It’s time for Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season. I strongly suggest you check out the Week 7 NFL Betting Hub, where you’ll find all of the features and picks from my talented co-workers. On top of that, we never stop pumping out good NFL content on our live shows. That’s the beauty of being a subscriber. As a company, we’re relentless in our effort to get you prepared for these games. With that out of the way, let’s get into the fun stuff. Keep reading for my Week 7 NFL best bets and Week 7 NFL predictions.

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2024 NFL Best Bets Record: 16-15 (+1.31 units)

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants – 1:00 pm ET

The Eagles didn’t look good in a win over the Browns last week, but they got in the win column and that’s really all that matters. Philadelphia now heads to MetLife Stadium for a meeting with New York, and I’ll happily lay the points with the Eagles in this one.

New York has undoubtedly been competitive in recent weeks, and the team probably deserved a better result against Cincinnati last week. But how exactly will the Giants stay within a field goal here? This season, Philadelphia is 11th in the league in EPA per play (0.045), while New York is just 24th (-0.053). Also, while the Giants have an EPA per play allowed of -0.007 this season, the Eagles defense hasn’t been as bad as the numbers suggest. Philadelphia had two miserable performances, giving up 29 points against Green Bay and 33 against Tampa Bay. But the defense looked solid in the other three games the Eagles played, and the Giants don’t have the type of weaponry that the Packers and Buccaneers have.

Philadelphia just feels like the better team on both sides of the ball, and there’s a huge difference when it comes to the offenses. Jalen Hurts’ ability to make plays should stand out in a big way when he’s going to be opposite Daniel Jones. We should also see Saquon Barkley running with some real purpose against the team that decided not to pay him.

The Eagles also happen to be 12-7 both straight-up and against the spread in games with lines of +3 to -3 under Nick Sirianni. In that same situation, the Giants are 4-9 SU and 5-8 ATS under Brian Daboll.

Bet: Eagles -3 (-116)

Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers – 4:25 pm ET

The Chiefs might be 5-0 this season, but they were fortunate to earn wins over the Ravens, Bengals and Falcons. With that in mind, this Kansas City team isn’t nearly as good as its undefeated record. Meanwhile, San Francisco is probably better than its 3-3 record. When looking at EPA per play, the 49ers (0.103) have been much better than the Chiefs (0.055). They also have been right there with Kansas City (-0.053) when it comes to EPA per play allowed, with San Francisco at -0.035.

There just isn’t much that separates these two teams, and the Chiefs don’t even have a major edge playing off their bye week here. That’s usually a significant advantage for an Andy Reid team, but the 49ers played in last week’s Thursday Night Football game. So, Kyle Shanahan has had a few extra days to prepare for this one as well. The 49ers are actually the healthier team coming into this one. Sure, Christian McCaffrey is still out for San Francisco. But with the way Jordan Mason is running, I’d argue that Kansas City being without Rashee Rice and Isiah Pacheco will be felt more.

San Francisco is also 32-15 SU as a home favorite under Shanahan. You’d also have to think that the 49ers will be the more motivated team here. Not only does San Francisco need to start rattling off some regular-season wins, but the 49ers have also lost to the Chiefs in two Super Bowls. They should want to go out and make a statement here, while Kansas City likely won’t care as much about a regular-season game.

All in all, I just wouldn’t be surprised if the 49ers secondary does a good job of bottling up a weak group of Chiefs pass catchers. And I don’t think Brock Purdy will have much trouble moving the ball against the Kansas City defense. San Francisco just needs its interior offensive linemen to play a decent game here, and that shouldn’t be a problem with the extra days to prepare. And even if some of the Chiefs pass rushers do get through, Purdy can extend plays with his legs.

Bet: 49ers ML (-116 – 2 units)

Additional Week 7 Best Bets

Broncos ML (-125) vs. Saints – Click here for my Broncos vs. Saints preview!

Last Week

Titans ML (-135 – 2 units) vs. Colts
Chargers -2.5 (-118 – 1.5 units) vs. Broncos
Greg Joseph O6.5 Total Points (+100) vs. Bengals

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