Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for June 26. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Friday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Friday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100) vs. Mets
Phillies at Mets – 7:10 pm ET
Realmuto comes into this game having gone Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs (HRR) in five of his last nine. He’s also averaging 3.1 HRR per game over the last nine games. That said, Realmuto arguably comes into this one swinging a hot bat, and that’s significant looking at this specific matchup. New York will have a lefty on the mound in Tobias Myers, and Realmuto is one of the few reliable righty bats on Philadelphia. Sure, he hasn’t always been a player that prefers facing southpaws, and he’s likely going to be hitting towards the bottom of the lineup, but this feels like a game in which he can step up.
Will Warren Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+149) vs. Red Sox
Yankees at Red Sox – 7:10 pm ET
I looked into taking the juicy Over on 4.5 strikeouts for Warren tonight, but I’ll just take my chances with him reaching six. At +149 odds, it’s super enticing as he looks to face a Red Sox lineup that struggles with Ks. This season, Boston has a strikeout rate of 22.1% and whiff percentage of 25.5%. Also, both of those numbers are higher against righties. Of course, pitching in a rivalry game, at Fenway Park, could get the nerves going for Warren, but I like the matchup too much to completely ignore it.
Walker Buehler Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+130) vs. Dodgers
Dodgers at Padres – 9:45 pm ET
Buehler has been on fire with his swing-and-miss stuff lately, striking out at least five batters in three of his last four starts. He’ll never have the stuff he used to have in Los Angeles, but his ERA is now a respectable 3.96 on the season — and 3.32 when pitching at home. He’s learning to deal with the new reality of where his arm is, and I like him to have at least five strikeouts against his former team tonight. For as good as the Dodgers lineup is, plenty of pitchers have had success in the Ks column against them. Buehler, who is a fiery competitor, will look to be the next.
Additional Picks
Keider Montero Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-120) vs. Astros
Andrew Alvarez Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-143) vs. Orioles
Nick Martinez Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+105 – 1.5 units) & Alt Strikeouts 5+ (+224 – 0.5 units) vs. Diamondbacks
Christian Yelich Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125) vs. Cubs
Taj Bradley Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+118) vs. Rockies
J.T. Ginn Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+102) vs. Angels
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Rob Refsnyder Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-135) vs. Guardians
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.80 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -505 — a +26.0% edge to the Over.
James Outman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-133) vs. Astros
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.70 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -449 — a +24.7% edge to the Over.
Jared Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-150) vs. Phillies
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him projected for 1.83 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -520 — a +23.9% edge to the Over.
