Total instead.
“I don’t fully trust either attack to produce a high-scoring game, and the recent numbers back that up.”
👉 Nigel’s Canada-South Africa Best Bet →
👉 World Cup hub →
No more calculating goal differential. No more rooting for results in another stadium.
No more draws.
Win or go home.
Ironically, the group stage ended Saturday night with one last dramatic draw. Austria scored in stoppage time to tie Algeria 3-3, sending both teams to the Round of 32 while eliminating Iran.
The knockout stage begins today with one match.
Round of 32 (3 p.m. ET)
South Africa (+450) vs. Canada (-144)
Yes, you can still bet the draw in regulation. It’s +267 for this match. But unlike the group stage, they will play 30 minutes of extra time and, if necessary, settle it with penalty kicks.
Nigel Seeley likes Canada, but he’s attacking the Total instead.
“I don’t fully trust either attack to produce a high-scoring game, and the recent numbers back that up.”
👉 Nigel’s Canada-South Africa Best Bet →
👉 World Cup hub →
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⚾ Greg’s Best Bets
Greg Peterson likes the Yankees as a slight underdog behind Carlos Rodón, whose underlying numbers are even better than his ERA suggests.
He also expects another low-scoring game at Fenway with Boston’s offense continuing to struggle at home despite another strong season from Sonny Gray.
Greg’s Best Bets:
Yankees Moneyline (+105)
Under 8 Runs
Greg’s projected line: Yankees -114
Greg’s projected total: 7.8
👉 Greg’s Sunday Best Bets →
👉 More MLB betting analysis →
👉 MLB player prop projections →
He also expects another low-scoring game at Fenway with Boston’s offense continuing to struggle at home despite another strong season from Sonny Gray.
Greg’s Best Bets:
Yankees Moneyline (+105)
Under 8 Runs
Greg’s projected line: Yankees -114
Greg’s projected total: 7.8
👉 Greg’s Sunday Best Bets →
👉 More MLB betting analysis →
👉 MLB player prop projections →
🏁 Sonoma: One Last Road Course
Steve Makinen has run his final simulation for today’s race at Sonoma, the final road-course event on the NASCAR schedule.
Shane van Gisbergen remains the favorite, but Saturday’s practice and qualifying narrowed the gap between him and Kyle Larson. Pole-sitter Ty Gibbs is another driver Steve expects to contend.
Steve’s picks
1. Shane van Gisbergen
2. Kyle Larson
3. Ty Gibbs
4. Ryan Blaney
5. Chris Buescher
Top underdogs: Ty Gibbs, Chase Briscoe, Michael McDowell, Ross Chastain, Ryan Blaney
Favorites to fade: Christopher Bell, William Byron, Chase Elliott, Bubba Wallace
👉 Steve’s NASCAR predictions →
Shane van Gisbergen remains the favorite, but Saturday’s practice and qualifying narrowed the gap between him and Kyle Larson. Pole-sitter Ty Gibbs is another driver Steve expects to contend.
Steve’s picks
1. Shane van Gisbergen
2. Kyle Larson
3. Ty Gibbs
4. Ryan Blaney
5. Chris Buescher
Top underdogs: Ty Gibbs, Chase Briscoe, Michael McDowell, Ross Chastain, Ryan Blaney
Favorites to fade: Christopher Bell, William Byron, Chase Elliott, Bubba Wallace
👉 Steve’s NASCAR predictions →
🏈 What’s Inside The NFL Betting Guide?
The 110-page VSiN NFL Betting Guide is now available.
Inside you’ll find:
✓ 100+ futures, props and season-long betting recommendations
✓ Super Bowl picks from 23 VSiN hosts and analysts
✓ The Rams as VSiN’s overwhelming Super Bowl consensus
✓ Steve Makinen’s NFL regression and breakout systems
✓ Best bets on MVP, Rookie of the Year and Coach of the Year
✓ John Hansen’s favorite NFL player props
👉 Download the VSiN NFL Betting Guide →
👉 Not a VSiN Pro? Find the right plan →
Inside you’ll find:
✓ 100+ futures, props and season-long betting recommendations
✓ Super Bowl picks from 23 VSiN hosts and analysts
✓ The Rams as VSiN’s overwhelming Super Bowl consensus
✓ Steve Makinen’s NFL regression and breakout systems
✓ Best bets on MVP, Rookie of the Year and Coach of the Year
✓ John Hansen’s favorite NFL player props
👉 Download the VSiN NFL Betting Guide →
👉 Not a VSiN Pro? Find the right plan →
🏈 DonBest Football Rotation Guide
The DonBest Football Rotation Guide for every NFL and college football game through Nov. 2 is now available.
Schedules, rotation numbers and matchup information in one convenient guide as football season gets closer.
👉 Purchase your copy for $4.99 →
Schedules, rotation numbers and matchup information in one convenient guide as football season gets closer.
👉 Purchase your copy for $4.99 →
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🎾 Wimbledon Starts Monday
The Championships begin Monday at the All England Club.
Before the first serve, Zach Cohen breaks down the tournament, his futures card and the betting angles he believes matter most over the next two weeks.
👉 Zach’s Wimbledon betting preview →
Zach also joined Drew Dinsick for a special Wimbledon edition of Beating The Book.
👉 Listen to Gill Alexander’s podcast →
Before the first serve, Zach Cohen breaks down the tournament, his futures card and the betting angles he believes matter most over the next two weeks.
👉 Zach’s Wimbledon betting preview →
Zach also joined Drew Dinsick for a special Wimbledon edition of Beating The Book.
👉 Listen to Gill Alexander’s podcast →
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