🏀 NBA Finals: The trend Steve called “ridiculous”
When VSiN analytics guru Steve Makinen calls a trend “ridiculous” — something he’s never seen in any sport — that gets my attention.
So here it is heading into tonight’s Knicks-Spurs opener (8 ET, ABC):
👉 The Finals trends you need to know before Game 1 →
Steve also put together specific betting systems, power ratings and projections for tonight’s opener.
His playoff systems point toward a lower-scoring game, with Finals contests going Under at a 69% clip over the last 43 games and both ratings models projecting fewer points than the market’s total of 218.5.
👉 Why Steve’s strongest Game 1 signal points to the Under →
Dave Tuley is sticking with his longtime “dog-or-pass” philosophy for the NBA Finals, and that leads him to the Knicks. Tuley argues New York has consistently been undervalued throughout the playoffs, going 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games.
👉 Why Tuley says the Knicks are still being undervalued →
On Zach Cohen’s Hardwood Handicappers podcast: Where NBA Finals prop markets may be mispriced.
🎧 Listen to the podcast →
🎥 Watch on YouTube →
👉 Zach’s Game 1 picks →
At Circa, 44% of the bets account for 66% of the money on the Knicks +4.5.
👉 Track how the money is moving on Knicks-Spurs →
👉 NBA player prop projections →
👉 Gill Alexander still leads the KillerSports contest →
👉 Start your DonBest free trial (VSIN10) →
So here it is heading into tonight’s Knicks-Spurs opener (8 ET, ABC):
The NBA Finals are a ridiculous 62-3-3 ATS (95.4%) for outright winners over the last 11 seasons, including a 7-0 ATS sweep a year ago.Steve says that trend is so strong that bettors backing an underdog should consider the moneyline instead of simply taking the points.
👉 The Finals trends you need to know before Game 1 →
Steve also put together specific betting systems, power ratings and projections for tonight’s opener.
His playoff systems point toward a lower-scoring game, with Finals contests going Under at a 69% clip over the last 43 games and both ratings models projecting fewer points than the market’s total of 218.5.
👉 Why Steve’s strongest Game 1 signal points to the Under →
Dave Tuley is sticking with his longtime “dog-or-pass” philosophy for the NBA Finals, and that leads him to the Knicks. Tuley argues New York has consistently been undervalued throughout the playoffs, going 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games.
👉 Why Tuley says the Knicks are still being undervalued →
On Zach Cohen’s Hardwood Handicappers podcast: Where NBA Finals prop markets may be mispriced.
🎧 Listen to the podcast →
🎥 Watch on YouTube →
👉 Zach’s Game 1 picks →
At Circa, 44% of the bets account for 66% of the money on the Knicks +4.5.
👉 Track how the money is moving on Knicks-Spurs →
👉 NBA player prop projections →
👉 Gill Alexander still leads the KillerSports contest →
👉 Start your DonBest free trial (VSIN10) →
🏒 Vegas flips the series
The Golden Knights flipped to the series favorite (-135 at Circa) after beating the Hurricanes 5-4 in Tuesday night’s Stanley Cup Final opener.
Game 2 is Thursday in Raleigh, with Carolina again installed as the favorite (-160).
👉 Updated Stanley Cup odds and Game 2 betting splits →
Game 2 is Thursday in Raleigh, with Carolina again installed as the favorite (-160).
👉 Updated Stanley Cup odds and Game 2 betting splits →
⚾ MLB
Greg Peterson has posted his MLB card for Wednesday, breaking down the games that offer the biggest betting value based on his projections.
👉 Where Greg’s numbers disagree with the market →
👉 Three handicappers. Three ways to attack today’s MLB card →
👉 Where Greg’s numbers disagree with the market →
👉 Three handicappers. Three ways to attack today’s MLB card →
⛳ Memorial Tournament
Scottie Scheffler is the deserved favorite at Muirfield Village, but Wes Reynolds isn’t simply betting the board’s biggest name.
👉 The golfers Wes is backing instead of Scheffler →
🎧 Listen to Long Shots →
🎥 Did Kelley and Matt fade Wes’ favorite plays? →
👉 The golfers Wes is backing instead of Scheffler →
🎧 Listen to Long Shots →
🎥 Did Kelley and Matt fade Wes’ favorite plays? →
🏇 Belmont Festival begins
The Belmont Stakes Racing Festival opens today at Saratoga with Saturday’s Triple Crown finale serving as the headline event.
👉 Today’s Saratoga card, race by race →
👉 Today’s Saratoga card, race by race →
