Today’s MLB Betting Trends:
The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Friday, July 17, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
Trend: Chris Sale’s teams are 18-1 (+15.39 units) in his last 19 home night starts when favored by -188 or more
Trend Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (-205 vs TEX)
Teams on winning streaks of 9+ games and favored by -145 or less (or underdog) have gone 44-26 (+19.12 units, ROI: 27.3%) in trying to stretch the streak another game.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON GAME 1 (-113 vs TB)
In the first three series post-All-Star break, games with higher totals (O/U >= 9) have gone Under at a 346-266-37 (56.5%) rate since 2016.
Trend Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): TB-BOS GAME 1 (o/u at 9), LAD-NYY (o/u at 9), MIN-CHC (o/u at 10.5), SD-KC (o/u at 10.5), CIN-COL (o/u at 12), WSH-ATH (o/u at 10), STL-AZ (o/u at 9)
MLB Bullpen Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.
Back teams with both a better SM bullpen rating AND starting pitcher rating if that team has an even or worse record
In the 2025 regular season, I found that teams with an even or worse record on the season but showing a better Steve Makinen Bullpen Rating AND starting pitcher rating have gone 207-139 for +48.41 units, and an ROI of +14.0%! The two-year record on this angle is now 396-266 for +83.41 units and an ROI of 12.6%. This has proven to be a very good foundational angle to follow since the prices aren’t that high typically. It should be a part of your handicapping routine going forward. For 2026, these teams are teetering around the profitability line at 154-122 for -2.97 units and an ROI of -1.1%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BOSTON GAME 1 (-112 vs TB), BOSTON GAME 2 (-119 vs TB), ATHLETICS (+112 vs WSH)
STARTER/BULLPEN CORRELATION SYSTEMS
Teams with strong bullpens (SM rating of 10 or higher) and a poor starting pitcher with a SM rating of -10 or worse wound up 184-226 for -38.36 units for the season when not matched up against the same. This represents an ROI of -9.4%. This is another angle that shows that good bullpens are better support for good starting pitching. This is another go against angle that does well. To start the 2026 season, these teams are again struggling, 55-90 for -39.3 units and an ROI of -27.1%! Fading these teams continues to produce.
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-111 at NYY)
Teams with poor bullpens (NEGATIVE SM rating) and a poor starting pitcher with a SM rating of -10 or worse went 148-267 for -34.71 units when not matched up against the same in 2025. This represented an ROI of -8.4%, another solid fade angle! For 2026, they are off to a rare positive start, 106-138 for -0.07 units. After losing about 10 units over the last month, this angle has finally gone into the red for the season, it’s usual territory.
System Match (FADE): TEXAS (+168 at ATL)
Fade better bullpen overpriced favorites of -190 or higher when win percentage difference of teams is <19%
In the last three regular seasons in which the team with the Steve Makinen better rated bullpen was listed as a favorite of -190 or higher and had a winning percentage less than 19% higher than the opponent, that team has owned a 427-241 record, but for -131.5 units. This has been an ROI of -19.7%! The 2025 record was 120-59 for -13.3 units. The 2026 record is 48-29 for -17.02 units, ROI -22.1%, as it is now acting like its usual self.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ATLANTA (-205 vs TEX), SEATTLE (-198 vs SF)
Overpriced better bullpen without big starting pitcher edge angle was 2023 regular season’s most lucrative system
In combining starting pitcher differences in looking at games with -190 favorites or higher, there was a huge opportunity to be selective in fading overpriced favorites. Specifically, when the starting pitcher difference between the better Steve Makinen rated bullpen team was less than 20, those big favorites have gone 242-160, but for -117.36 units in the 2023-25 regular seasons. That represents an ROI of -29.2%, very solid results. In 2025, these teams were measurably better but still lost -1.48 units for the season. The 2026 teams are off to a 24-16 start for -11.84 units, and an ROI of -29.6%.
System Match (FADE): SEATTLE (-198 vs SF)
Better bullpen underdog teams were solid wagers all season long
Perhaps the most popular angle, a frequent and profitable system has arisen when the team with the better SM Bullpen Ratings played as an underdog (or pick em’). Money line underdog teams with better bullpen ratings for in the 2022-23 seasons were 701-790, but for +46.27 units. The 2024 season was below standards historically (lost -26.45 units), but we experienced a major bounce back in 2025, as the season record finished at 464-488 for +59.39 units, ROI +6.2%! The 2026 season is off to a slower start, 192-247 for -34.18 units. This ROI of -7.8% is much less than what we’ve come to expect.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+113 at TOR), COLORADO (-104 at COL), ATHLETICS (+112 vs WSH), ARIZONA (-107 vs STL)
Better bullpen small favorite teams in -111 to -126 range are thriving in 2026
So far in 2026, small favorite teams in the -111 to -126 line range with a SM Bullpen Rating edge have fared quite well. Last season, this was about a -6% ROI angle. However, there is some foundation to the system in that with teams this closely matched together by the oddsmakers, it can often be good bullpen performance that separates the teams. For 2026 so far, these teams are 162-102 for +40.58 units, an ROI of +15.4%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BOSTON GAME 1 (-112 vs TB), BOSTON GAME 2 (-119 vs TB), SAN DIEGO (-120 at KC), HOUSTON (-117 vs BAL), DETROIT (-115 at LAA)
Worse bullpen teams continue to struggle in extending winning streaks
I have found that fading teams with a lesser SM bullpen ratings that were looking to extend winning streaks is also a strong strategy. In the 2023-2025 regular seasons, on two-game winning streaks, the teams with worse Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings in a matchup have gone 648-696 for -59.7 units, an ROI of -4.4%. For 2026, they are off to a 128-154 start for -18.92 units (ROI -6.7%). Worse bullpen teams on 3+ game winning streaks finished the last three regular seasons with a record of 293-318 for -26.2 units. ROI on that was -4.3%. This has been a very consistent angle historically, and the 2026 results so far show a record of 52-70 for -17.51 units and a solid ROI of -14.4%.
System Matches (FADE ALL): 2-games – MINNESOTA (+120 at CHC), SAN FRANCISCO (+163 at SEA)
3+ games – PITTSBURGH (+109 at CLE), BALTIMORE (-103 at HOU)
Worse bullpen teams can fall into lengthy losing streaks
Around midseason of 2025, I went back and found that teams with worse Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings in a matchup and having lost at least their last three games had proven to be a nice fade system. For the full 2025 campaign, they wound up 195-269 for -29.1 units, an ROI of -6.3%. We will continue to track this angle in 2026, and it is now 95-102 for +6.67 units. However, it did lose -6.63 units last week.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MIAMI (+128 at MIL), KANSAS CITY (+100 vs SD), WASHINGTON (-135 at ATH)
MLB Post-All-Star Break Trends/Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays look at how teams fare coming out of the All-Star break in previous seasons. This study looks at the first three series for each team after the Midsummer Classic, unless otherwise noted.
* In the first three series post-All-Star break, home underdogs are 157-150 for +45.97 units (ROI: 15%) since 2019.
Trend Matches (PLAY ALL): NY YANKEES (-108 vs LAD), KANSAS CITY (+100 vs SD), LA ANGELS (-104 vs DET), ARIZONA (-107 vs STL)
* In the first three series post-All-Star break, games with higher totals (O/U >= 9) have gone Under at a 346-266-37 (56.5%) rate since 2016.
Trend Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): TB-BOS GAME 1 (o/u at 9), LAD-NYY (o/u at 9), MIN-CHC (o/u at 10.5), SD-KC (o/u at 10.5), CIN-COL (o/u at 12), WSH-ATH (o/u at 10), STL-AZ (o/u at 9)
* In the first three series post-All-Star break, National League teams have had a slight edge in interleague play, going 128-114 for +12.34 units (ROI: 5.1%) since 2016.
Trend Matches (PLAY ALL): LA DODGERS, PITTSBURGH, ATLANTA, CHICAGO CUBS, SAN DIEGO, WASHINGTON, SAN FRANCISCO
* Teams on 3+ game losing streaks have had their totals go Over at a 15-5 (75%) rate in their first game back since the 2021 ASB.
Trend Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): LAD-NYY (o/u at 9), MIA-MIL (o/u at 8), SD-KC (o/u at 10.5), WSH-ATH (o/u at 10)
TEAM NOTABLES (*first three series’ post ASB*)
* ARIZONA – 14-7 (+6.62 units) at home since 2021 ASB
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA (-107 vs STL)
* ATLANTA – 35-49 SU (-19.77 units) overall since 2016 ASB
Trend Match (FADE): ATLANTA (-217 vs TEX)
* BOSTON – 14-23 SU (-11.59 units) overall since 2022 ASB
Trend Match (FADE): BOSTON (doubleheader vs TB)
* CHICAGO CUBS – 49-31-5 (61.3%) to the Under overall since 2016 ASB
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIN-CHC (o/u at 10.5)
* CINCINNATI – 26-11 (70.3%) to the Under overall since 2022 ASB
* COLORADO – 28-10-2 (73.7%) to the Under at home since 2018 ASB
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): CIN-COL (o/u at 12)
* COLORADO – 11-6 SU (+10.63 units) at home since 2023 ASB
Trend Match (PLAY): COLORADO (-115 vs CIN)
* KANSAS CITY – 20-11 (64.5%) to the Under at home since 2021 ASB
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SD-KC (o/u at 10.5)
* LA DODGERS – 19-7 SU (+7.75 units) as a road favorite since 2017 ASB
Trend Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-111 at NYY)
* PITTSBURGH – 5-15 SU (-6.37 units) on the road since 2019 ASB
Trend Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (+109 at CLE)
* SAN DIEGO – 24-13 SU (+13.03 units) on the road in the -145 to +190 line range since 2021 ASB
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN DIEGO (-120 at KC)
* SAN FRANCISCO – 9-21 SU (-14.44 units) on the road since 2022 ASB
Trend Match (FADE): SAN FRANCISCO (+163 at SEA)
* SEATTLE – 2-10 SU (-11.52 units) at home in low totaled games (o/u <= 7) since 2016 ASB
Trend Match (FADE): SEATTLE (-198 vs SF)
* TAMPA BAY – 8-15 SU (-8.27 units) on the road since 2022 ASB
Trend Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (doubleheader at BOS)
* TEXAS – 5-22 SU (-16.14 units) on the road since 2019 ASB
Trend Match (FADE): TEXAS (+168 at ATL)
* TORONTO – 18-10 (+8.17 units) overall since 2023 ASB
Trend Match (PLAY): TORONTO (-136 vs CWS)
MLB Series Systems
The following systems are from an article posted on April 3, 2025, regarding MLB game-by-game betting, particularly the first and last games of a series.
MLB Series Betting System #1: Teams starting a new series and riding at least a three-game winning streak are 498-396 for +44.96 units and an ROI of 5% since the start of the 2022 season
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BOSTON GAME 1 (-113 vs TB), NY YANKEES (-108 vs LAD), CLEVELAND (-131 vs PIT), CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+113 at TOR), PITTSBURGH (+109 at CLE), BALTIMORE (-103 at HOU), ARIZONA (-107 vs STL)
MLB Series Betting System #3: Small road favorites of -111 to -130 have been a solid wager in the opening game of a new series, going 246-181 for +25.31 units and an ROI of 5.9% since the start of the 2022 season
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA DODGERS (-111 at NYY), SAN DIEGO (-120 at KC), DETROIT (-115 at LAA), ST LOUIS (-112 at AZ)
MLB Series Betting System #7: Small home favorites of -111 to -180 have been terrible in the first game of any homestand, going 429-365 but for -86.08 units and an ROI of -10.8% since the start of the 2022 season
System Matches (FADE ALL): BOSTON GAME 1 (-113 vs TB), CLEVELAND (-131 vs PIT), TORONTO (-136 vs CWS), MILWAUKEE (-155 vs MIA), CHICAGO CUBS (-145 vs MIN), HOUSTON (-117 vs BAL), COLORADO (-115 vs CIN)
MLB Series Betting System #10: Teams playing in the first game of a new series on the road and coming off a win in which they scored six or more runs in a win boast a solid 451-401 record for +43.59 units and an ROI of 5.1% since the start of the 2022 season, so long as they are not priced at +175 or worse
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH (+109 at CLE), BALTIMORE (-103 at HOU), CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+113 at TOR), TEXAS (+168 at ATL)
MLB Extreme Stats Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the article titled MLB Extreme Stats Systems, detailing betting systems for teams based upon noteworthy stats they accumulated in their previous game
“9” is a magic run number for fading a team in the next game
Since 2018, it doesn’t matter if the team is playing at home or on the road; if they scored nine runs or more in the previous contest, they are posting a winning record at 2,156-2,034 (51.5%), but oddsmaker overpricing has resulted in a loss of -262.71 units. This represents an ROI of -6.3%, which is significant in the grand scheme of baseball daily betting.
System Matches (FADE ALL): PITTSBURGH (+109 at CLE), CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+113 at TOR)
Road teams that didn’t score well last game are a bad bet in the next outing
You’re going to want to consider fading teams playing on the road that scored two runs or fewer in their last contest. They have proven to be bankroll-busting options over their last 4+ seasons. These road teams are just 2183-2763 (44.1%) for -275.68 units and an ROI of -5.6% since the start of the 2019 season.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TAMPA BAY GAME 1 (-107 at BOS), MIAMI (+128 at MIL), DETROIT (-115 at LAA)
Lucky teams can’t escape bad pitching
Teams who won their last game despite their bullpen blowing a save have gone 107-150 SU (-18.69 units, ROI: -7.3%) as underdogs in the follow-up contest since May 2024.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY YANKEES (-108 vs LAD), TEXAS (+168 at ATL)
MLB Team Strength Systems
The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios.
MLB Team Strength Betting System #3:
In MLB games with high totals (>= 10.5), underdogs between the +116 to +180 line range have gone 234-270 SU but for +47.82 units (ROI: 9.5%) since the start of the 2020 season.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+120 at CHC)
MLB Streak Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays detail different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks.
Losing Streak Betting System #2:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more and winning fewer than 43% of their games on the season are on a 78-151 skid (-41.47 units, ROI: -18.1%).
System Match (FADE): ATHLETICS (-110 vs WSH)
Losing Streak Betting System #3:
Strangely, teams on losing streaks of seven games or more tend to fare best against their best opponents. Against teams winning 61.5% of their games or more, these teams on losing skids have gone 20-25 (+8.79 units, ROI: 19.5%) while against all other opponents with lesser records than 61.5% winning percentage, they are just 103-187 (-64.70 units, ROI: -22.3%) since the start of the 2021 season.
System Match (FADE): ATHLETICS (-110 vs WSH)
Winning Streak Betting System #2:
Strangely, teams on winning streaks of five games or more and winning fewer than 50% of their games on the season have been the better investment than winning teams as they are 85-70 (+19.05 units, ROI: 12.3%) in their last 155 tries to extend streaks.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON GAME 1 (-113 vs TB)
Winning Streak Betting System #3:
The teams with some of the best value in looking to extend winning streaks are actually those that don’t score a lot of runs typically. Teams on winning streaks of five games and scoring less than 4.5 RPG are 197-160 (+15.14 units, ROI: 4.2%) since the start of the 2021 season.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON GAME 1 (-113 vs TB)
Winning Streak Betting System #12:
Not surprisingly, when teams get to the level of having won nine games in a row or more, the lowest priced teams riding winning streaks offer the most value. In fact, teams on winning streaks of 9+ games and favored by -145 or less (or underdog) have gone 44-26 (+19.12 units, ROI: 27.3%) in trying to stretch the streak another game.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON GAME 1 (-113 vs TB)
Today’s MLB Strength Ratings
The following MLB betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com.
Theoretically, green star “edges” come up when a team has an odds edge of 15 cents over the actual price. That is a legacy thing. However, this year I have recorded that a 10-cent edge is actually better, as teams with an edge of 10 cents against the actual odds have gone 397-386 for +11.65 units, good for 1.5% ROI.
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS (10 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: NY YANKEES -108 (+17 diff), ATHLETICS -110 (+14), LA ANGELS -104 (+13)
Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES (10 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: HOUSTON -117 (+39 diff), ATLANTA -205 (+25), CLEVELAND -131 (+12), MILWAUKEE -155 (+11), CHICAGO CUBS -145 (+11)
Theoretically, the best “edges” come up when a score projection comes up with a full 1.0 RUN edge on either the Over or Under. On Over projections so far when the simulation shows at least a 1.0 run edge, Overs are 14-8 for +4.48 units and an ROI of 20.8%. On Under projections so far, when the simulation shows at least a 1.0 run edge, Unders are 23-10 for +11.2 units and an ROI of 33.9%.
Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER (1.0 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Match: SD-KC UNDER 10.5 (-1.0)
If you’re looking for something that has produced with a little less ROI but provides more opportunities, consider the situation where on Under projections so far when the simulation shows at least a 0.6 run edge, Unders are 90-75 for +6 units and an ROI of 3.6%.
Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER (0.6 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: SD-KC UNDER 10.5 (-1.0), TB-BOS GAME 1 UNDER 9 (-0.7), DET-LAA UNDER 8.5 (-0.7), MIN-CHC UNDER 11 (-0.6),
Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots
The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots.
(955) CINCINNATI (43-52) at (956) COLORADO (39-59)
Trend: Brady Singer’s teams are 12-3 (+10.31 units) in his last 15 starts vs NL West opponents
Trend Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-104 at COL)
Trend: COL is 1-3 (-2.17 units) as a ML favorite this season
Trend Match (FADE): COLORADO (-115 vs CIN)
(957) ST LOUIS (50-45) at (958) ARIZONA (49-47)
Trend: STL is 34-24 (+13.02 units) in night games this season
Trend Match (PLAY): ST LOUIS (-112 at AZ)
(961) TAMPA BAY (56-38) at (962) BOSTON (46-48) (DH Game #2)
Trend: TB is 36-19 (+21.82 units) on the run line in night games this season
Trend Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY GAME 2 (+1.5 at BOS)
(963) CHICAGO-AL (50-45) at (964) TORONTO (45-51)
Trend: CWS is 2-6 (-5.37 units) on the road with starter Anthony Kay this season
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+113 at TOR)
(965) BALTIMORE (46-51) at (966) HOUSTON (47-51)
Trend: Over the total is 22-12-1 (+8.80 units) when BAL is a ML underdog this season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): BAL-HOU (o/u at 8.5)
(967) DETROIT (44-52) at (968) LOS ANGELES-AL (38-59)
Trend: DET is 17-29 (-14.47 units) on the road this season
Trend Match (FADE): DETROIT (-115 at LAA)
(973) TEXAS (49-47) at (974) ATLANTA (55-40)
Trend: Cal Quantrill’s teams are 26-28 (+14.30 units) when he starts as an underdog of +135 or more in the last 5+ seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): TEXAS (+168 at ATL)
Trend: Chris Sale’s teams are 18-1 (+15.39 units) in his last 19 home night starts when favored by -188 or more
Trend Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (-205 vs TEX)
(975) MINNESOTA (48-49) at (976) CHICAGO-NL (54-42)
Trend: Over the total is 30-14-2 (+14.60 units) in MIN road games this season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIN-CHC (o/u at 11)
(977) SAN DIEGO (48-48) at (978) KANSAS CITY (38-59)
Trend: Under the total is 28-18-2 (+8.20 units) when SD is favored this season
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SD-KC (o/u at 10.5)
(979) WASHINGTON (48-49) at (980) ATHLETICS (41-55)
Trend: WSH is 33-13 (+15.59 units) on the run line in away games this season
Trend Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (-1.5 at ATH)
Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website prior to opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 10 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the 2023/2024 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:15 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.
As a general rule, acknowledging the approximate -8.5% 3-year returns on all side majorities, and -3.4% on total majorities, if adopting the use of the betting splits this season, opt to fade majorities unless shown otherwise in one of the systems below to be a profitable follow angle.
DK MLB Betting Splits system #1: When 90% or more of the handle was on the home side of an MLB money line wager since the beginning of the 2023 season, this “super” majority group has fared quite well, going 282-127 (68.9%) for +27.68 units and an ROI of +6.8%. This obviously beats the overall majority handle ROI return by over 15%. If you see 90% or more of the handle backing a host in a MLB game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE
DK MLB Betting Splits system #3: Similarly to #2, Majority handle groups have been steady when not too many of them hop on an underdog side since the beginning of the 2024 season, and in fact, the benchmark was 51-66%. These groups have gone 289-312 (48.1%) for a very minimal -1.8 units loss and an ROI of -0.3%. This represents an improvement of 8.2% on the overall numbers, and gives bettors a chance to stay afloat when they go against the grain.
System Matches (CONSIDER ALL): TAMPA BAY GAME 1, ARIZONA (-107 vs STL)
DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: Majority handle bettors have been at their worst overall in interleague games since the start of 2023, going 1074-957 (52.9%) but for -215.64 units and an ROI of -10.6%. This is over two full percentage points worse for return on a huge sample of games and an indication that bettors have trouble gauging the strengths/motivations of the teams when playing unfamiliar opponents.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LA DODGERS, PITTSBURGH, ATLANTA, CHICAGO CUBS, SAN DIEGO, WASHINGTON, SEATTLE
DK MLB Betting Splits system #7: There has been a unique system that has developed since the start of last season when majority handle betting groups backed home favorites with fewer wins on the season. This is a terrible scenario for bettors, as they are just 360-329 (52.2%) for -118.41 units and an atrocious ROI of -17.2%. There’s a lot of common sense to this not doing well, since the lesser team is being favored just because it is at home or has a better starting pitcher working.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TORONTO, COLORADO
DK MLB Betting Splits system #10: Over the last season-and-a-half, the average posted total in MLB games has been just about 8.5. In games with posted totals higher than that (9 or higher), majority bettors have done quite well when they’ve had the discipline to opt for Under the total. This group has gone 356-320 (52.6%) since the start of the 2023 season for +26.1 units and an ROI of +3.9%. This is again another rare positive spot for a high volume of games, and of course is built on the foundation of going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): LAD-NYY, MIN-CHC
Team Specific Momentum Building/Letdown Angles
The following MLB betting trends and qualifying plays are from the article entitled MLB post-rivalry series betting opportunities.
NO QUALIFYING MOMENTUM ANGLES TODAY (next couple Monday, July 20)
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