Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for July 1. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Wednesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Wednesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-131) vs. Cardinals
Cardinals at Braves – 7:15 pm ET
Olson hasn’t been as good against righties in recent weeks, but there’s a full season of numbers that tell us he crushes against these starters. When facing right-handed starters this season, Olson is averaging 2.3 hits, runs, and RBIs per game. So, in a meeting with Michael McGreevy, I like Olson to come up big at the plate.
Shane McClanahan Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110) & Alt Strikeouts 6+ (+225 – 0.5 units) vs. Royals
Rays at Royals – 7:40 pm ET
McClanahan doesn’t look like the swing-and-miss pitcher he once was, but five Ks isn’t an unrealistic ask against the Royals. This Kansas City team has been good about avoiding strikeouts this year, but it’s a bad lineup overall. So, if McClanahan isn’t getting beat up, I’d expect him to do enough damage in the strikeouts column.
Heriberto Hernandez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110) vs. Rockies
Marlins at Rockies – 8:40 pm ET
The Marlins have been scorching hot lately, so I want to get involved with someone in what should be a high-scoring game at Coors Field. Well, with lefty Kyle Freeland on the mound for Colorado, why not take Hernandez to go Over on HRR? The total is high at 2.5, but he’s hitting at the top of the lineup for the road team. He’ll get plenty of opportunities this evening.
Additional Picks
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-108) vs. Mets
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+108) vs. Astros
Trevor McDonald Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+105) vs. Diamondbacks
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Tristan Gray Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-137) vs. Astros
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.43 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -318 — a +18.2% edge to the Over.
Nick Allen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-152) vs. Twins
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.53 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -363 — a +18.1% edge to the Over.
Trevor McDonald Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-105) vs. Diamondbacks
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 4.69 strikeouts, suggesting these odds should be -221 — a +17.6% edge to the Over.
