Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for June 30. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Tuesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Tuesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Christopher Sanchez Over 18.5 Outs Recorded (-112) vs. Pirates
Pirates at Phillies – 6:40 pm ET
Sanchez has failed to record at least 19 outs in three consecutive starts, but I’ll take my chances with him working that deep into the game tonight. This total is as high as 20.5 at several shops, so we’re getting good value in running to BetRivers or theScore for it. Also, if you have to play 19.5 at DraftKings or FanDuel, that’s also fine. Sanchez pitched a complete game shutout the last time he saw this Pirates offense. In that start, he had 13 strikeouts. I’m not sure I expect him to be as dominant this time around, but Pittsburgh is a bottom-10 team when looking at wRC+ (89) against lefties.
Cam Schlittler Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+108) vs. Tigers
Tigers at Yankees – 7:05 pm ET
Schlittler hasn’t exactly been eating up innings lately, pitching 18 or fewer in four of his last five starts. However, he has been dominating in shorter stints on the mound and he has been on point with his swing-and-miss stuff. Schlittler comes into this one averaging 11.0 strikeouts per game in his last two outings, and there’s a good chance he has another high-K performance tonight. The Tigers have a strikeout rate of 23.2% when facing right-handed starters this year, so this team can occasionally run into trouble against pitchers with nasty stuff. That’s why I’m going Over, even on a high number.
Nolan McLean Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-108) vs. Blue Jays
Mets at Blue Jays – 7:07 pm ET
McLean has a tough matchup tonight. He has to go on the road to the Rogers Centre and face a Blue Jays team that has a 19.6% strikeout rate. That’s the second-best strikeout rate in baseball. However, McLean is averaging 6.6 strikeouts per game this season, meaning this total is outrageously low given what he does on a night-by-night basis. Also, even in the spots in which McLean has gone against good contact teams, he has delivered. In the eight games this season in which he has had a strikeout total of 5.5 or lower, he’s averaging 6.4 strikeouts per game and has gone Over in five of them.
Additional Picks
Trey Gibson Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+118) vs. White Sox
Connelly Early Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-116 – 1.5 units) & Alt Strikeouts 7+ (+176 – 0.5 units) vs. Nationals
Brandon Sproat Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+112 – 1.5 units) & Alt Strikeouts 7+ (+223 – 0.5 units) vs. Reds
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) vs. Cubs
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110) vs. Rockies
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) vs. Athletics
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
James Outman Oer 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+110) vs. Yankees
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.46 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -330 — a +29.1% edge to the Over.
Tanner Gordon Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+130) vs. Marlins
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 4.92 strikeouts, suggesting these odds should be -261 — a +28.9% edge to the Over.
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-133) vs. Twins
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.75 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -474 — a +25.5% edge to the Over.
