Today’s MLB Betting Trends:
The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Friday, October 23, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s game, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* World Series Game 1 home teams are on a 11-4 run (73.3%, +6.03 Units, 40.2% ROI)
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
* In MLB games occurring August or later between two teams who have >= 0.580 win pct, smaller favorites in the -111 to -175 line range have gone 59-29 SU for +18.97 units (ROI: 21.6%) in the last five seasons.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
Trends and Systems for the MLB Postseason
Notable Postseason Team Trends (since 2015)
* TAMPA BAY: 22-18-1 to the Under for +2.10 units
* MILWAUKEE: 25-12-1 to the Under for +11.70 units
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): TB-MIL (o/u at 6)
Line angles
Home favorites of -112 to -180 in the MLB playoffs dating back to 2018 have been very vulnerable. They are just 99-93 SU (-33.63 units, ROI: -17.5%)
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
Series wins status
Home field has also proven somewhat advantageous in series that are even, as hosts in this situation have gone 100-92 on run lines (+21.56 units, ROI: 11.2%) since 2015.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-1.5 vs TB)
Trends based upon regular season records
In the last six playoff seasons following a full regular season (excluding 2020), MLB teams that won 100 games or more are on a slide of 26-34 SU (-20.37 units, ROI: -34%) and 21-39 on run lines (-19.72 units, ROI: -32.9%) in playoff games.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE
Totals angles
The last four MLB postseasons have been very good for Over bettors, as that side of the total has gone 118-112-3, and Overs have produced a return of +20.27 units, an ROI of 8.8%. Total odds are usually heavily shaded towards Unders in recent postseasons.
System Match (PLAY OVER): TB-MIL (o/u at 6)
MLB World Series Betting Systems
Over the last 20+ years of World Series action, several nice betting systems have emerged. You know you’re going to bet the games; why not arm yourself with key data that has won recently.
WORLD SERIES system #6:
World Series Game 1 home teams are on an 11-4 run (73.3%, +6.03 Units, 40.2% ROI)
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
MLB Bullpen Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.
Worse bullpen teams continue to struggle in extending winning streaks
I have found that fading teams with a lesser SM bullpen ratings that were looking to extend winning streaks is also a strong strategy. Worse bullpen teams on 3+ game winning streaks finished the last three regular seasons with a record of 293-318 for -26.2 units. ROI on that was -4.3%. This has been a very consistent angle historically, and the 2026 results showed a record of 87-112 for -25.54 units and a solid ROI of -12.8% (2-4, -2.41 units in the playoffs).
System Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+133 at MIL)
MLB Team Strength Systems
The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios.
MLB Team Strength Betting System #5:
In MLB games occurring in August or later between two teams who have >= 0.580 win pct, smaller favorites in the -111 to -175 line range have gone 59-29 SU for +18.97 units (ROI: 21.6%) in the last five seasons.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
MLB Streak Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays detail different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks.
Winning Streak Betting System #10:
Oddly, teams that score the most runs per game are the best to fade to see their four-game winning streak reach five. Teams scoring 5.0 or more runs per game and riding a four-game winning streak are just 173-177 (-77.98 units, ROI: -22.3%) in the next contest since the start of the 2021 season.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots
The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots.
(951) TAMPA BAY (105-66) at (952) MILWAUKEE (110-60)
Trend: Current MIL batters have a .250 BA and .752 OPS in 48 AB versus starter Drew Rasmussen in his career
Trend: MIL is 59-25 (+18.71 units) in home games this season
Trend Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
Trend: TB is the most profitable team in the MLB on the run line in night games this season (63-44, +26.71 units)
Trend Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (+1.5 at MIL)
Top Head-to-Head Series MLB Betting Trend
Trend: Home teams are 10-4 (71.4%, +4.43 units) run in the last 14 of Rays-Brewers interleague series
– The ROI on this trend is 31.6%
Trend Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data
Here are the systems and qualifying plays for Game 1 as of 11:00 AM ET on Thursday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.
DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: Majority handle bettors have been at their worst overall in interleague games since the start of 2023, going 1074-957 (52.9%) but for -215.64 units and a ROI of -10.6%.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
DK MLB Betting Splits system #9: Majority handle bettors have endured three consecutive poor playoff seasons in 2023-2025, with a combined record of 64-64 (50%) for -19.84 units and an ROI of -15.5% (20-14, +0.61 units in 2026).
System Match (SLIGHT FADE): MILWAUKEE (-161 vs TB)
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