Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for June 29. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Monday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Monday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Sean Burke Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-101 – 1.5 units) & Alt Strikeouts 7+ (+205 – 0.5 units) & Alt Strikeouts 8+ (+424 – 0.25 units) vs. Orioles
White Sox at Orioles – 6:35 pm ET
Burke comes into this game having recorded at least six strikeouts in six consecutive outings. Burke also had eight strikeouts in two of those six trips to the mound. Well, considering the righty’s recent success on the bump, I like this as a ladder spot for the White Sox starter. This season, the Orioles have a strikeout rate of 24.1% and whiff percentage of 26.3%. Baltimore is undeniably dangerous when looking at the lineup, but the team also struggles to consistently make contact. Also, Burke has been a little better on the road than he has been at home, and he has had at least seven strikeouts in three of his last four away starts.
Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 Total Bases (+107) vs. Nationals
Nationals at Red Sox – 7:10 pm ET
Yoshida had at least two total bases in the final two games of Boston’s sweep of New York. The lefty slugger is now hitting at the top of the Red Sox lineup when facing righties, meaning plenty of opportunities to do damage at the plate. That makes him an intriguing plus-money play against the Nationals tonight. Washington is throwing righty Miles Mikolas and his 5.30 ERA this evening, making for a good matchup in Yoshida’s preferred split.
Parker Messick Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+120) & Alt Strikeouts 8+ (+235 – 0.5 units) vs. Rangers
Rangers at Guardians – 7:10 pm ET
Texas has a strikeout rate of 25.7% when facing southpaws this season. That’s an outrageously high number. Well, not only do the Rangers face a lefty tonight, they face a damn good one. Messick has a 2.67 ERA since the start of the season, he’s averaging 6.3 strikeouts per game, and he comes into this game having had 19 strikeouts in his last two starts. With that in mind, while Messick only had four strikeouts against Texas on June 5, I see this being an outing in which he goes out and misses a ton of bats.
Additional Picks
Ryan O’Hearn Over 1.5 Total Bases (+137) vs. Phillies
Robert Gasser Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+105) vs. Reds
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-139) vs. Twins
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Total Bases (-112) vs. Marlins
Eric Lauer Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-148 – 1.5 units) & Alt Strikeouts 5+ (+142 – 0.5 units) vs. Athletics
George Kirby Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-104) vs. Angels
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Victor Bericoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-141) vs. Diamondbacks
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.82 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -517 — a +25.3% edge to the Over.
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-139) vs. Twins
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.80 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -502 — a +25.2% edge to the Over.
Luis Urias Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-141) vs. Mets
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him projected for 1.76 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -479 — a +24.2% edge to the Over.
