The 2026 French Open (also known as Roland Garros) is officially underway at the Stade Roland Garros in Paris. We’ve broken down the day’s best tennis betting picks, digging into matchup tactics, surface tendencies, and current form to find the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, game spread, set spread, or total, our 2026 French Open best bets are designed to help you profit. I’m dropping some of my favorite plays for Sunday, May 31 below, but make sure you also monitor the picks page. I usually have a few more picks over there, plus I occasionally add plays based on how lines are moving. That’s also where Gill Alexander posts his bets.
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Rafael Jodar
Jodar has been crowned the sport’s next big star, and his pricing in the market suggests he’s already a borderline top-five player. However, the 19-year-old was fortunate to escape his five-set match against Alex Michelsen last round, and he’s completely unproven at this level. Sure, Jodar’s game is relatively flawless. He’s big, he can move, and he’s pretty steady when looking at serve, return, forehand, and backhand. But what about his fitness? Are we 100% sure he should be trusted to hold up after a grueling match? Also, is he ready to go out and pummel Carreno Busta, an older Spaniard he probably looked up to at one point?
I’m just not at a point where I think Jodar should be expected to beat Carreno Busta in straight sets. Carreno Busta isn’t the player he was back in 2021, when he went 38-19 and won two ATP-level titles. However, he is playing much better this season than he has in any of the previous four. Carreno Busta is actually 16-4 on clay this season, which is a record that includes ATP and Challenger events. But winning is winning, and just being able to play matches has been something that Carreno Busta hasn’t been able to do in recent. Now, the Spaniard comes into this match with some form, and he’ll be ready to make Jodar work.
Carreno Busta has spent nearly two hours less on the court this week, which gives him one edge coming into this one. He’s also a pretty solid player in every aspect of the game, meaning there won’t be any clear weaknesses for Jodar to exploit.
Overall, I understand why Jodar is a favorite in this match, but I think the number is a little out of hand. Carreno Busta has been to the quarterfinals in Paris before, and he’s not going to go out easily.
Bet: Carreno Busta +2.5 Sets (-161 – 1.5 units) & Carreno Busta +1.5 Sets (+170 – 0.5 units) & Carreno Busta ML (+370 – 0.25 units)
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev
I didn’t think Mensik had a chance of beating Alex de Minaur. After being peeled off the court after his five-set win over Mariano Navone in the second round, I just didn’t think the Czech would have the legs to beat one of the most physical players on tour. Well, not only did Mensik beat the Australian, but he also needed only two hours and 25 minutes to do it. That served as a good match for him to catch up on some rest, plus the worst of the Paris heat is in the past. Moving forward, Mensik should be treated as a healthy player, and that’s exactly why I’m jumping on him to beat Rublev.
Rublev is absolutely a dangerous baseliner, as he has unreal power — especially from the forehand wing. However, Mensik is a very good baseline defender, his length should give Rublev’s mediocre serve some problems, and the Czech’s serve is way better than the Russian’s serve.
I just think Mensik is a better player than Rublev at this stage, and the history between these two backs that up. The 20-year-old is 2-0 against Rublev in his career, and the two have only moved in opposite directions since.
Bet: Mensik ML (+110)
