Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for August 4. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Tuesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Tuesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Zack Littell Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+134) vs. Phillies
Nationals at Phillies – 6:40 pm ET
Littell is coming off a two-strikeout game against the Blue Jays, but that’s a Toronto team that doesn’t strike out very often. Littell had recorded at least four strikeouts in three straight prior to that outing, and he also had a five-strikeout game against the Phillies on June 23. I don’t expect the righty to cruise in this one, but Philadelphia has a strikeout rate of 23.4% against righties this season. Only six teams have a higher mark than that. That said, at plus-money odds, I’ll take a chance on Littell to reach four Ks.
Tyler Soderstrom Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-117) vs. Reds
Athletics at Reds – 6:40 pm ET
Great American Ball Park is a hitter-friendly environment, so this is a game that could end up being quite high in scoring. Well, if that’s the case, Soderstrom really should make his mark. This season, the lefty slugger is averaging 2.0 HRR per game when facing right-handed pitching, and he has gone Over 1.5 HRR in six of his last 10 games against righty starters. Tonight, Soderstrom gets to go to work against a very hittable one. Brady Singer has been extremely sharp pitching at home this season, but this isn’t a matchup that opposing hitters fear. Soderstrom has actually doubled off Singer before. It’s a good matchup for Soderstrom, who likes sliders and should see them while Singer is in the game.
Javier Assad Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+113) vs. Dodgers
Dodgers at Cubs – 8:05 pm ET
All eyes will be on Tarik Skubal in his Dodgers debut tonight, but I’m riding with the other starter to go Over his strikeout number. Assad really isn’t a high-strikeout pitcher, but he did have six strikeouts in his most recent trip to the mound. He’s also going up against a Dodgers team that has a strikeout rate of 24.1% and whiff percentage of 27.5% in its last 20 games against righties. I think there’s a real chance we see Assad hit four or five Ks tonight — even if Los Angeles comes out on top.
Additional Picks
Patrick Sandoval Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) vs. White Sox
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-131) vs. Marlins
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) vs. Rockies
Randy Vasquez Over 2.5 Strikeouts (+113) vs. Diamondbacks
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Pedro Pages Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-106) vs. Yankees
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.53 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -361 — a +26.8% edge to the Over.
David Hamilton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-111) vs. Pirates
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.54 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -368 — a +26.0% edge to the Over.
Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-123) vs. Brewers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.58 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -386 — a +24.3% edge to the Over.
