Best Bets on Today’s NBA Player Props Market
There’s an exciting NBA slate on Friday, March 10th, as there’s an NBA TV doubleheader in which the Miami Heat host the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the Toronto Raptors face the Los Angeles Lakers in the late game. We’re skipping the first of those two games, but there is a play we love in the second one. With that said, keep reading for our favorite NBA player props of the night, with Kristaps Porzingis, Zach Collins and Scottie Barnes being the focal points this evening.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on March 10
Here are our favorite NBA prop bets for Friday, March 10 (odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook):
Atlanta Hawks (-1.5, 238) at Washington Wizards
On Wednesday, Kristaps Porzingis had 43 points, five rebounds and five assists in a two-point loss to this Hawks team. In the month of March, Porzingis is averaging 27.6 points, 8.2 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. That’s an average of 39.4 points, rebounds and assists per game, which clears tonight’s total of 35.5 for his player combo.
We’re not expecting Porzingis to go out and beat the number with just points again, but this is clearly a matchup that suits the big man rather well. Last year, Porzingis had 26 points, 18 boards and four assists in a meeting with the Hawks in his final game of the regular season. That shows that Washington clearly sees an opportunity to get the big man going against this team.
Look for the Wizards to run things through Porzingis once again, and don’t be surprised if he responds with another 25 or so points. He has had at least 25 points in seven of his last 14 games. Turning in a big performance as a scorer would make it very manageable for him to hit the other numbers in this play. And this game has a total of 238, so it’s expected to be a track meet.
Bet: Porzingis Over 35.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-115)
Denver Nuggets (-12, 236) at San Antonio Spurs
One of the most profitable props to play right now is Zach Collins’ assist total. The big man has been playing well since getting the nod as San Antonio’s starting center — a result of the team dealing Jakob Poeltl to the Toronto Raptors. In February, Collins averaged 12.0 points, 6.4 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 1.0 steals per game. Collins is also averaging 16.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 1.5 blocks through two March games.
The Spurs run a lot of their offense through the center position, so Collins is constantly getting the opportunity to make plays for others. Since getting an increase in minutes, he has responded by processing the floor at a very high level — he’s averaging 5.9 “potential assists” per game over the last 10 games. Now, there’s no reason to believe he won’t have at least three dimes against a Nuggets team that is just 11th in the league in defensive rating and has multiple defenders that occasionally get caught napping off the ball.
We should also mention that Collins has been good for an ROI of 31.6 percent on his assist total Overs as a starter this year, according to our Daily Prop Analyzer.
Bet: Collins Over 2.5 Assists (-145)
Toronto Raptors (-1, 224.5) at Los Angeles Lakers
Back on December 7th, Scottie Barnes had 13 points and 17 rebounds in a meeting with this Lakers team. Anthony Davis was missing from that contest, which isn’t something that can be ignored. But it’s nice to know Barnes will feel good about seeing the purple and gold on the other side of the floor. And another performance like that would be lovely this evening, as we need 22 combined points and rebounds out of the second-year forward.
On Wednesday, Barnes had 20 points and five rebounds in a loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, which would be good for a win if he were to replicate that tonight. This has been something of an up-and-down season for Barnes, who hasn’t been putting up the numbers required to regularly hit a play like this. However, the Raptors are leaning more and more on the youngster as they push to make the Eastern Conference Playoffs. And it’s hard not to view this as something of a positive matchup for him.
The Lakers aren’t a top-10 team in either defensive rating or rebounding percentage. That means Los Angeles is exploitable for a high-energy player like Barnes.
Bet: Barnes Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +515 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
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