Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for May 31. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Sunday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Sunday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. On Saturdays and Sundays, I’m going to keep these much shorter to cut down on my workload a little.
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+105) vs. Guardians
Red Sox at Guardians – 1:40 pm ET
Duran comes into this game having gone Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs (HRR) in five straight games — and eight of the last 10. Duran is also averaging 1.8 HRR per game when facing right-handed starters this year, so I’ll ride with him to go Over the number in a tough matchup with Tanner Bibee.
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) vs. Angels
Angels at Rays – 1:40 pm ET
Aranda has had at least two total bases in six of the last eight games. He’s also coming into this one having gone Over that mark in six straight against righties, and he’s averaging 1.9 total bases per game on the season against right-handed pitching. So, with Tampa getting Jack Kochanowicz today, give me Aranda to take advantage of the matchup.
Will Warren Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+124) vs. Athletics
Yankees at Athletics – 4:05 pm ET
I did well with Ryan Weathers’ strikeout props against the A’s last night, so I’ll give Warren a shot tonight. I know this is a hitter-friendly ball park, and there’s a chance we see the Athletics score some runs. However, the A’s are one of the least disciplined teams in the league, as they have a 26.3% whiff rate and 22.2% strikeout rate. Warren should miss some bats, regardless of the final score.
Additional Picks
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-130) vs. Nationals
Nick Lodolo Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-104) vs. Braves
Jacob Misiorowski Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+101) vs. Astros
Sean Burke Over 16.5 Outs Recorded (-105) vs. Tigers
Kyle Karros Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-120) vs. Giants
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+120) vs. Phillies
Matthew Liberatore Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-105) vs. Cubs
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Jacob Lopez Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+135) vs. Yankees
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 6.00 strikeouts, suggesting these odds should be -251 — a +29.0% edge to the Over.
Tatsuya Imai Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-115) vs. Brewers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 6.89 strikeouts, suggesting these odds should be -447 — a +28.2% edge to the Over.
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-123) vs. Blue Jays
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him projected for 1.69 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -443 — a +26.4% edge to the Over.
