Rob Moreno

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First Strike Model Projections For UFC Vegas 118: Muhammad vs Bonfim

Last week the model went 4–1–1 on predictions, and while the record continues to move in the right direction, that Tier 1 loss stings...

First Strike Model Predictions For UFC Macau: Song vs Figueiredo

The model record continues to find its natural level. Sitting at 58–33–5 — 63.74% on the year, the model has settled into the range...

First Strike Model Predictions For UFC Vegas 117: Allen vs Costa

The model has settled into a familiar place. Sitting at 55–30–4 on the 2026 season, right around that 65% line that tends to be...

First Strike Model Predictions For UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland

Last week the model went 1–2, but the losses came in spots that weren't exactly shocking — a Tier 1 dog and a Tier...

First Strike Model Predictions For UFC Perth: Della Maddalena vs Prates

Last week the model went 3–3, bringing the 2026 record to 50–23–4 on the year. A flat week driven by some bad tier plays....

First Strike Model Predictions For UFC Vegas 116: Sterling vs Zalal

This week the UFC returns to the APEX for UFC Vegas 116, headlined by a former bantamweight champion, now at featherweight, against a hungry...