Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded 15 game MLB slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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2:10 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox (-140, 8.5)
The White Sox (43-38) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, dominating the opener 22-1 as -130 home favorites and then winning again yesterday 2-1 as -130 home favorites.
In this afternoon’s series finale, the Royals (34-50) hand the ball to righty Luinder Avila (3-3, 5.06 ERA) and the White Sox turn to lefty Anthony Kay (6-2, 4.24 ERA).
This line opened with Chicago listed as a -130 home favorite and Kansas City a +110 road dog.
Sharps have sided with the White Sox to earn a victory and secure the sweep, pushing Chicago up from -130 to -140 and even -145 at some shops.
At Circa, the White Sox are taking in 67% of moneyline bets and 71% of moneyline dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” one-way bet split in their favor from the Vegas sharps.
Chicago has the better bats, posting a .417 slugging percentage with 388 runs scored compared to Kansas City posting a .391 slugging percentage with 352 runs scored.
Kay is 5-0 with a 2.66 ERA at home and 2-0 with a 2.93 ERA in day games.
The White Sox are 28-13 (68%) at home, the 2nd best home record in MLB. Meanwhile, Kansas City is 15-28 on the road, the 2nd worst road record in MLB.
3:15 p.m. ET: Athletics (-120, 9.5) at Los Angeles Angels
This is the rubber match of a three-game series.
The Athletics (40-43) won the opener 9-3, cashing as -115 road favorites. Then the Angels (35-49) posted a 5-2 win yesterday, coming through as -115 home favorites.
In this afternoon’s series finale, the Athletics start righty Aaron Civale (5-4, 4.88 ERA) and the Angels rebuttal with lefty Sam Aldegheri (2-3, 5.47 ERA).
This line opened with the Athletics listed as a -115 road favorite and the Angels a -105 home dog.
Sharps have quietly sided with the A’s at a relative coin-flip price, pushing the Athletics up from -115 to -120.
At DraftKings, the Athletics are receiving 67% of moneyline bets and 89% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, the A’s are taking in 33% of moneyline bets and 58% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in favor of the road chalk.
Civale is 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in day games compared to 2-4 with a 6.62 ERA in night games.
Meanwhile, Aldegheri has posted a 13.50 ERA during the day compared to 3.60 at night.
The Athletics are hitting .249 against lefties, 7th best in MLB.
4:05 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (-165, 7.5) at San Francisco Giants
This is the rubber match of a three-game series.
The Braves (49-32) won the opener 3-1, taking care of business as -125 road favorites. Then the Giants (34-48) bounced back with a 5-0 win yesterday, coming through as -130 home favorites.
In this late afternoon series finale, the Braves tap lefty Chris Sale (8-5, 2.14 ERA) and the Giants go with fellow southpaw Robbie Ray (6-6, 3.70 ERA).
This line opened with Atlanta listed as a -150 road favorite and San Francisco a +130 home dog.
Sharps have laid the wood with the Braves to earn a victory and take the series with their ace on the mound, driving Atlanta up from -150 to -165.
At DraftKings, the Braves are receiving 86% of moneyline bets and a whopping 97% of moneyline dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” Pro and Joe bet split in their favor.
Atlanta offers correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the “better” team who is favored to win.
Sale is 3-0 with a 1.19 ERA in day games this season.
Atlanta is 25-18 (58%) on the road, the 4th best road record in MLB. Meanwhile, San Francisco is 17-22 at home, the 4th worst home record in MLB.
