We’re nearing the business end of the 2026 edition of Wimbledon at the All England Club in London. We’ve broken down the day’s best tennis betting picks, digging into matchup tactics, surface tendencies, and current form to find the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, game spread, set spread, or total, our 2026 Wimbledon best bets are designed to help you profit. I’m dropping some of my favorite plays for Wednesday, July 8 below, but make sure you also monitor the picks page. I usually have a few more picks over there, plus I occasionally add plays based on the way lines are moving. That’s also where Gill Alexander posts his bets.
Elise Mertens vs. Linda Noskova
Arthur Fery vs. Flavio Cobolli
Noskova feels like she’s on the verge of her big breakthrough, whether that’s winning a 1000 or jumping right to a Slam title. She already has one of the best serves on the planet, and she has an impressive baseline game. The only thing I’d say she’s missing is rally tolerance. That is, however, an important thing to be lacking, especially against Mertens. Not only does Mertens possess weapons of her own, but she’s very comfortable using her legs to extend rallies and play the role of counter-puncher. That said, she should be able to find some success in some of the longer rallies in this match, and I’d be surprised if she doesn’t win at least one set. She just has to be ready to rock as a server. She can’t afford to suffer a dip in first serve percentage against this opponent.
With the second leg of this parlay, I’m taking Cobolli to beat Fery. I know fatigue was a bit of a concern for Cobolli heading into his last match, but he needed only two hours and 35 minutes to beat Alex de Minaur. Given how quick it was, he should be somewhat fresh after having also had a full day of rest on Tuesday. If anything, Fery should be exhausted here. He has fought through two grueling five-set matches in a row. So, I’m not sure I’m open to the idea that Cobolli will have tired legs. That’s why I’m simply taking the better player here. Cobolli will have to be ready to deal with a pro-Fery crowd, but he has the edge in power and shot-making ability. In the end, that should be enough. He’s also an elite returner, which could be dangerous as he faces an average server.
PARLAY: Mertens +1.5 Sets & Cobolli ML (+105)
MORE: I usually have more picks for VSiN Pro subscribers. You can check them out here!
Jasmine Paolini vs. Marta Kostyuk
After fading Paolini early in the tournament, we have found some success backing her over the last few matches. Well, let’s see if the Italian can help us profit once again.
It’s pretty clear that Kostyuk is starting to find her footing on grass. After a shaky performance against Anna Blinkova in the second round, her wins over Emma Navarro and Ashlyn Krueger were very impressive. However, we have seen some sluggish stretches from her in each of her last three matches, and overcoming that type of stretch will be tough against Paolini. While you’d think someone of her stature would be more of a baseline grinder, Paolini’s capable of ending points in a hurry. She has a big forehand and likes to come forward to put points away at the net.
Once again, as long as Paolini’s serve doesn’t abandon her, this is a match I feel she can win. After all, she has won two matches in a row against Kostyuk. Sure, those matches were several years ago, with the most recent one coming in Cincinnati in 2023. Kostyuk is a much better player today. But Paolini is also a better player.
I also think Paolini’s ability to read matches will be an asset to her. If Kostyuk is comfortable ripping her all-world forehand, Paolini can try slicing through that wing and speeding the Ukrainian up for some unforced errors. Paolini can also mix in some changes of pace, hitting with heavy topspin to the Kostyuk backhand to create opportunities to move up in the court.
Bet: Paolini +1.5 Sets (-132 – 1.5 units) & Paolini ML (+220 – 0.5 units)
