Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for July 8. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Wednesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Wednesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Colin Rea Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+140) vs. Orioles
Cubs at Orioles – 6:35 pm ET
Rea really isn’t much of a swing-and-miss pitcher, but I have to jump on +140 for him to reach five strikeouts. I have been targeting Baltimore relentlessly over the last few weeks, and that strategy has helped me climb out of a hole I dug myself in earlier in the year. The Orioles have a strikeout rate of 27.8% against righties over the last 20 games, and their whiff percentage is 27.0% in that span. Rea should be able to take advantage of the matchup.
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125) vs. Astros
Astros at Nationals – 6:45 pm ET
Abrams has gone Over 1.5 HRR in six of the last seven games. He’s also averaging 2.6 HRR per game when facing righties this season, and he’s going to be going up against one inside hitter-friendly Nationals Park tonight. Of course, Spencer Arrighetti can be very difficult to hit, but he has gotten beaten up a bit lately. He has given up at least three earned runs in five of the last six starts. He seems beatable right now.
Jake Bennett Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110) vs. White Sox
Red Sox at White Sox – 7:40 pm ET
Bennett comes into this start having recorded at least five strikeouts in three of his last four outings. The lefty now gets to face a White Sox team that has a strikeout rate of 24.7% against left-handed pitching this season. This is a very good matchup for him when looking at the lineup he’ll be facing, but he will need to handle his nerves. He’ll be on the road in a hitter-friendly park, so that’ll be hard for him to manage. But Bennett is averaging 6.3 strikeouts per game on the road, so perhaps he’s up for it.
Additional Picks
Tyler Phillips Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110) vs. Mariners
Roki Sasaki Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-106) vs. Rockies
Michael King Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110) vs. Diamondbacks
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Victor Bericoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-123) vs. Blue Jays
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.62 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -405 — a +25.1% edge to the Over.
Jose Siri Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-122) vs. Rangers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.46 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -328 — a +21.7% edge to the Over.
Edouard Julien Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-143) vs. Dodgers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.62 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -407 — a +21.4% edge to the Over.
