On Saturday, June 6, we’re going to see a surprising final on the women’s side of the 2026 French Open, as Mirra Andreeva will take on qualifier Maja Chwalinska. Andreeva is a top-10 player that absolutely has the potential to win Slams, and this could very well be her moment. It’s hardly a shock to see the Russian teenager in this position. However, Chwalinska was never supposed to be here. She actually didn’t have a clothing sponsor, or even firm hotel plans, before the event, yet she’s now a win away from winning a title at Roland Garros. How will it go down? Keep reading for thoughts on how this match will go.
I also post more tennis predictions on the VSiN picks page. That’s where you get all of my ATP, WTA, and Challenger plays.
Mirra Andreeva vs. Maja Chwalinska Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook accurate as of Friday, June 5 at 8:00 pm ET. Shop around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Andreeva -410, Chwalinska +310
Spread: Andreeva -5.5 Games (-105), Chwalinska +5.5 Games (-140)
Total: Over 19.5 Games (-135), Under 19.5 Games (-110)
How To Watch Mirra Andreeva vs. Maja Chwalinska
Where: Stade Roland Garros in Paris, France
When: Saturday, June 6 at 9:00 am ET
Channel: TNT / HBO Max
Mirra Andreeva vs. Maja Chwalinska Predictions
If you saw my French Open semifinals previews, you should know that I took Andreeva to win the tournament at +233. That was a bigger play for me. The thinking there was that the winner of the meeting between Andreeva and Marta Kostyuk would be favored over the winner between Chwalinska and Diana Shnaider. Well, not only was that true, but it was very true with the Pole pulling off the upset over the Russian. Now, heading into this final, the only move I’m actually making is a one-unit play on Chwalinska as a hedge. That sets me up to win five units on Andreeva or a little under one on Chwalinska. If you tailed my Andreeva future, I’d suggest doing something similar, even if it’s on a smaller scale.
For anyone that doesn’t have a future, I’d honestly be looking at Chwalinska on the set spread. While I like Andreeva to find a way to get the job done, I can see the situation causing some dips in her play. Last year, Andreeva struggled going up against Lois Boisson, with the lack of crowd support causing her to unravel. Well, I’m not sure how many people in the building will be pulling for Andreeva against one of the best underdog stories of the year.
Chwalinska will also do everything she can to frustrate her on the court. The southpaw is very difficult to play against, as she’s very good at mixing in slices, taking pace off the ball, and simply making opponents uncomfortable. That could get to Andreeva, who could potentially be on tilt to begin with.
In the end, I do think Andreeva will figure it out. She’s so athletic that she should be able to track down everything Chwalinska throws at her, and she is also more talented, more proven, and more powerful. She also has a great team in her corner, so she should get good advice all the way up until the first ball. And she did show off some improved maturity in the win over Kostyuk. She just needs to do it for one more match.
HEDGE: Chwalinska ML (+340)
