🏈 791 Points. Now What?

Points were aplenty in NFL Week 1.

The Chiefs closed out the opening week Monday night with a 31-10 victory over the tackling-challenged Broncos.

Kansas City became the 11th team to score 30+ points in Week 1, tied for the second most since 1970. Only 1986 had more, with 12.

And the bigger number: 791 points were scored across Week 1, tied with 2012 for the most since the NFL-AFL merger.

Even though Chiefs-Broncos stayed Under 42.5, Overs finished 9-6-1. Compare that with last season, when Week 1 Unders went 12-4.

That’s a lot of numbers. But what does it mean for Week 2?

I went to Circa Sports NFL risk manager Jamey Pileggi to see how he was approaching the totals market after the scoring explosion.

“The market adjusted on a few games (Bears/Vikings had huge adjustment), but I personally didn’t want to overreact after one week and leaned under since I thought it was overcorrected.”

The Bears and Vikings combined for 98 points Sunday. Their Week 2 total is 49.5.

>> Circa/DraftKings NFL Betting Splits

One more Week 1 oddity: Here’s a stat to amaze your friends with, courtesy of Lee Sharpe of NFLgamedata.com.

This was the first 16-game NFL week in which every game had a different point differential:

1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 12, 13, 14, 17, 18, 20, 21, 22 and 24.

I’m not sure what you do with that information. But now you know.

>> NFL Week 2 Betting Hub


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🏥 Two Injuries to Watch

Vikings QB Kyler Murray is in concussion protocol after leaving Sunday’s game against Green Bay.

Seahawks QB Sam Darnold is dealing with a soft-tissue injury in his hip area. There’s no timetable yet for his return.


Omaha Steaks
🏆 How Did the Contest Players Do?

Circa Survivor: Of the 24,999 entries that submitted a Week 1 pick, 16,978 survived. Another 18 entries never submitted a pick.

That’s roughly a 68% survival rate, right around the middle of the range from the previous seven seasons.

>> Circa Survivor Hub

Circa Grandissimo: The original 77-entry field in the high-stakes survivor contest is down to 49 entries after the Cardinals took out 28.

Circa Million: The consensus Top 5 finished 2-3 ATS. Winners were Steelers -3.5 and Vikings -1.5; Eagles -4.5, Colts +3.5 and Broncos +3 lost.

Circa Friday Football Invitational: Jason Jarvis is the Week 1 leader with a 6-1 record.

>> Friday Football Invitational Standings

EdgeBoost Average Joe: Congrats to VSiN Pro subscriber Brian Carlson, one of 16 contestants who went a perfect 7-0.

Brian won the Week 1 tiebreaker on action points.

>> Average Joe Leaderboard

I hope Brian signed up for EdgeBoost to get the $1,000 bonus it is giving customers with at least a $100 deposit.

>> Sign Up for EdgeBoost


Sharps
⚾️ Two Weeks to Go

With two weeks left in the regular season, Steve Makinen sizes up the contenders through the lens of his bullpen ratings and betting systems.

>> Steve’s Updated MLB Bullpen Systems

>> Greg Peterson’s Tuesday MLB Best Bets

>> More MLB Betting Analysis From VSiN’s Experts


BTB Analytics
🏈 College Football Week 3

We’re already looking ahead to Thursday night.

Syracuse-Pitt kicks off the Week 3 betting board, and our first game preview is already up.

>> Syracuse-Pitt Picks, Predictions & Preview

>> College Football Week 3 Hub


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