Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for June 15. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Monday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Monday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-137) vs. Marlins
Marlins at Phillies – 6:40 pm ET
This season, Schwarber is averaging 2.3 hits, runs, and RBIs (HRR) per game when facing right-handed starters. That also goes up to 3.1 HRR per game when facing righties at Citizens Bank Park. Well, the Marlins are sending righty Ryan Gusto, who has a 6.00 ERA in four appearances this year, to the mound. That makes this a good spot to back Schwarber. Gusto is going to look to confuse Schwarber with his expansive repertoire, but the lefty slugger should be able to get to him — or find a way to hammer Miami’s relievers.
Gavin Sheets Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+116) vs. Cardinals
Padres at Cardinals – 7:45 pm ET
The Cardinals will have Dustin May on the mound tonight, and he has been pitching rather well recently. Busch Stadium also happens to be a pitcher-friendly ball park, meaning this isn’t exactly the greatest matchup for the Padres. However, Sheets is averaging 2.4 HRR per game when facing righties on the road. He has enjoyed this specific split, so I’ll take my chances with him at plus-money odds. I don’t view May as anything close to a stay-away guy for batters.
Jared Jones Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-131) vs. Athletics
Pirates at Athletics – 9:40 pm ET
Jones had six strikeouts in his first start back, but he has had only four in each of his last two. That said, the righty’s swing-and-miss stuff hasn’t been great, but I still believe in his talent. With that in mind, I’m going with Jones to have at least five strikeouts against the Athletics, who have a strikeout rate of 22.0% this year. This A’s team is definitely pretty dangerous offensively, but they’ll mix in some strikeouts here and there.
Additional Picks
Andrew Alvarez Over 14.5 Outs (-143) vs. Royals
Mitch Spence Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+128) vs. Nationals
Michael Lorenzen Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-155) vs. Cubs
Nolan Schanuel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-120) vs. Diamondbacks
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
MJ Melendez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-101) vs. Reds
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.46 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -332 — a +26.6% edge to the Over.
Alex Jackson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-107) vs. Rangers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.41 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -308 — a +23.8% edge to the Over.
Alex Freeland Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-145) vs. Rays
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him projected for 1.76 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -483 — a +23.7% edge to the Over.
