The 2026 French Open (also known as Roland Garros) is officially underway at the Stade Roland Garros in Paris. We’ve broken down the day’s best tennis betting picks, digging into matchup tactics, surface tendencies, and current form to find the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, game spread, set spread, or total, our 2026 French Open best bets are designed to help you profit. I’m dropping some of my favorite plays for Thursday, May 28 below, but make sure you also monitor the picks page. I usually have a few more picks over there, plus I occasionally add plays based on how lines are moving. That’s also where Gill Alexander posts his bets.
Moise Kouame vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Daniel Vallejo is a strong clay-court player. He made a run to the Round of 32 in Madrid, which was impressive considering he had to win two qualifying matches to get into the main draw. And overall, with Challengers included, Vallejo is 30-9 in clay-court matches since the start of 2026. This is the surface he’s utilizing to climb the rankings — which is a nicer way of calling him a clay-court merchant — and he’s doing so with great success. The Paraguayan really knows how to maneuver the baseline, he hits with very heavy topspin, and he has the type of variety you see out of other productive clay-court specialists.
Considering all of that, it isn’t hard to envision the 22-year-old advancing to the third round. However, it’s not easy to cover a 7-game spread, and Kouame should be able to put a scare in him.
Kouame might not be a clay-courter first, but his game will eventually translate to all surfaces. He’s athletic, he has effortless power from the back of the court, and he’s way beyond his years when it comes to thinking the game and putting points together. Well, when you combine his talent with the fact that he’s a 17-year-old Frenchman that already has French fans hyped about his future, you should see an electric atmosphere for his match on Wednesday.
I just don’t think you can rule out the possibility of Kouame finding a way to win a set or two here, and I actually view an upset win as a more likely outcome than Daniel Vallejo overing the big game spread. So, I’m hoping Richard Gasquet, a French legend that now mentors Kouame, has his guy ready for this match, as I’m grabbing the games and sprinkling the moneyline.
Bet: Kouame +6.5 Games (-116 – 1.5 units) & Kouame ML (+265 – 0.5 units)
Emma Navarro vs. Iva Jovic
It’s a little surprising to see plus-money odds attached to Navarro here. This has been a brutal year for the 25-year-old, but she just won a title in Strasbourg. Along the way, she also scored some big wins. One of those victories came over Jovic, so she does have a recent victory over her younger countrywoman. However, she also earned a massive three-set win over Victoria Mboko in the final. Navarro just looks like she’s starting to find some confidence out there, and she avoided a letdown performance in her opening-round win over Janice Tjen. The American easily could have slipped up there, as it’s hard to back up title runs. Instead, Navarro went out and won 6-4, 6-3.
As far as this matchup goes, it’s just a tough one for Jovic. The 18-year-old is so difficult to beat because of how solid she is. She never beats herself. But Navarro is very similar. She’s just older, stronger, and more experienced. And going back to their matchup in Strasbourg, it looked like Navarro was very comfortable returning Jovic’s serve. I don’t see that changing here. Perhaps this will be a tight three-set match, but give me the underdog.
Bet: Navarro ML (+107)
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
Tsitsipas’ ability to serve big and punish forehands should mean that he’ll do a decent job of putting games on the board in this match. The Greek star is pretty heavily favored to win, and I wouldn’t rule out the 27-year-old doing so. However, I do think Arnaldi is going to have his chances, so I’m strictly hoping that this ends up being a lengthy match.
These two actually met in Roland Garros in 2024. That match went Tsitsipas’ way, as he won 3-6, 7-6 (4), 6-2, 6-2. Well, another match like that would mean an Over on 37.5, and I think there’s a shot this one goes way Over.
I just don’t think Tsitsipas’ form is good enough for him to consistently break Arnaldi, so any set won by either player should be feature at least nine games. Well, throw in a 7-5 set, or a tiebreaker, somewhere along the way and we’re golden.
Bet: Over 37.5 Games (-125)
In-Tournament Future
Learner Tien To Win Quarter 2 (+900 – 0.5 units): I’m not the biggest Tien fan in the world. I view him as a rock-solid player that is always going to be difficult to beat, but I hate the need for media members and tennis analysts to force him into conversations with some of the sport’s other young stars. I simply don’t think he has the big-time upside you see out of guys like Joao Fonseca, Jakub Mensik, and Rafael Jodar. However, Tien’s ability to stay solid, the fight he shows on a match-by-match basis, and the fact he can simply steal wins in tight matches makes him someone to look out for in Quarter 2. The door has been kicked open here, as Daniil Medvedev was bounced early and Valentin Vacherot had to withdraw. Well, with that in mind, sign me up for Tien to make a run to the semifinals. At the very least, we know he’s going to battle until he has nothing left. If beating him in a lengthy four or five sets is the only way you’re going to take the American down, that means he’s a dart worth throwing.
