Rob Moreno

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First Strike Model Projections For UFC Vegas 119: Kape vs Horiguchi

Last week's UFC Freedom 250 was a night nobody will forget. The model went 4–2 on the card. The 2026 record now sits at 71–39–6,...

First Strike Model Projections For UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs Gaethje

Last week the model went 5–3, pushing the 2026 record to 67–37–6 on the year. A winning week, and the process continues to find...

First Strike Model Projections For UFC Vegas 118: Muhammad vs Bonfim

Last week the model went 4–1–1 on predictions, and while the record continues to move in the right direction, that Tier 1 loss stings...

First Strike Model Predictions For UFC Macau: Song vs Figueiredo

The model record continues to find its natural level. Sitting at 58–33–5 — 63.74% on the year, the model has settled into the range...

First Strike Model Predictions For UFC Vegas 117: Allen vs Costa

The model has settled into a familiar place. Sitting at 55–30–4 on the 2026 season, right around that 65% line that tends to be...

First Strike Model Predictions For UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland

Last week the model went 1–2, but the losses came in spots that weren't exactly shocking — a Tier 1 dog and a Tier...